Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,695
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$292
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-10 18:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
28%
Crypto
10%
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 06-04 09:28
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-1 06-04 11:44
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +15 $14 90¢ $13 $-1 06-09 09:16
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +15 $10 75¢ $11 +$1 06-08 01:43
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +13 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 06-08 23:00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 91¢ $11 +$0 06-09 08:52
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-08 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-04 09:26
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-09 23:57
Will Trump resign before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-10 09:09
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 06-10 17:58
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 06-10 10:27
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 06-09 01:19
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-10 13:35
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-10 14:44
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-08 07:31
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +10 $7 92¢ $9 +$2 06-10 22:48
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-10 22:40
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-10 20:54
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 06-10 20:57
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-10 00:03
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-09 09:14
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-08 16:45
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-10 05:36
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +10 $5 87¢ $9 +$3 06-10 20:33
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 +$0 06-09 21:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-09 19:49
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +10 $8 85¢ $8 +$0 06-09 06:12
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-08 08:04
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 06-10 00:34