(anonymous) 0x4a223e…3a63b2
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
506
lifetime
Volume
$38.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$30.3K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
51% — —
Sports
39% 42% -$1,636
Other
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,337 $6,090 84¢ $6.2K +$66 10-28 10:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,247 $5,300 83¢ $5.2K -$106 10-16 11:45
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,462 $4,265 96¢ $4.3K +$28 10-28 17:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,887 $3,538 91¢ $3.5K +$9 10-29 00:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +3,695 $3,433 90¢ $3.3K -$89 10-19 15:58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,217 $1,202 99¢ $1.2K +$8 10-16 13:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,504 $1,296 16¢ $1.2K -$88 10-27 12:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,247 $965 17¢ $1.1K +$88 10-16 21:55
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +941 $872 92¢ $871 -$1 10-17 14:02
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +582 $579 99¢ $576 -$3 09-25 03:32
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +557 $539 98¢ $544 +$5 10-20 03:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $440 82¢ $412 -$27 09-30 08:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +3,695 $259 10¢ $351 +$92 10-18 21:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,885 $352 9¢ $340 -$12 10-28 22:22
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +249 $229 92¢ $230 +$1 10-22 06:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +232 $218 94¢ $219 +$1 10-23 19:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +242 $187 82¢ $200 +$13 09-26 07:14
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,849 $209 4¢ $184 -$25 10-28 19:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +133 $125 86¢ $114 -$11 09-30 08:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $65 18¢ $87 +$22 09-27 08:43
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +943 $69 8¢ $71 +$2 10-18 04:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +242 $56 18¢ $42 -$13 09-25 02:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +133 $11 15¢ $19 +$9 09-25 21:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +249 $20 8¢ $19 -$1 10-21 21:49
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +557 $18 2¢ $13 -$5 10-12 14:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +131 $7 6¢ $7 +$1 10-22 10:19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,217 $19 1¢ $7 -$12 10-16 05:49
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +582 $3 1¢ $6 +$3 09-24 21:06