Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$573
$8,908 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$8,896
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-12 04:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $171 | $171 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $261 | $261 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $3 | $88 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $171 | $171 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $231 | $231 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $53 | $53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 2 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-11 09:59 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 06:44 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 10:15 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-12 03:40 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-11 09:59 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 16:50 |
| Zesty-Confidentiality 0x1e20…1a22 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 03:39 |
| Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-09 08:39 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 22:25 |
| Vital-Girdle 0x9bcb…67b9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 12:07 |
| Kosher-Corsage 0xbfc5…29c2 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 04:20 |
| Potable-Output 0x88cc…076c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 03:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:20:42 | Kosher-Corsage 0xbfc5…29c2 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x91be2e… |
| 05-12 03:40:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x31eb3f… |
| 05-12 03:39:03 | Zesty-Confidentiality 0x1e20…1a22 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xb6f5e1… |
| 05-12 03:23:04 | Potable-Output 0x88cc…076c | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1a32e9… |
| 05-11 23:31:12 | Rubbery-Lard 0x6c4c…6aca | Yes | SELL | 666 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x08afa0… |
| 05-11 23:13:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x118ed6… |
| 05-11 23:03:07 | Rubbery-Lard 0x6c4c…6aca | Yes | BUY | 666 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x7cd88c… |
| 05-11 22:25:33 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa39a03… |
| 05-11 16:50:51 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6f7c03… |
| 05-11 15:17:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0xd72d2c… |
| 05-11 10:15:55 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4f68f6… |
| 05-11 10:15:53 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x767048… |
| 05-11 09:59:19 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x94587a… |
| 05-11 09:59:19 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x730fb6… |
| 05-11 09:58:35 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa21e42… |
| 05-11 06:49:00 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90d71a… |
| 05-11 06:44:13 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7adae5… |
| 05-11 06:44:06 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa42dd7… |
| 05-11 06:44:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9aa239… |
| 05-11 05:33:42 | Unhappy-Subsection 0x688e…f36d | No | SELL | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x977cac… |
| 05-10 12:07:33 | Vital-Girdle 0x9bcb…67b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf4173b… |
| 05-09 08:39:48 | Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x69dd1f… |
| 05-09 08:04:27 | Courageous-Editor 0x825c…18e7 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x058a20… |
| 05-05 16:29:36 | Warmhearted-Prisoner 0x31ae…4b60 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fb026… |