(anonymous) 0x5a2bb7…09ae0c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
36
Trades
3,544
lifetime
Volume
$203.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$148.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 01:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
53% 33% -$66
Politics
31% 100% +$0
Sports
15% 75% +$4,924
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +36,524 $35,068 96¢ $35.2K +$123 10-18 23:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +26,228 $25,233 96¢ $25.1K -$93 10-19 10:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +19,656 $16,141 84¢ $16.4K +$282 08-29 06:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,645 $10,593 81¢ $11.0K +$439 10-19 09:38
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,840 $10,116 90¢ $9.7K -$376 10-05 23:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8,447 $8,113 97¢ $8.2K +$76 10-19 20:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,677 $5,387 82¢ $5.5K +$85 10-19 03:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +4,505 $4,305 92¢ $4.1K -$167 10-18 23:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,944 $3,834 97¢ $3.8K +$5 10-19 15:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,665 $3,197 92¢ $3.4K +$194 08-18 23:44
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,656 $3,616 16¢ $3.2K -$382 08-28 00:32
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +3,266 $3,123 96¢ $3.1K +$14 08-19 22:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,850 $2,734 100¢ $2.8K +$113 08-28 14:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13,645 $3,109 19¢ $2.6K -$496 10-18 17:12
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,349 $2,277 98¢ $2.3K +$22 09-15 12:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,757 $1,606 97¢ $1.7K +$105 08-04 01:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,859 $1,397 74¢ $1.4K -$12 09-30 11:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +36,524 $1,472 4¢ $1.3K -$138 10-19 22:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,677 $1,324 18¢ $1.2K -$119 10-20 01:48
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,133 $1,081 98¢ $1.1K +$27 08-15 10:40
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,840 $762 10¢ $1.1K +$338 10-10 08:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +26,228 $1,038 4¢ $1.1K +$51 10-19 02:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +789 $749 97¢ $764 +$15 09-02 10:29
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,859 $453 26¢ $474 +$21 09-29 07:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +4,503 $203 8¢ $367 +$164 10-15 10:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +3,665 $457 8¢ $275 -$182 08-21 11:25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +8,447 $334 3¢ $258 -$77 10-18 09:40
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +249 $245 99¢ $247 +$2 08-06 14:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +137 $123 94¢ $129 +$6 08-03 23:46
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,266 $162 4¢ $129 -$33 08-20 07:01