Unhappy-Subsection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$561

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-08 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$0

Politics

32% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	05-10 17:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 15:20
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-30 04:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-28 16:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 16:49
trump out as president by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 16:40
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-14 14:12
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 05:24
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-08 05:40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-05 13:54
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 16:47
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-23 15:36
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 15:39
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 16:03
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 19:21
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 18:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-22 17:55
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 04:38
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 05:54
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 08:29
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 18:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-30 04:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	02-11 12:07
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-01 15:35
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-03 16:19
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 14:57
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-12 05:50
pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 13:02
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-22 19:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:14:12	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x396c01…
06-05 15:58:48	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd81e7a…
05-16 19:21:32	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdbc3c6…
05-16 19:02:45	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5375ee…
05-16 18:32:16	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xed86ba…
05-16 18:05:28	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9e33a…
05-16 16:47:09	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x373a5d…
05-16 16:20:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x33b73d…
05-16 16:03:36	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x10d629…
05-16 15:39:55	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x553d73…
05-16 15:39:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3b9b73…
05-16 15:12:53	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdfa17…
05-15 05:24:43	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcf4766…
05-15 05:24:26	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bd51…
05-13 12:35:20	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25076e…
05-10 18:25:40	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc652dd…
05-10 17:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x9f523e…
05-10 17:43:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x3f581f…
05-08 05:40:38	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc7d9bc…
05-07 04:02:40	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ebf51…
05-05 13:54:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb14c05…
05-05 13:43:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35a8e4…
04-30 18:46:20	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1f83c…
04-30 08:29:54	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2378d0…
04-30 08:29:24	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbfe4b8…
04-30 07:57:18	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c7d74…
04-27 04:38:10	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfb0b3a…
04-26 15:01:28	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x028f3b…
04-24 18:41:38	Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5124b1…
04-24 06:12:36	Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdc3980…
04-22 17:55:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x72faa3…
04-21 17:54:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b14bf…
04-21 05:58:42	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x57e967…
04-21 05:58:26	dow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 neg0pt30	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xce23d6…
04-21 05:55:46	Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xab2fd1…
04-21 05:54:54	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbd0457…
04-17 17:50:08	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x442705…
04-16 15:10:50	aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 neg0pt46	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6e9fed…
04-16 15:10:00	unp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt84	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaf572c…
04-15 13:04:46	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc15410…
04-15 13:04:18	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc7eae9…
04-15 13:03:28	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x470522…
04-15 13:03:16	hal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x12b07e…
04-15 13:02:58	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x093307…
04-15 13:02:30	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa36e65…
04-14 16:49:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x326de9…
04-13 10:15:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86bdb2…
04-12 18:47:55	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8e8423…
04-12 18:47:35	pep quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt54	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x89dee6…
04-06 18:31:41	will starmer say oil or gas during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5e6f49…
04-04 20:05:47	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 5pt43	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8b5f9a…
04-04 20:05:31	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 12pt26	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x37a72e…
04-01 13:15:17	will starmer say oil or gas during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x28191e…
04-01 11:18:09	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x50a366…
03-30 16:02:17	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe40cb1…
03-30 15:58:23	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x687c8d…
03-30 15:40:41	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbdcb97…
03-30 15:20:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcd9921…
03-30 08:48:28	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x549394…
03-30 04:31:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x79f2e7…
03-30 04:31:18	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb8d72b…
03-28 16:27:43	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8c67f…
03-28 16:25:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfd474f…
03-27 08:02:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb1e811…
03-25 16:40:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x35e494…
03-25 16:25:03	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x061c19…
03-23 15:36:39	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x821aa7…
03-23 15:23:27	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c45bc…
03-22 19:45:45	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xbc7411…
03-20 17:06:23	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcb38cb…
03-20 16:58:31	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x52a83f…
03-14 13:25:39	will new slovenia christian democrats nsi win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c0a7f…
03-14 13:24:57	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa86d36…
03-14 13:24:33	baba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 1pt59	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd62999…
03-12 06:16:03	wsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 18 2026 2pt91	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe28b48…
03-12 06:15:41	dks quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 2pt97	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa14b68…
03-12 05:50:31	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x40cc70…
03-05 14:55:57	hpe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 0pt59	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb14bd1…
03-05 14:54:37	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x296d3e…
03-05 14:53:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x92bbba…
03-05 14:43:33	will liga win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	882	0¢	$1	0xc16258…
02-27 14:59:09	anf quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 04 2026 3pt58	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc657ee…
02-27 14:58:41	mdb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 1pt47	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb2ea6e…
02-27 14:57:55	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x36fadd…
02-27 14:37:39	will liga win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	882	0¢	$1	0xfdcb35…
02-25 14:16:06	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8d59c7…
02-25 14:15:48	intu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 3pt68	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4bcf24…
02-25 14:15:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x584d3a…
02-23 12:44:30	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6a795a…
02-21 07:19:22	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe8349c…
02-21 06:27:10	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcae0db…
02-21 06:10:36	ftdr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt13	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb8f720…
02-18 19:09:30	will the left win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x747db5…
02-16 16:56:33	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x32c1ec…
02-14 14:12:33	will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1c009a…
02-14 13:57:59	will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2a1c4…
02-14 13:45:59	cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x216090…
02-14 13:42:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbeced3…
02-13 09:20:13	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7eafc9…
02-11 12:07:21	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3f8af5…