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whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$45
Unrealized P&L
-$315
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
123
3,544 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.26K
$203.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$133.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 01:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
53% 25% -$68
Politics
31% 67% +$10
Sports
15% 76% +$4,927
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +36,524 $35,068 98¢ $35.9K +$853 10-18 23:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +26,228 $25,233 98¢ $25.7K +$431 10-19 10:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +19,656 $16,141 85¢ $16.8K +$645 08-29 06:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,645 $10,593 85¢ $11.5K +$944 10-19 09:38
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,840 $10,116 91¢ $9.9K -$208 10-05 23:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,677 $5,387 84¢ $5.6K +$215 10-19 03:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +4,505 $4,305 88¢ $4.0K -$327 10-18 23:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,944 $3,834 91¢ $3.6K -$255 10-19 15:41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +3,266 $3,123 98¢ $3.2K +$89 08-19 22:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,656 $3,616 15¢ $2.9K -$746 08-28 00:32
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,349 $2,277 98¢ $2.3K +$17 09-15 12:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13,645 $3,109 15¢ $2.1K -$1,001 10-18 17:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,757 $1,606 98¢ $1.7K +$123 08-04 01:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,859 $1,397 79¢ $1.5K +$71 09-30 11:07
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,133 $1,081 99¢ $1.1K +$42 08-15 10:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,677 $1,324 16¢ $1.1K -$249 10-20 01:48
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,840 $762 9¢ $932 +$170 10-10 08:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +789 $749 98¢ $777 +$28 09-02 10:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +36,524 $1,472 2¢ $603 -$869 10-19 22:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +26,228 $1,038 2¢ $564 -$474 10-19 02:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +4,503 $203 12¢ $527 +$324 10-15 10:26
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,859 $453 21¢ $390 -$62 09-29 07:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,944 $110 9¢ $365 +$254 10-18 14:56
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +249 $245 100¢ $248 +$3 08-06 14:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +137 $123 97¢ $132 +$9 08-03 23:46
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,349 $71 2¢ $55 -$16 09-18 10:40
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,266 $162 2¢ $54 -$108 08-20 07:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +1,757 $171 2¢ $28 -$143 08-05 19:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +789 $39 2¢ $12 -$28 09-04 12:46
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,133 $60 1¢ $11 -$49 08-09 14:11