Warmhearted-Prisoner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

111

Trades

2,327

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-27 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Sports

69% 42% -$169

Other

31% 56% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	264	$269	49,397	39,397	+10,000	No	+$20	05-04 01:43
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	187	$171	63,166	35,167	+28,000	open	—	10-27 21:47
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	136	$147	53,000	29,500	+23,500	open	—	10-11 12:42
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	40	$117	65,000	52,000	+13,000	No	-$13	06-15 14:39
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$108	30,000	45,000	-15,000	No	+$18	06-07 13:22
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$88	41,500	28,000	+13,500	No	-$32	06-14 20:37
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$87	28,000	27,000	+1,000	No	+$31	07-03 23:40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	441	$81	20,869	20,869	+0	No	+$10	06-25 11:15
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	7	$73	12,167	12,167	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$64	34,500	22,500	+12,000	No	-$20	06-22 02:27
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$60	30,500	15,000	+15,500	No	-$30	06-15 23:08
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	15	$49	8,383	8,383	+0	No	+$15	04-30 08:17
Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	55	$47	13,633	6,206	+7,426	open	—	10-27 21:45
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	4	$46	3,859	3,859	+0	No	+$0	05-14 03:06
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	4	$44	1,529	1,029	+500	No	-$1	07-10 08:40
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	47	$44	14,000	14,000	-0	No	+$0	04-22 09:02
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?	420	$42	23,249	5,250	+17,999	No	-$21	06-06 04:41
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	18	$41	11,789	4,289	+7,500	No	-$15	05-10 00:15
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$40	20,500	12,500	+8,000	No	-$16	06-10 17:22
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	150	$40	16,252	10,685	+5,567	No	-$19	09-24 20:05
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	158	$36	22,440	4,590	+17,850	No	-$27	09-21 18:21
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$36	20,000	5,000	+15,000	No	-$26	06-17 17:16
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$35	20,500	0	+20,500	No	-$35	06-27 20:16
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	10	$32	11,800	1,650	+10,150	open	—	10-20 19:15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$30	15,000	5,000	+10,000	No	-$10	05-12 04:42
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	5	$28	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-23 02:59
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$28	16,000	4,000	+12,000	No	-$12	04-27 20:22
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$28	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$12	04-20 03:07
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$28	18,000	0	+18,000	No	-$28	06-30 03:27
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$27	3,333	3,333	+0	No	+$7	06-28 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:47:08	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x183a31…
10-27 21:45:51	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xdf73c9…
10-22 02:38:23	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x81ee09…
10-22 02:36:36	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,989	0¢	$8	0x567f38…
10-20 19:15:33	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa40d26…
10-11 12:43:34	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7e1559…
10-11 12:42:55	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x63bd17…
10-04 08:28:23	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x1a04c7…
10-04 08:27:25	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x483e9a…
10-02 23:40:56	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	461	0¢	$1	0x91ffbe…
10-02 23:40:56	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x2ccf90…
10-02 23:40:54	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x70a3a2…
10-02 23:40:54	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5f5c54…
10-02 10:29:26	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa9387b…
10-02 08:23:57	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x830045…
10-02 08:23:57	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x392470…
10-02 05:54:06	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf4368…
10-02 05:22:06	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1b412d…
10-01 06:47:20	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x12b826…
10-01 05:33:32	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x64fa99…
10-01 03:36:56	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4520b5…
10-01 02:16:56	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x3328b6…
10-01 00:04:44	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xb1b31a…
09-30 22:20:56	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9e38ba…
09-30 20:03:23	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfcfb06…
09-30 17:19:08	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x21b45e…
09-30 17:18:36	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x4f1cd9…
09-30 17:18:36	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x371251…
09-30 16:52:15	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa8ee8c…
09-30 14:46:21	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9de639…
09-30 13:15:12	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc2e96a…
09-30 09:33:21	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x39b8d9…
09-30 00:55:54	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc2e0a6…
09-30 00:55:48	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4fc316…
09-30 00:55:48	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x39e40f…
09-30 00:55:45	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd56cfb…
09-30 00:55:45	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7eea93…
09-24 20:09:11	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd73851…
09-24 20:07:02	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x1ebd5d…
09-24 20:05:47	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x54675d…
09-22 05:47:55	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0e1819…
09-22 05:28:24	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x278961…
09-21 18:21:06	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0xcec6c9…
09-20 15:52:00	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xec563b…
09-19 02:57:52	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x3406db…
09-19 02:52:55	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x25134d…
09-19 02:52:07	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xa58767…
09-19 02:51:43	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7e8b4c…
09-14 14:46:33	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2e7fa8…
09-14 02:53:34	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0xd32d60…
09-14 02:51:55	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe12d10…
09-14 02:50:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,567	0¢	$5	0x29dfc3…
09-09 18:49:31	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x90ecfd…
09-09 18:47:45	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xac9aa0…
09-09 17:13:12	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	850	0¢	$1	0x9f1788…
09-09 08:52:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,680	0¢	$11	0x4aeb97…
09-07 19:34:03	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12dc64…
09-07 19:33:25	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xbe4b3f…
09-07 19:33:04	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xca2065…
09-07 19:32:04	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x5c50d8…
09-03 16:09:51	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05ae60…
09-03 16:09:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xeae442…
09-03 16:09:40	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf89c39…
09-03 16:09:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x296e9f…
09-03 16:09:27	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xe13f4e…
09-03 16:09:27	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xbb69d0…
09-03 16:09:27	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x36a86b…
09-03 16:09:25	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xbce67c…
09-03 16:08:51	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xfd02cf…
09-03 16:08:51	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe0ea9f…
09-03 16:08:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc5faf2…
09-03 16:08:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9706a6…
09-03 16:07:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x30ecd2…
09-03 16:05:37	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2b40a9…
09-03 16:05:25	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3d502e…
09-03 16:05:03	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3f903e…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xff0573…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe656e3…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd3886c…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6843d2…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x2efe2d…
09-03 16:04:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x0ace19…
09-03 16:03:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf4a5df…
09-03 16:03:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa08fd6…
09-03 16:03:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8a5143…
09-03 16:01:21	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf986fc…
09-03 16:01:21	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x77c6ef…
09-03 16:01:21	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4524d3…
09-03 15:43:57	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x817ae1…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xa49d5d…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9f9fb3…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7ba8a3…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x52a814…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x28238d…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x280de0…
09-03 15:43:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x15be7e…
09-03 15:38:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe998a3…
09-03 15:38:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	344	0¢	$0	0xb17335…
09-03 15:38:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x5801f9…
09-03 15:38:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x4ca9b1…