Realized P&L (30d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
560
932 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$41.8K
$79.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$59.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
42% 57% +$386
Other
35% 100% +$10
Politics
22% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +14,253 $13,768 98¢ $14.0K +$200 11-13 00:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9,371 $9,175 99¢ $9.2K +$70 11-05 23:13
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,744 $8,471 95¢ $8.3K -$124 11-11 05:10
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,769 $4,550 99¢ $4.7K +$172 09-21 00:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,597 $4,301 98¢ $4.5K +$218 09-21 03:37
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,937 $2,839 98¢ $2.9K +$43 11-06 15:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,890 $2,721 99¢ $2.9K +$133 09-20 20:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,339 $2,780 85¢ $2.9K +$73 10-29 20:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,340 $2,004 90¢ $2.1K +$101 09-10 22:24
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,134 $2,066 97¢ $2.1K +$7 11-10 13:16
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,047 $883 74¢ $772 -$112 09-04 16:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +556 $517 97¢ $537 +$20 09-10 20:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +523 $509 97¢ $508 -$1 11-12 15:38
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +500 $491 98¢ $489 -$2 09-04 13:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,339 $561 15¢ $486 -$75 10-30 07:50
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +522 $480 92¢ $483 +$3 11-05 16:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +484 $450 98¢ $474 +$23 09-17 02:07
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,364 $262 5¢ $381 +$118 11-11 06:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +13,808 $499 2¢ $276 -$222 11-12 11:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,050 $169 26¢ $276 +$106 09-03 10:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,340 $339 10¢ $235 -$103 09-10 05:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +9,371 $196 1¢ $127 -$70 11-06 08:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,597 $281 2¢ $78 -$203 09-19 07:51
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,506 $78 3¢ $71 -$7 11-11 17:58
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,937 $101 2¢ $54 -$47 11-02 15:25
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,769 $230 1¢ $48 -$182 09-18 00:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +2,890 $185 1¢ $36 -$149 09-18 20:47
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +269 $22 8¢ $20 -$1 10-30 12:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +556 $42 3¢ $19 -$23 09-21 09:04
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +615 $16 3¢ $18 +$2 11-10 01:03