Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
144
852 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$11.6K
$70.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$50.5K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
43% 57% +$386
Other
35% 100% +$10
Politics
21% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11,580 $11,147 98¢ $11.3K +$161 11-05 05:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9,004 $8,814 98¢ $8.8K +$23 11-05 16:40
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6,265 $6,093 97¢ $6.1K -$37 11-05 16:21
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,769 $4,550 99¢ $4.7K +$157 09-21 00:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,597 $4,301 98¢ $4.5K +$211 09-21 03:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,890 $2,721 98¢ $2.8K +$110 09-20 20:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,339 $2,780 83¢ $2.8K -$5 10-29 20:53
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,618 $2,530 97¢ $2.5K +$5 11-03 10:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,340 $2,004 88¢ $2.0K +$45 09-10 22:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,047 $883 74¢ $770 -$114 09-04 16:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,339 $561 17¢ $564 +$3 10-30 07:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +556 $517 94¢ $525 +$8 09-10 20:31
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +500 $491 98¢ $489 -$2 09-04 13:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +522 $480 92¢ $483 +$3 11-05 16:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +484 $450 97¢ $469 +$18 09-17 02:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,340 $339 12¢ $291 -$47 09-10 05:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,050 $169 26¢ $278 +$108 09-03 10:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +11,498 $448 2¢ $270 -$177 11-05 16:44
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +6,122 $173 3¢ $205 +$32 11-04 08:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +8,960 $189 2¢ $166 -$23 11-05 01:56
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,937 $101 3¢ $93 -$8 11-02 15:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,597 $281 2¢ $85 -$196 09-19 07:51
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,769 $230 1¢ $62 -$168 09-18 00:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +2,890 $185 2¢ $59 -$126 09-18 20:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +556 $42 6¢ $31 -$11 09-21 09:04
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +269 $22 8¢ $20 -$1 10-30 12:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +485 $33 3¢ $15 -$18 09-14 13:30
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +500 $9 2¢ $11 +$2 09-02 00:31