Realized P&L
+$818
Unrealized P&L
+$95
Hit rate
9.1%
Resolved
30
Trades
1,196
lifetime
Volume
$76.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$58.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% -$26
Politics
24% — —
Sports
19% 69% +$843
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +8,570 $8,223 97¢ $8.3K +$86 10-31 10:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,333 $8,082 97¢ $8.1K +$30 10-18 23:41
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,931 $5,812 99¢ $5.9K +$69 10-16 14:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +6,391 $5,552 86¢ $5.5K -$88 10-19 11:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,528 $5,316 97¢ $5.4K +$41 10-31 13:58
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,656 $4,529 97¢ $4.5K +$8 10-29 13:57
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,872 $3,553 86¢ $3.3K -$229 10-05 06:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,451 $2,044 83¢ $2.0K +$0 10-30 07:21
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,733 $1,683 99¢ $1.7K +$33 10-20 00:47
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,579 $1,543 97¢ $1.5K -$5 10-30 01:39
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,739 $1,345 78¢ $1.3K +$3 10-15 18:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,284 $1,256 98¢ $1.3K -$1 10-10 12:22
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,367 $1,208 82¢ $1.1K -$85 10-18 16:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,156 $1,063 94¢ $1.1K +$29 10-22 12:34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,391 $858 15¢ $927 +$69 10-18 19:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +933 $843 90¢ $843 +$0 10-18 23:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +849 $764 90¢ $769 +$4 10-31 12:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +700 $679 97¢ $679 -$1 10-14 20:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +683 $660 97¢ $662 +$1 09-25 12:31
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,872 $326 14¢ $548 +$222 10-10 11:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,451 $415 17¢ $407 -$8 10-30 08:23
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,739 $396 22¢ $391 -$4 10-17 14:44
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +259 $256 100¢ $259 +$3 09-24 05:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +8,385 $347 3¢ $256 -$91 10-31 11:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +257 $251 97¢ $249 -$2 10-23 14:02
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +249 $243 99¢ $246 +$3 09-27 00:35
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,367 $159 18¢ $244 +$85 10-19 09:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +8,333 $252 3¢ $221 -$31 10-19 22:24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5,379 $212 3¢ $167 -$45 10-30 19:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +137 $126 92¢ $126 -$1 10-31 08:04