Realized P&L
+$396
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
31
Trades
587
lifetime
Volume
$50.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$31.0K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
50% 57% +$386
Politics
27% — —
Other
24% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,769 $4,550 97¢ $4.6K +$88 09-21 00:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,597 $4,301 98¢ $4.5K +$197 09-21 03:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4,066 $3,885 96¢ $3.9K +$16 10-26 14:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,728 $3,649 98¢ $3.7K +$7 10-27 00:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,890 $2,721 97¢ $2.8K +$80 09-20 20:01
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,722 $2,656 97¢ $2.6K -$8 10-26 18:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,340 $2,004 83¢ $2.0K -$51 09-10 22:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,125 $1,761 84¢ $1.8K +$14 10-26 20:44
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,122 $1,085 97¢ $1.1K -$1 10-26 23:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,047 $883 85¢ $893 +$10 09-04 16:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +556 $517 94¢ $525 +$8 09-10 20:31
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +500 $491 97¢ $487 -$4 09-04 13:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +484 $450 94¢ $457 +$6 09-17 02:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,340 $339 17¢ $387 +$49 09-10 05:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,207 $376 16¢ $363 -$13 10-26 19:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +4,510 $205 4¢ $183 -$22 10-26 15:46
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,050 $169 15¢ $154 -$16 09-03 10:48
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,769 $230 3¢ $131 -$99 09-18 00:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,597 $281 2¢ $99 -$183 09-19 07:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +2,890 $185 3¢ $90 -$96 09-18 20:47
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,093 $79 3¢ $85 +$6 10-27 05:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +3,810 $81 2¢ $74 -$6 10-27 05:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +556 $42 6¢ $31 -$11 09-21 09:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +485 $33 6¢ $27 -$6 09-14 13:30
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +752 $26 3¢ $26 -$1 10-24 23:42
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +500 $9 3¢ $13 +$4 09-02 00:31