Rubbery-Lard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$763

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

533

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-05 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 54% +$895

Sports

4% 55% -$77

Other

1% 15% -$48

Politics

0% 27% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	7	$2.0K	1,153	1,253	-100	Up	+$355	04-30 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,087	1,087	+0	Up	+$576	05-01 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,001	1,001	+0	Up	+$368	05-01 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$1.2K	963	963	+0	Up	+$210	04-30 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$1.2K	782	782	+0	Down	+$374	05-01 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$1.1K	841	790	+50	Up	+$274	05-01 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$1.1K	851	851	+0	Up	+$289	05-01 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1000	1,890	0	+1,890	Down	-$1,000	05-01 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$983	1,365	463	+902	Down	-$517	04-30 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$979	585	585	+0	Down	+$179	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$894	600	600	+0	Down	+$294	05-01 08:50
Rockets vs. Lakers	2	$881	482	482	+0	Rockets	+$81	04-30 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$864	631	631	+0	Down	+$264	05-01 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$824	562	562	+0	Down	+$224	05-01 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$816	560	560	+0	Up	+$216	05-01 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$772	606	606	+0	Up	+$172	05-01 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$755	588	588	+0	Up	+$155	05-01 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$700	1,339	0	+1,339	Down	-$700	05-01 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$691	480	480	+0	Up	+$191	05-01 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$676	490	490	+0	Up	+$176	05-01 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:35 UTC	4	$657	654	654	+0	Up	+$457	09-18 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$641	490	490	+0	Up	+$141	05-01 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$622	500	500	+0	Down	+$122	05-01 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$603	407	407	+0	Up	+$203	04-29 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$583	490	490	+0	Up	+$83	05-01 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$570	544	544	+0	Up	+$50	05-01 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$500	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	-$500	05-01 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$500	1,039	0	+1,039	Down	+$539	04-30 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$500	894	0	+894	Down	-$500	04-30 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$500	1,112	0	+1,112	Up	-$500	05-01 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 03:27:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x41d2ac…
10-05 03:27:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x21b7e4…
10-05 03:26:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xab8378…
10-05 03:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x07e98f…
10-05 03:23:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9228fd…
10-05 03:21:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd8a0e0…
10-05 03:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x88edbe…
10-05 03:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5c057a…
10-05 03:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xceae3c…
10-05 03:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4513ff…
10-05 03:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x06cff4…
10-05 03:03:40	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd572d5…
10-05 03:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc8f0db…
10-05 03:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x166877…
10-05 03:00:02	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x839db1…
10-05 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x431625…
10-05 02:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x3d2337…
10-05 02:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x088950…
10-05 02:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2c8b3f…
10-05 02:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6aa642…
10-03 17:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x816249…
10-03 17:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc3b7bd…
10-03 17:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xc89397…
10-03 17:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7c3839…
10-02 05:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x909589…
10-02 05:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf72a46…
10-02 05:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0d1acc…
10-02 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8de9bb…
10-02 05:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a4056…
10-02 05:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x91022e…
10-02 05:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcfad57…
10-01 05:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0x613ae2…
10-01 05:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x15bfe8…
10-01 05:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2f2a73…
10-01 05:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x57459a…
10-01 05:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5d0620…
10-01 05:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7d8664…
10-01 05:29:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x978bd2…
10-01 05:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2686cd…
10-01 05:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c31e4…
10-01 05:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa19f78…
10-01 04:47:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a5ec5…
10-01 04:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfa330b…
10-01 03:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x122d4c…
10-01 03:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5fb196…
10-01 03:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdea1fe…
10-01 03:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc77c44…
10-01 03:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd1f1ff…
10-01 03:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab4f15…
10-01 03:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xc20906…
10-01 03:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3fff1e…
09-30 23:09:12	mlb cws hou 2026 09 30	Houston Astros	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2cb037…
09-30 22:55:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x27da7f…
09-30 22:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xccef31…
09-30 22:45:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe1095f…
09-30 22:37:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2af307…
09-30 22:36:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf4d31f…
09-30 22:35:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x0fd41e…
09-30 22:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0cb658…
09-30 22:27:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x837cd2…
09-30 22:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x338701…
09-30 22:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x16d2fe…
09-30 22:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x26b038…
09-30 22:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4de0a9…
09-30 22:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3fb71a…
09-30 21:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3f434…
09-30 21:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd892aa…
09-30 21:48:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6420f1…
09-30 21:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x34fb7c…
09-30 21:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbd23df…
09-30 21:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7adf4c…
09-30 21:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x004ac4…
09-29 04:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdf2a37…
09-29 04:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3f19ec…
09-29 04:44:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4a0eef…
09-29 04:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	440	1¢	$5	0x457b2c…
09-29 04:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xca8799…
09-29 04:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x173d69…
09-29 04:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc79301…
09-29 04:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc3f1fa…
09-29 04:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x9e22bb…
09-29 04:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x326a6b…
09-29 04:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8eea85…
09-29 04:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2e9e86…
09-29 04:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa69719…
09-29 04:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5f7bc2…
09-29 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x21fc6d…
09-29 04:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xdfc4ab…
09-29 04:16:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x766b5f…
09-25 11:07:23	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2cc6d8…
09-25 11:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4d3308…
09-25 10:54:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf1dd19…
09-25 10:54:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x856675…
09-25 10:53:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x7328c9…
09-25 10:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7464a0…
09-25 10:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdbd3ab…
09-18 12:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf63766…
09-18 06:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x68252c…
09-18 06:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xeb63b9…
09-18 06:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xce54ff…