Rosy-Stepmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.07K

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$786

Open exposure

$6.04K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-13 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

93% 59% +$10,619

Other

6% 50% -$249

Sports

1% 0% -$348

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+21,584	$2,580	13¢	$2.7K	+$150	08-13 01:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+12,857	$1,913	17¢	$2.1K	+$215	08-05 23:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-6,670	-$1,868	18¢	$-1167	+$700	05-19 12:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-102	-$16	10¢	$-10	+$6	07-05 14:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-59	-$7	12¢	$-7	+$0	07-05 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	8	$15.0K	10,656	10,656	+0	Yes	+$1,124	05-19 17:28
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$12.3K	10,204	10,204	+0	Yes	+$7,480	02-28 07:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$3.4K	11,297	10,344	+953	No	-$138	03-09 22:07
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$2.7K	18,048	18,048	+0	Yes	+$717	02-27 15:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$2.6K	21,584	0	+21,584	open	—	08-13 01:32
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$2.4K	2,226	2,226	+0	No	+$657	03-04 20:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	12,857	0	+12,857	open	—	08-05 23:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	9,915	9,915	+0	open	—	08-13 01:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$1.9K	0	6,670	-6,670	open	—	05-19 12:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	5,555	5,555	+0	open	—	08-13 01:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$1.5K	1,246	1,246	+0	Yes	+$320	03-08 21:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.2K	1,414	1,414	+0	No	-$85	03-03 21:23
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$1.1K	4,831	4,831	+0	No	-$97	03-04 00:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.0K	1,515	1,515	+0	No	+$15	03-11 12:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$880	976	976	+0	No	+$159	03-08 18:28
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$743	2,223	2,223	+0	No	+$476	03-05 06:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$688	8,833	0	+8,833	No	-$688	03-14 05:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$654	556	556	+0	Yes	+$454	02-28 07:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$368	300	300	+0	Yes	+$230	04-08 07:08
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$348	723	0	+723	No	-$348	06-05 23:55
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	2	$327	227	227	+0	Yes	+$127	02-28 07:43
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$270	241	241	+0	No	+$70	03-08 21:31
dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	2	$234	138	138	+0	Dems	+$34	03-04 12:00
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$106	2,067	0	+2,067	No	-$106	03-04 01:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$100	5,565	0	+5,565	No	-$100	03-06 17:07
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$100	910	0	+910	No	-$100	03-09 17:08
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$100	303	0	+303	No	-$100	03-09 17:09
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	8	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$70	04-08 07:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$16	0	102	-102	open	—	07-05 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	94	0	+94	No	-$10	03-06 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 01:32:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11,781	14¢	$1,689	0x66dde3…
08-13 01:29:58	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,555	16¢	$870	0xdc5add…
08-13 01:29:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9,915	9¢	$934	0x102ab4…
08-06 00:07:18	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8,380	9¢	$767	0x7f3453…
08-05 23:12:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6,446	15¢	$961	0x014ea9…
08-05 23:09:06	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9,915	10¢	$950	0x487f47…
08-05 23:05:29	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0xb05e47…
08-05 23:04:50	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5,555	17¢	$962	0x7e9dff…
08-05 22:59:26	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6,411	15¢	$952	0xdb2117…
08-05 22:58:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,039	9¢	$95	0x3e230f…
07-05 14:34:43	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	309	7¢	$22	0x184975…
07-05 14:34:16	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	102	16¢	$16	0x3b24c9…
07-05 14:34:14	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x904d55…
06-05 23:55:49	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	723	48¢	$348	0x03e0ab…
05-19 17:28:23	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	6,620	90¢	$5,957	0x913255…
05-19 12:05:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6,670	28¢	$1,868	0x90f0fa…
04-08 07:16:39	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	7¢	$9	0x890e39…
04-08 07:15:43	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x87953a…
04-08 07:15:19	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x2ddcd4…
04-08 07:14:07	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x1e2662…
04-08 07:13:15	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x054cb3…
04-08 07:12:55	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfca2fe…
04-08 07:12:55	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xf3196e…
04-08 07:12:55	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	573	7¢	$40	0xa18936…
04-08 07:08:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x06dc2b…
04-07 21:17:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x8a14d3…
04-02 00:38:25	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	2,207	51¢	$1,122	0xaaf451…
03-14 05:30:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	8,833	8¢	$688	0xfb00bf…
03-11 12:27:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,515	34¢	$515	0x631e6f…
03-09 22:07:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	953	12¢	$114	0xc62c24…
03-09 22:06:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	119	88¢	$105	0xc9ab9d…
03-09 21:50:25	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	3,667	36¢	$1,319	0x4d6cac…
03-09 17:09:17	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x481015…
03-09 17:08:39	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	910	11¢	$100	0x767911…
03-09 17:08:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6bdf54…
03-08 21:31:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	241	70¢	$170	0x60d0d7…
03-08 21:31:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,246	75¢	$930	0xf75118…
03-08 18:28:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	976	53¢	$519	0xf4384c…
03-06 20:48:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	976	37¢	$360	0xa8b7ad…
03-06 20:26:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xf19d91…
03-06 17:37:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,515	33¢	$500	0x473fce…
03-06 17:19:59	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	473	21¢	$97	0x788bd7…
03-06 17:15:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	241	41¢	$100	0x435078…
03-06 17:07:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,565	2¢	$100	0xf2eb66…
03-06 12:08:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	10,225	15¢	$1,518	0xd8db54…
03-05 23:04:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,246	49¢	$609	0x8ab771…
03-05 06:16:39	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	2,223	27¢	$609	0x7379e3…
03-04 20:27:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	10,225	15¢	$1,546	0x12f42c…
03-04 20:27:25	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	2,226	69¢	$1,546	0x362276…
03-04 20:26:05	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2,223	6¢	$133	0x52020b…
03-04 12:00:47	dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	Dems	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0x99c6f5…
03-04 01:21:23	Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	2,067	5¢	$106	0xc71df5…
03-04 01:20:45	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x379fd2…
03-04 01:19:11	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	2,226	40¢	$890	0xed9e9a…
03-04 01:18:23	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	1,629	55¢	$890	0x343c14…
03-04 00:16:11	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	636	76¢	$483	0x43cfb7…
03-04 00:15:53	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	4,831	10¢	$483	0x357ea0…
03-03 21:23:49	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	4,831	12¢	$580	0xb92e24…
03-03 21:23:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,414	41¢	$580	0x4bc4b0…
03-03 21:21:01	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	5,880	86¢	$5,052	0x4295db…
03-02 14:14:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,414	47¢	$665	0x53ec54…
02-28 07:43:47	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x84e995…
02-28 07:43:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	556	100¢	$554	0xe82050…
02-28 07:16:37	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,204	97¢	$9,884	0xe42a61…
02-27 21:15:07	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,325	33¢	$1,417	0x823b30…
02-27 16:01:11	dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	Dems	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xb5d869…
02-27 15:59:13	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xf22385…
02-27 15:57:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x0c19c7…
02-27 15:54:49	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	18,048	10¢	$1,717	0x865ff2…
02-26 23:01:14	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,879	17¢	$986	0xce2a59…
02-26 22:58:52	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	18,048	6¢	$1,000	0x4209b8…