Wordy-Transport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.64K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

12,615

Trades

28,062

lifetime

Volume

$172.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 51% -$3,944

Other

4% 40% -$483

Politics

1% 47% -$238

Sports

0% 30% +$38

Tech

0% 50% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$9	96¢	$0	+$10	08-20 18:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:00 UTC	22	$388	749	0	+749	Up	-$44	01-02 03:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:15 UTC	27	$375	741	0	+741	Down	+$92	01-02 03:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:45 UTC	17	$342	326	225	+101	Up	+$18	03-10 07:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:15 UTC	57	$316	1,387	118	+1,269	Down	+$41	01-02 08:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 10:00 UTC	17	$310	177	177	+0	Up	+$5	01-02 10:10
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	4	$269	174	174	+0	No	-$26	05-07 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 07:45 UTC	19	$222	259	190	+69	Down	+$48	01-02 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:30 UTC	98	$222	966	136	+831	Up	+$7	01-02 08:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:00 UTC	14	$221	461	0	+461	Up	+$4	01-02 03:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$221	133	133	+0	Yes	+$22	05-07 14:18
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $285?	4	$215	188	188	+0	No	-$102	05-01 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:15 UTC	59	$213	824	133	+691	Down	-$220	01-02 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 13:15 UTC	11	$210	138	168	-30	Up	+$82	01-08 13:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 10:45 UTC	11	$201	450	132	+318	Down	-$13	01-14 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$186	143	108	+35	No	+$12	05-14 05:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 01:00 UTC	38	$186	216	172	+44	Down	+$31	01-07 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:30 UTC	15	$181	177	140	+37	Up	+$7	01-02 11:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:15 UTC	17	$174	182	36	+146	Up	+$9	01-02 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:45 UTC	18	$171	241	98	+143	Up	+$20	01-02 08:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:45 UTC	20	$166	196	194	+2	Up	+$12	01-08 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 04:30 UTC	8	$165	272	0	+272	Down	-$132	01-02 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:50 UTC	8	$162	146	143	+2	Down	+$17	03-10 07:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 08:30 UTC	73	$162	1,027	51	+976	Up	-$56	01-02 08:43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$160	134	134	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	05-17 01:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 20:15 UTC	25	$156	196	213	-17	Down	+$35	01-02 20:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 02:30 UTC	23	$155	984	0	+984	Up	-$4	01-02 02:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 11:30 UTC	8	$155	151	149	+2	Up	-$10	01-14 11:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$153	110	55	+55	Yes	+$9	05-01 15:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 15:30 UTC	6	$151	141	139	+2	Down	-$12	01-14 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 09:00 UTC	14	$150	547	0	+547	Up	+$1	01-02 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:45:13	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x898264…
10-27 22:36:05	Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x38111a…
10-27 00:37:21	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xaeec98…
10-26 17:42:51	Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x35868b…
10-24 08:16:33	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x0a9045…
10-24 08:04:48	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xde5352…
10-24 06:37:06	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8fe1a7…
10-24 04:37:57	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc99f00…
10-24 02:43:21	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x93d704…
10-23 00:40:23	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xb8bbef…
10-21 18:51:39	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x5cc302…
10-21 17:55:23	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x1d2b4b…
10-20 13:53:05	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xfbe00c…
10-19 07:52:30	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x3b8773…
10-19 07:16:11	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on october 22 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc56587…
10-19 03:53:12	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xf897b0…
10-18 21:42:03	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xfb5baf…
10-18 15:52:29	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x1c851d…
10-18 09:38:20	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0xad073b…
10-09 19:39:14	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xb38a8c…
10-09 19:38:02	Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x843271…
10-07 00:35:07	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in October?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x85b08b…
10-06 22:05:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 143 and 145 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x90cd64…
10-06 09:27:09	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	No	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0xd54369…
10-06 09:25:27	Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xea0f22…
10-05 19:42:44	Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x2e57b1…
10-05 19:41:37	Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x04e3ac…
10-04 10:47:59	Will "Digger" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf0f9c2…
10-02 02:25:02	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x78ffa3…
10-01 23:04:36	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd90043…
10-01 23:04:36	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd4c49e…
10-01 23:04:36	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4783a6…
10-01 23:00:32	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x243dd7…
09-25 14:44:38	Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0x9dc5fd…
09-25 02:44:05	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x93aa0d…
09-24 23:45:57	Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0x3674eb…
09-24 23:44:00	Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x70315a…
09-21 16:28:29	Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x97a14a…
09-17 08:27:22	will resident evil score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x45efd0…
09-12 05:27:19	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	59	24¢	$14	0xa62488…
09-10 21:12:03	Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xc0edfb…
09-07 18:31:55	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x4468f2…
09-06 21:41:12	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x75a12c…
09-05 04:39:37	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe10a47…
09-04 21:45:03	Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x70dd2c…
09-02 00:42:55	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	221	21¢	$46	0xd03ae4…
09-01 20:33:22	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	221	19¢	$42	0xf7cb02…
09-01 18:55:31	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	BUY	81	11¢	$9	0x045897…
09-01 18:55:00	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x28d3d7…
09-01 18:54:01	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x8b1be2…
08-29 18:31:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x4491ad…
08-26 09:46:34	Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x085fd4…
08-22 10:47:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85251a…
08-22 10:46:46	will there be at least 20000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618911	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6db5a0…
08-22 10:46:15	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x0b6da3…
08-22 10:45:15	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0f45a4…
08-20 18:28:58	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xf39ed1…
08-20 18:28:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xc430d5…
08-20 18:27:28	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	54	84¢	$45	0x64b4c5…
08-20 18:26:31	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	208	21¢	$44	0x51f2a2…
08-20 06:49:40	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	81	61¢	$49	0x27a30a…
08-15 12:50:42	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be less than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xecca07…
08-12 18:49:57	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x42a56e…
08-12 17:15:18	Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 31 be less than 0.1?	Yes	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x50afb1…
08-07 12:57:30	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x98cd2a…
08-07 12:02:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x919e5d…
07-29 16:47:08	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xca73df…
07-29 16:45:44	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc932c3…
07-24 19:45:40	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xefc9f9…
07-19 01:18:18	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4c6f73…
07-17 20:51:42	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x209b63…
07-15 08:31:52	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x4f3996…
07-02 03:58:23	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0xca40d5…
07-02 03:58:04	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x4a9680…
07-02 03:57:38	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	No	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xb32794…
06-26 14:27:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x4cdd66…
06-24 21:43:43	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x10924f…
06-24 11:49:37	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x1c9bc1…
06-24 03:49:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0xca8736…
06-23 22:03:40	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x5ea7e6…
06-23 21:54:41	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x99f6b5…
06-21 21:49:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x6fb28b…
06-21 05:53:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xec13a1…
06-21 03:31:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x70c945…
06-21 01:04:34	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x6db2e2…
06-20 15:52:43	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?	Yes	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x5dd66e…
06-20 10:37:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x513cf8…
06-20 09:23:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x0d3bc7…
06-20 08:34:41	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x5832e0…
06-20 07:19:46	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$21	0x26f429…
06-20 07:13:19	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x274341…
06-20 03:14:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x41d67e…
06-19 13:03:44	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0xa60411…
06-18 06:46:52	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x5f1243…
06-18 06:26:22	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x6ec1f2…
06-18 06:25:25	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x137334…
06-18 06:24:01	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$8	0xedb773…
06-18 06:23:05	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x753d9a…
06-18 04:18:01	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x4a3fcc…
06-18 03:11:28	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb90351…