Realized P&L
+$396
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
31
Trades
729
lifetime
Volume
$60.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$40.7K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
45% 57% +$386
Other
30% 100% +$10
Politics
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,843 $7,517 96¢ $7.5K +$25 10-30 09:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6,198 $6,064 98¢ $6.1K -$5 10-30 09:20
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,769 $4,550 98¢ $4.7K +$122 09-21 00:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,597 $4,301 98¢ $4.5K +$206 09-21 03:37
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,581 $4,462 97¢ $4.5K +$2 10-29 16:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,890 $2,721 97¢ $2.8K +$74 09-20 20:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,339 $2,780 83¢ $2.8K +$7 10-29 20:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,340 $2,004 83¢ $1.9K -$56 09-10 22:24
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,582 $1,529 97¢ $1.5K $0 10-29 22:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,047 $883 84¢ $883 -$1 09-04 16:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,339 $561 17¢ $553 -$8 10-30 07:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +556 $517 94¢ $525 +$8 09-10 20:31
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +500 $491 97¢ $487 -$4 09-04 13:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +484 $450 96¢ $462 +$11 09-17 02:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,340 $339 17¢ $392 +$53 09-10 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,695 $329 4¢ $296 -$32 10-30 09:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,050 $169 16¢ $164 -$5 09-03 10:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +6,451 $141 2¢ $145 +$4 10-30 09:10
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,426 $117 3¢ $113 -$4 10-29 11:55
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,769 $230 2¢ $98 -$132 09-18 00:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +2,890 $185 3¢ $95 -$90 09-18 20:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,597 $281 2¢ $90 -$192 09-19 07:51
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,403 $48 3¢ $47 -$1 10-29 17:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +556 $42 6¢ $31 -$11 09-21 09:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +485 $33 4¢ $22 -$11 09-14 13:30
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +500 $9 3¢ $13 +$4 09-02 00:31