Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$125

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 08-13 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

80% 71% +$22

Politics

19% 62% +$134

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+64	$30	88¢	$56	+$26	08-13 18:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	+25	$20	100¢	$25	+$5	08-12 14:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+101	$11	16¢	$17	+$6	08-13 18:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+12	$10	94¢	$11	+$1	05-15 03:21
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	+6	$5	91¢	$5	+$0	08-13 18:23
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	+72	$5	7¢	$5	+$0	08-13 05:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+205	$30	1¢	$3	-$27	08-13 18:24
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	+26	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	08-13 05:22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+187	$13	0¢	$1	-$12	08-13 18:25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-13 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 18:25:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x39733b…
08-13 18:25:12	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7ab723…
08-13 18:24:45	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x5f072c…
08-13 18:24:34	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xbe2387…
08-13 18:24:21	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3d3699…
08-13 18:23:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a3f1a…
08-13 18:23:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7e98b4…
08-13 18:22:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5f1c87…
08-13 09:20:21	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 16 2026 20260722225036940	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8df3e1…
08-13 09:20:12	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xedd6d4…
08-13 09:20:03	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x7a7ba0…
08-13 08:45:18	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 30 2026 20260722225036954	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xb48c81…
08-13 08:45:07	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 24 2026 20260722225036948	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x50d0bf…
08-13 08:44:58	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x24cad2…
08-13 08:42:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb7f630…
08-13 05:48:54	Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x310334…
08-13 05:23:40	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x094e68…
08-13 05:23:12	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x553fbf…
08-13 05:22:43	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xf6f4bf…
08-13 05:22:18	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xabef32…
08-13 05:12:01	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x004342…
08-13 05:11:57	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x14aad6…
08-13 05:11:15	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc4ffdb…
08-13 05:07:19	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x4a215d…
08-12 14:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xce4eb6…
08-12 13:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x5094c3…
08-12 12:23:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc20929…
08-12 12:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x4ae219…
08-12 12:20:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x391e26…
08-09 12:47:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x5b9b53…
08-09 12:46:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xae98e1…
08-09 12:40:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x84bddd…
08-09 12:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe66827…
08-09 12:40:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5f2499…
08-09 12:38:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xf885f6…
05-15 03:23:00	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,381	0¢	$5	0x31dc39…
05-15 03:21:59	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x16f256…
05-15 03:21:22	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5de926…
05-15 03:21:17	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf5169b…
05-15 03:21:05	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x80b849…
05-02 11:47:12	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xac6e05…
05-02 11:46:54	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xadabce…
05-02 11:46:42	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x469f75…
05-01 15:44:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7199b5…
05-01 15:43:12	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xe360af…
05-01 15:40:34	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe314b6…
05-01 15:40:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xce7d10…
05-01 15:38:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x67e9e6…
05-01 15:36:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f83f8…
05-01 15:35:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7f683b…
05-01 15:30:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb71009…
05-01 15:30:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x67ab98…
05-01 15:30:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2fa550…
05-01 15:29:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x32fe15…
05-01 15:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x614756…
05-01 15:28:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe1028c…
04-18 15:00:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd63c7b…
04-18 15:00:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x090111…
04-16 04:44:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x323b9f…
04-16 04:43:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x2fa6a6…
04-16 04:43:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x322432…
04-16 04:42:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5802f5…
04-16 03:56:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa2d706…
04-14 17:20:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x017246…
04-14 17:18:14	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2789f1…
04-13 11:31:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf98583…
04-13 11:05:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x02fecd…
04-13 11:05:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x698fbc…
04-13 11:04:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x697a25…
04-13 11:04:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xaa54e7…
04-13 03:55:37	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x114197…
04-13 03:28:09	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd204d2…
04-13 03:27:59	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb92fcf…
04-12 15:41:21	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0cab55…
04-12 12:28:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x26970c…
04-11 15:04:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x90fcb0…
04-11 15:03:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0x5a0615…
04-11 15:03:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,556	1¢	$50	0x27980e…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	5,556	+5,556	No	-$50	04-11 15:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	7,143	+7,143	No	-$50	04-11 15:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$50	52	+52	No	+$2	08-12 12:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$40	92	+92	No	+$52	04-18 15:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$40	151	+151	No	+$111	05-01 15:30
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$40	48	+48	No	+$8	04-16 03:56
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$30	205	+205	open	—	08-13 18:24
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	31	+31	No	+$1	05-15 03:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$30	64	+64	open	—	08-13 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$30	53	+53	No	+$23	05-01 15:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	2	$30	34	+34	No	+$4	08-13 08:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$20	25	+25	No	+$5	08-09 12:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	1	$20	29	+29	No	+$9	08-12 12:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$20	28	+28	No	+$8	08-09 12:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	04-13 11:05
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	04-13 03:28
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-15 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$20	26	+26	No	+$6	04-13 11:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$20	24	+24	No	+$4	08-09 12:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	1	$20	25	+25	open	—	08-12 14:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$20	23	+23	No	+$3	04-13 11:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	04-13 11:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-01 15:44
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	04-13 03:27
will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	1	$20	22	+22	open	—	08-13 05:23
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	04-14 17:18
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$13	187	+187	open	—	08-13 18:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$11	101	+101	open	—	08-13 18:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	2,000	+2,000	No	-$10	04-11 15:04
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	1	$10	34	+34	No	-$10	04-13 11:31