Sharp-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$106.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$390

Open exposure

$257

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-21 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-19

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	+143	$100	76¢	$109	+$9	05-31 20:48
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	+112	$100	94¢	$106	+$6	06-03 00:12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+29	$20	75¢	$22	+$2	06-03 00:10
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$11	+$1	06-03 00:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-03 00:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$14.4K	7,527	7,527	+0	open	—	05-26 21:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$14.1K	11,327	4,078	+7,249	open	—	04-29 20:59
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	6	$7.3K	4,240	3,646	+594	open	—	05-01 21:05
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$5.4K	5,639	0	+5,639	open	—	03-14 20:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$5.0K	5,270	0	+5,270	open	—	04-10 16:02
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$4.9K	2,630	2,630	+0	open	—	03-09 15:36
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	5	$4.0K	2,054	2,054	+0	open	—	03-14 20:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$3.9K	2,009	2,009	+0	open	—	05-31 20:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2.5K	2,589	0	+2,589	open	—	06-11 11:38
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	5	$2.4K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	03-26 22:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.3K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	05-31 20:37
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$2.3K	1,370	1,274	+96	open	—	03-29 14:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$2.1K	1,503	1,503	+0	open	—	03-10 09:25
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$2.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	03-11 08:29
internet access restored in iran by march 7 2026	2	$2.0K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	03-05 17:23
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	3	$2.0K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	03-26 22:20
will france strike iran by march 31	4	$2.0K	1,041	1,030	+10	open	—	03-27 18:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1.6K	1,947	0	+1,947	open	—	03-30 09:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$1.6K	0	1,573	-1,573	open	—	06-11 20:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$1.5K	1,555	0	+1,555	open	—	03-29 14:47
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	4	$1.2K	652	652	+0	open	—	03-10 09:25
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	open	—	04-29 21:04
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,225	0	+1,225	open	—	03-24 13:00
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$1.0K	1,148	0	+1,148	open	—	03-05 17:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	03-14 20:04
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	03-14 20:04
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	0	1,019	-1,019	open	—	06-11 20:40
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	1	$1000	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	06-24 14:39
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	1	$1000	1,174	0	+1,174	open	—	07-21 23:41
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	03-04 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:41:24	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	1,174	85¢	$1,000	0xd3cca7…
06-24 14:39:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0x87ab01…
06-11 20:45:04	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x0ad665…
06-11 20:40:22	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,019	99¢	$1,008	0xa5ea64…
06-11 20:39:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1,573	99¢	$1,559	0x6a519d…
06-11 11:38:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x4a0ab6…
06-10 21:21:03	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf9cc9b…
06-09 21:33:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x793fcc…
06-05 08:52:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xac4386…
06-03 00:12:39	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd56781…
06-03 00:10:26	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa20679…
06-03 00:09:02	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3cc0c0…
06-03 00:08:42	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8c0ee7…
06-03 00:08:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbb6fb2…
06-03 00:04:18	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x998730…
06-01 10:41:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x6fc98a…
06-01 10:40:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc498ad…
06-01 10:40:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x1bd205…
05-31 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x850ed3…
05-31 21:11:13	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x08d312…
05-31 21:03:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xcfc6ff…
05-31 20:55:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xb79969…
05-31 20:48:14	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa17908…
05-31 20:37:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,266	100¢	$1,263	0x77d833…
05-31 20:36:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,073	97¢	$2,000	0x0bd08c…
05-31 20:35:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,009	100¢	$2,007	0x5f7f44…
05-31 20:34:51	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x6d8e23…
05-31 20:34:06	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x29fd56…
05-31 18:58:41	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x4dde65…
05-30 23:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xd77312…
05-30 23:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xd81976…
05-30 23:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9ea567…
05-30 23:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4f1aea…
05-30 23:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x6f627f…
05-30 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x159706…
05-30 23:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6864ab…
05-30 23:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x657bc3…
05-30 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb2351a…
05-30 23:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x900bfe…
05-30 19:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96a90b…
05-30 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x83287e…
05-30 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0c0237…
05-30 19:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x25d343…
05-30 19:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaf7eb1…
05-30 19:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaa8cb6…
05-30 19:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5e792a…
05-30 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1c44d2…
05-30 19:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb70dc0…
05-29 22:11:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x6ff304…
05-26 21:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x867796…
05-26 21:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xed182d…
05-26 21:17:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	7,527	98¢	$7,406	0xdc1350…
05-14 20:33:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x4409f9…
05-13 17:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x63be83…
05-13 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1be505…
05-13 17:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa76fce…
05-12 20:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x75e4f2…
05-12 20:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x57e7f4…
05-12 17:36:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x996285…
05-03 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xdbec4c…
05-02 14:42:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	7,527	93¢	$7,000	0x13596a…
05-01 21:12:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xc4989a…
05-01 21:09:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0xb46cf0…
05-01 21:05:20	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,646	97¢	$3,522	0x0fb658…
04-30 11:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2dccb2…
04-29 23:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x15cc55…
04-29 22:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xba0586…
04-29 21:04:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	98¢	$1,060	0x058d99…
04-29 21:04:28	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,317	90¢	$3,000	0x16c4c5…
04-29 20:59:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	4,078	100¢	$4,060	0xf85caf…
04-28 16:02:04	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	335	94¢	$315	0xdf177a…
04-28 16:01:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	319	100¢	$318	0x568ced…
04-26 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xf61c60…
04-26 14:47:20	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xac14af…
04-26 14:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x47c678…
04-26 14:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5954ca…
04-26 14:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xde9162…
04-26 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x566382…
04-25 20:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x966264…
04-25 18:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5c86ac…
04-25 18:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x537c77…
04-25 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x398d4d…
04-25 18:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe37e57…
04-25 18:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x441eb7…
04-25 18:20:36	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x5f7910…
04-25 13:25:18	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xea573b…
04-25 13:23:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xf760ed…
04-24 16:00:54	btc updown 5m 1777046400	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa3b84b…
04-24 15:52:56	btc updown 5m 1777045800	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd4e17e…
04-23 17:17:52	btc updown 5m 1776964500	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6ee5f5…
04-23 17:16:00	btc updown 5m 1776964500	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd37a63…
04-23 17:10:52	btc updown 5m 1776964200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x626392…
04-23 17:09:20	btc updown 5m 1776963900	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b6d56…
04-23 17:06:04	btc updown 5m 1776963900	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8b7e49…
04-23 17:04:32	btc updown 5m 1776963600	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaeee41…
04-23 16:59:10	btc updown 5m 1776963300	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4d62d6…
04-22 20:58:48	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x89b5ba…
04-22 20:57:46	btc updown 5m 1776891300	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd61f16…
04-22 20:51:38	btc updown 5m 1776891000	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x4c80b4…
04-22 20:46:58	btc updown 5m 1776890700	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xc51572…