Realized P&L
+$1.89K
Unrealized P&L
-$132
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
18
Trades
1,238
lifetime
Volume
$73.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$59.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 01:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
42% 0% -$20
Sports
30% 67% +$1,903
Politics
28% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13,684 $13,400 91¢ $12.4K -$967 11-07 03:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +8,965 $8,661 100¢ $8.9K +$277 08-28 10:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,922 $6,374 85¢ $6.8K +$395 08-29 06:05
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,787 $4,979 95¢ $5.5K +$501 11-13 01:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,086 $4,582 91¢ $4.6K +$24 09-14 18:24
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,494 $3,424 99¢ $3.4K +$23 11-07 14:57
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,706 $2,455 83¢ $2.2K -$218 10-30 05:14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,251 $2,178 96¢ $2.2K -$16 11-05 16:00
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,040 $1,997 97¢ $2.0K -$16 11-13 01:44
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,997 $1,904 99¢ $2.0K +$72 09-14 10:58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,905 $1,731 92¢ $1.8K +$31 11-11 19:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,497 $1,382 98¢ $1.5K +$83 08-28 06:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +13,684 $277 9¢ $1.3K +$975 11-05 21:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,922 $1,647 15¢ $1.2K -$494 08-27 11:58
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +1,060 $1,038 98¢ $1.0K +$5 09-11 15:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,086 $533 9¢ $481 -$52 09-13 21:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,706 $248 17¢ $469 +$221 10-31 08:34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,787 $806 5¢ $307 -$499 11-11 00:25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +305 $289 96¢ $293 +$4 09-15 06:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +259 $242 98¢ $253 +$11 08-29 03:17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +260 $248 94¢ $243 -$6 09-04 13:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,617 $155 8¢ $121 -$34 11-05 06:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,416 $82 4¢ $95 +$13 11-12 13:43
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,327 $56 3¢ $67 +$11 11-12 00:38
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,494 $69 1¢ $47 -$22 11-05 20:10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,497 $114 2¢ $33 -$81 08-28 08:56
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8,965 $317 0¢ $27 -$290 08-27 17:46
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,997 $102 1¢ $21 -$82 09-14 03:12
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,060 $24 2¢ $17 -$6 09-09 17:21
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +260 $11 6¢ $17 +$6 08-31 18:38