(anonymous) 0x3106b9…ab51ec
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$639
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,169
lifetime
Volume
$63.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$59.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 04:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
58% — —
Sports
27% 41% -$639
Other
14% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,504 $8,991 95¢ $9.0K -$4 11-01 02:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9,820 $8,310 84¢ $8.3K -$12 10-15 01:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8,316 $6,869 84¢ $7.0K +$121 10-19 05:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +5,314 $4,950 94¢ $5.0K +$19 10-19 11:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,102 $4,802 94¢ $4.8K +$17 11-02 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +4,438 $3,862 90¢ $4.0K +$132 10-30 01:30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3,884 $3,464 90¢ $3.5K +$51 11-01 23:36
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,164 $3,031 96¢ $3.0K +$4 10-17 17:17
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,293 $2,039 88¢ $2.0K -$10 10-19 10:10
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,703 $1,669 98¢ $1.7K +$8 10-30 05:47
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,615 $1,572 96¢ $1.6K -$17 09-28 00:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,820 $1,553 16¢ $1.5K -$31 10-16 21:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,316 $1,456 16¢ $1.3K -$129 10-19 05:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,407 $1,293 92¢ $1.3K +$8 10-19 12:19
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +896 $868 97¢ $869 +$0 11-01 10:01
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,881 $527 5¢ $484 -$43 10-30 13:05
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +479 $454 96¢ $457 +$3 10-31 09:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,437 $575 10¢ $444 -$131 10-31 01:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $418 82¢ $412 -$5 10-21 19:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +445 $340 88¢ $394 +$54 09-26 10:10
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +430 $376 86¢ $370 -$6 10-18 01:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,691 $395 10¢ $351 -$44 10-27 17:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +5,314 $362 6¢ $345 -$17 10-16 12:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,339 $314 6¢ $296 -$18 11-02 04:50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,293 $255 12¢ $264 +$9 10-18 07:04
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +236 $228 96¢ $227 -$1 10-23 08:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,164 $133 4¢ $128 -$5 10-19 09:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,407 $118 8¢ $106 -$13 10-15 15:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +500 $80 18¢ $87 +$7 10-22 05:54
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +430 $68 14¢ $61 -$8 10-19 12:58