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whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$318
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
0
3,544 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$203.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$133.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 01:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
53% 25% -$68
Politics
31% 67% +$10
Sports
15% 76% +$4,927
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +36,524 $35,068 98¢ $35.9K +$817 10-18 23:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +26,228 $25,233 98¢ $25.7K +$431 10-19 10:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +19,656 $16,141 83¢ $16.4K +$242 08-29 06:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,645 $10,593 82¢ $11.1K +$541 10-19 09:38
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,840 $10,116 91¢ $9.9K -$235 10-05 23:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,677 $5,387 81¢ $5.4K +$25 10-19 03:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +4,505 $4,305 89¢ $4.0K -$302 10-18 23:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,944 $3,834 99¢ $3.9K +$88 10-19 15:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,656 $3,616 17¢ $3.3K -$343 08-28 00:32
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +3,266 $3,123 97¢ $3.2K +$53 08-19 22:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13,645 $3,109 18¢ $2.5K -$598 10-18 17:12
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,349 $2,277 98¢ $2.3K +$26 09-15 12:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,757 $1,606 98¢ $1.7K +$117 08-04 01:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,859 $1,397 77¢ $1.4K +$34 09-30 11:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,677 $1,324 19¢ $1.3K -$58 10-20 01:48
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,133 $1,081 99¢ $1.1K +$39 08-15 10:40
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,840 $762 9¢ $959 +$197 10-10 08:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +789 $749 98¢ $771 +$22 09-02 10:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +36,524 $1,472 2¢ $639 -$832 10-19 22:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +26,228 $1,038 2¢ $564 -$474 10-19 02:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +4,503 $203 11¢ $502 +$299 10-15 10:26
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,859 $453 23¢ $427 -$25 09-29 07:11
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +249 $245 100¢ $248 +$3 08-06 14:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +137 $123 94¢ $129 +$6 08-03 23:46
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,266 $162 3¢ $90 -$72 08-20 07:01
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,349 $71 2¢ $46 -$25 09-18 10:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +1,757 $171 2¢ $34 -$137 08-05 19:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,944 $110 1¢ $22 -$89 10-18 14:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +789 $39 2¢ $18 -$22 09-04 12:46
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,133 $60 1¢ $14 -$46 08-09 14:11