Realized P&L
+$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$233
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
16
Trades
914
lifetime
Volume
$51.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$43.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
36% — —
Politics
34% 100% +$0
Sports
30% 67% +$1,903
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +8,965 $8,661 100¢ $9.0K +$291 08-28 10:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,922 $6,374 84¢ $6.6K +$268 08-29 06:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,086 $4,582 90¢ $4.6K +$3 09-14 18:24
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,621 $3,876 92¢ $4.3K +$399 09-03 14:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,277 $3,207 100¢ $3.3K +$67 09-14 00:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,875 $2,799 97¢ $2.8K +$0 10-25 23:46
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,997 $1,904 97¢ $1.9K +$37 09-14 10:58
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,970 $1,924 98¢ $1.9K +$6 10-23 18:27
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,497 $1,382 96¢ $1.4K +$63 08-28 06:27
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,570 $1,423 91¢ $1.4K -$1 10-26 08:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,922 $1,647 16¢ $1.3K -$368 08-27 11:58
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +1,060 $1,038 96¢ $1.0K -$18 09-11 15:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +941 $835 92¢ $861 +$26 09-04 15:32
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +612 $597 96¢ $590 -$7 09-06 14:06
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,086 $533 10¢ $501 -$32 09-13 21:00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +527 $475 90¢ $472 -$3 10-24 20:27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,621 $739 8¢ $347 -$392 09-02 17:31
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +305 $289 96¢ $291 +$2 09-15 06:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +259 $242 94¢ $244 +$3 08-29 03:17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +260 $248 92¢ $238 -$10 09-04 13:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,219 $115 9¢ $114 -$1 10-25 15:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +941 $104 8¢ $80 -$24 08-31 20:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,563 $69 3¢ $68 -$1 10-25 22:15
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,997 $102 3¢ $56 -$47 09-14 03:12
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,497 $114 4¢ $52 -$62 08-28 08:56
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,106 $46 2¢ $43 -$3 10-23 07:44
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,060 $24 4¢ $40 +$16 09-09 17:21
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +314 $31 11¢ $33 +$2 10-27 10:34
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +612 $16 4¢ $22 +$6 09-11 05:43
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +260 $11 8¢ $21 +$11 08-31 18:38