Potable-Output — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$244

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-29 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

49% 87% +$3

Tech

28% 94% +$1

Crypto

14% 100% +$2

Politics

7% 83% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	+$0	08-29 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	4	$12	24	23	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 05:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 07:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	4	$10	13	9	+4	Down	+$0	02-09 05:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	02-19 15:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-28 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:15 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 13:17
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 07:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-13 02:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-25 01:32
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	03-31 07:22
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-02 08:20
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 07:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-31 07:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 07:24
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	01-24 13:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-23 10:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	05-17 08:37
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	02-06 13:26
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-08 12:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 13:56
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 07:23
will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 07:23
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	01-31 13:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-29 14:24
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-29 14:23
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-24 07:52
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 14:24
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-13 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:24:22	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x967eed…
08-29 14:24:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x46d03f…
08-29 14:24:04	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd275e5…
08-29 14:23:58	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x83c22b…
07-21 13:58:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x954449…
07-14 12:47:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1a03dd…
07-10 09:47:37	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cace2…
07-09 15:31:10	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdf13ef…
07-01 09:06:32	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2be95…
06-25 01:45:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf855d…
06-23 10:03:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1e6b22…
06-18 12:42:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x598ef2…
06-13 13:41:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd041b2…
06-09 02:34:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b3b8a…
06-04 08:55:00	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6b85eb…
06-02 00:30:29	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20234c…
05-28 07:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x91ff2f…
05-28 07:34:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x69c731…
05-22 07:18:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x790761…
05-20 00:58:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x715220…
05-17 08:37:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac33ae…
05-14 07:40:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3ca8d8…
05-12 03:23:04	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a32e9…
05-07 14:51:52	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d2541…
05-07 14:51:45	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fe0dc…
05-07 14:51:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbd41ea…
05-04 13:39:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7d787…
04-28 02:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9fc003…
04-23 09:26:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd77d0f…
04-18 08:08:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f9f08…
04-16 11:05:28	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7e57bb…
04-15 07:37:28	Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5cc640…
04-13 02:06:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c6f34…
04-10 01:37:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x168526…
04-08 08:02:15	chatgpt outage by april 10 446	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x222eba…
04-06 05:12:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x641feb…
04-01 23:15:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8bbd88…
03-31 07:24:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e8da5…
03-31 07:24:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaf6b22…
03-31 07:23:53	will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3621d7…
03-31 07:23:45	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x418517…
03-31 07:23:21	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x42f535…
03-31 07:23:13	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x78d1e4…
03-31 07:22:57	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf0f9d2…
03-31 07:22:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd8f936…
03-31 07:22:35	will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6be16c…
03-30 02:30:50	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x827997…
03-28 14:43:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ded39…
03-26 09:27:47	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb4173f…
03-25 01:27:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xff119e…
03-22 09:39:39	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf0056b…
03-20 08:18:59	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xee8c7a…
03-18 07:16:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9efe12…
03-16 12:02:23	will hoppers opening weekend box office be less than 26m	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb956ef…
03-15 06:05:15	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4f22c5…
03-14 08:48:17	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x24cb22…
03-11 12:10:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x367afa…
03-10 05:49:29	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1eb132…
03-08 14:09:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x31dbfe…
03-07 14:29:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x51e22e…
03-05 13:40:59	meta above 600 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94d290…
03-01 11:56:27	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7e4b33…
02-26 08:08:38	iart quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt8	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc10fe2…
02-24 07:52:26	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8edb32…
02-20 21:47:56	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe957a0…
02-19 15:26:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcc13ca…
02-14 12:09:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x677a0c…
02-13 11:11:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdd2ea7…
02-13 11:11:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe9bd9e…
02-11 13:05:33	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4aa6ee…
02-10 13:17:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0xc076a7…
02-10 13:16:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x290942…
02-10 13:15:41	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc9c46c…
02-09 05:50:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xcd2b2f…
02-09 05:49:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x01d396…
02-09 05:45:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfd239d…
02-09 05:45:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9b0835…
02-09 05:42:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe9ab47…
02-09 05:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x0226f0…
02-09 05:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x836a30…
02-09 05:39:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf63d7d…
02-06 13:26:33	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0ce648…
02-02 08:20:54	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaec03b…
01-31 13:56:28	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9a8975…
01-31 13:56:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5962fe…
01-31 13:56:12	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x80cb41…
01-31 13:55:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9b2e96…
01-29 09:38:02	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x38d1d7…
01-27 02:23:57	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd28a25…
01-25 01:32:36	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61ffa5…
01-24 13:50:40	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7beb59…
01-22 11:52:18	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x399079…
01-21 02:39:02	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe16875…
01-20 09:35:48	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0d0247…
01-19 11:46:58	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xce1490…
01-16 02:11:36	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x01c0f4…
01-15 11:49:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd14650…
01-13 10:39:55	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfe7785…
01-12 11:20:18	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5260d2…
01-12 06:10:30	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe9376…