Realized P&L (30d)
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
22.2%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
388
1,170 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$21.8K
$66.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$54.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
44% 0% -$20
Politics
31% 100% +$3
Sports
25% 67% +$1,903
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13,261 $12,978 99¢ $13.2K +$196 11-05 15:46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +8,965 $8,661 100¢ $8.9K +$277 08-28 10:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,922 $6,374 83¢ $6.6K +$217 08-29 06:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,086 $4,582 91¢ $4.6K +$39 09-14 18:24
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,621 $3,876 94¢ $4.3K +$445 09-03 14:16
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,083 $3,018 98¢ $3.0K +$17 11-05 12:20
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,251 $2,178 96¢ $2.2K -$9 11-05 16:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,706 $2,455 80¢ $2.2K -$297 10-30 05:14
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,997 $1,904 99¢ $2.0K +$67 09-14 10:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,497 $1,382 97¢ $1.5K +$76 08-28 06:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,922 $1,647 17¢ $1.3K -$316 08-27 11:58
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +1,060 $1,038 96¢ $1.0K -$22 09-11 15:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,089 $980 92¢ $996 +$16 11-03 11:57
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,706 $248 20¢ $548 +$299 10-31 08:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,086 $533 9¢ $465 -$67 09-13 21:00
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,621 $739 6¢ $300 -$438 09-02 17:31
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +305 $289 96¢ $294 +$4 09-15 06:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +259 $242 97¢ $250 +$8 08-29 03:17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +260 $248 95¢ $246 -$3 09-04 13:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,617 $155 8¢ $137 -$18 11-05 06:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +13,308 $275 1¢ $87 -$189 11-05 18:43
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,892 $61 4¢ $69 +$8 11-04 23:06
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,494 $69 2¢ $54 -$15 11-05 20:10
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,060 $24 4¢ $45 +$21 09-09 17:21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,497 $114 3¢ $40 -$75 08-28 08:56
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8,965 $317 0¢ $27 -$290 08-27 17:46
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,997 $102 1¢ $26 -$77 09-14 03:12
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +260 $11 5¢ $14 +$3 08-31 18:38
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +305 $15 4¢ $11 -$4 09-11 00:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +259 $18 3¢ $9 -$10 08-22 18:13