Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823ddc…dc2db3
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$241
Unrealized P&L
+$292
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
580
Trades
2,554
lifetime
Volume
$129.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$2.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
41% 60% -$324
Politics
36% 64% +$204
Sports
15% 85% +$277
Crypto
7% 66% +$67
Tech
1% 67% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -660 -$596 97¢ $-637 -$41 06-11 22:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +500 $450 92¢ $460 +$10 10-08 10:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +405 $193 94¢ $379 +$186 08-26 03:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +347 $225 82¢ $283 +$58 09-18 02:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $186 96¢ $191 +$5 09-04 12:50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 07-19 18:23
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $57 77¢ $85 +$28 08-16 13:35
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +90 $59 92¢ $83 +$24 09-16 15:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +77 $68 94¢ $72 +$4 10-05 18:13
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +50 $34 82¢ $41 +$7 08-18 14:24
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +33 $31 97¢ $32 +$0 09-04 10:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +50 $30 62¢ $31 +$1 10-08 16:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 08-19 23:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$3 08-19 00:57
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +30 $26 87¢ $26 $0 09-01 22:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +20 $19 92¢ $18 $0 08-21 04:06
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +18 $15 94¢ $17 +$2 07-20 11:49
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +18 $16 96¢ $17 +$1 05-07 16:40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +25 $18 66¢ $17 -$1 10-05 14:11
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 82¢ $16 $0 09-25 23:41
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $17 80¢ $16 -$1 08-31 11:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +14 $10 94¢ $13 +$3 07-29 23:17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $10 97¢ $12 +$2 07-21 17:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +12 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 07-23 16:19
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-07 23:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $20 34¢ $10 -$10 08-24 04:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 07-26 17:19
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +8 $8 94¢ $8 $0 05-10 10:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 $0 07-26 17:20
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 73¢ $7 +$1 10-07 09:21