Quick-Witted-Certificate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,951

lifetime

Volume

$111.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

39% 67% $-1

Politics

37% 75% $-56

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	64	$3.2K	3,826	3,826	+0	open	—	06-08 00:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	13	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-18 15:31
us forces enter iran by march 7	20	$2.3K	1,188	1,288	-100	open	—	03-05 12:45
nba min mem 2026 01 31	6	$2.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	open	—	02-01 03:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$2.1K	1,240	1,303	-63	open	—	06-17 01:29
will iran strike uae again in march	9	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	04-06 10:17
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	9	$2.0K	1,185	903	+282	open	—	01-10 10:32
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	32	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	03-01 11:41
nba nyk gsw 2026 01 15	3	$1.9K	990	990	+0	open	—	01-16 05:33
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	2	$1.9K	959	959	+0	open	—	02-01 22:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.9K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	06-02 08:19
val kru1 fur 2026 01 16 game2	2	$1.7K	867	867	+0	open	—	01-17 00:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-27 10:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	17	$1.6K	1,000	900	+100	open	—	03-26 11:40
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	2	$1.6K	817	817	+0	open	—	01-20 00:32
val mibr nrg 2026 02 15	38	$1.6K	1,201	1,218	-17	open	—	02-16 02:25
nba okc cle 2026 01 19	2	$1.6K	795	795	+0	open	—	01-19 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-18 15:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$1.5K	850	850	+0	open	—	03-30 12:22
nba mia was 2026 02 08	2	$1.5K	745	745	+0	open	—	02-08 20:54
Savannah: Franco Roncadelli vs Nishesh Basavareddy	9	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-23 09:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	26	$1.4K	828	928	-100	open	—	03-08 14:47
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	01-11 13:49
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-13 14:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.3K	820	820	+0	Yes	$-66	05-08 18:27
atp midon ambrogi 2026 04 08	41	$1.3K	1,000	998	+2	open	—	04-08 15:50
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	22	$1.3K	905	600	+305	open	—	01-10 14:25
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Zsombor Piros	12	$1.2K	933	933	+0	open	—	04-21 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.2K	640	700	-60	open	—	06-17 01:10
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$1.1K	752	752	+0	open	—	03-07 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:12:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x30b16b…
08-10 10:40:37	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xd55b92…
08-08 15:30:07	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x61b290…
08-07 12:10:57	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x26a681…
08-07 10:35:46	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc29320…
08-07 04:28:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x643fdb…
08-07 04:27:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x9426b4…
08-07 04:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x42c54b…
08-07 03:59:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	93	88¢	$82	0x3b6aa6…
08-06 22:08:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x41badd…
08-06 21:58:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xccaa8c…
08-06 21:42:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xeb7d84…
08-06 14:48:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x6551fb…
08-06 12:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x99c091…
08-06 12:23:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x894c7a…
08-06 11:58:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x1166a1…
08-05 21:53:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xa8852a…
08-05 18:15:29	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0x38164e…
08-05 05:51:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xce2abc…
08-05 02:12:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1b6db2…
08-05 01:36:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xc855e8…
08-04 11:51:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xfe38d2…
08-04 01:10:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb1f45b…
08-03 23:16:33	Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xce23ef…
08-03 14:24:35	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	73¢	$62	0x606bec…
08-02 02:47:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0x64f11d…
08-01 17:49:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x522ba8…
08-01 14:25:09	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x71924b…
07-30 18:44:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd190d5…
07-30 16:43:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x79a6ba…
07-30 13:34:09	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x9818bb…
07-29 23:17:11	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbc700d…
07-29 23:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	45	18¢	$8	0x0fc707…
07-29 23:15:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$19	0x770d22…
07-29 23:11:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	129	17¢	$22	0x5ff9cd…
07-29 23:10:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xd77c0b…
07-29 23:08:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf77a11…
07-29 22:58:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x52b179…
07-29 22:58:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	170	95¢	$162	0xf62b3d…
07-29 22:51:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x228bf8…
07-29 22:42:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x9dda9b…
07-29 22:41:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xa8da17…
07-29 22:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	114	19¢	$22	0x51a8d1…
07-29 22:30:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x42675e…
07-29 22:10:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	88	20¢	$18	0x43403e…
07-29 22:09:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x6adeb8…
07-29 20:59:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xf3443d…
07-29 20:53:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfacfe8…
07-29 20:53:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdc2849…
07-29 20:53:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xc55223…
07-29 20:53:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe0db8e…
07-29 20:53:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x5516eb…
07-29 19:44:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0x44ca00…
07-29 19:22:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x93e171…
07-26 23:05:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x951b82…
07-26 23:05:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0x85d525…
07-25 15:25:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8df565…
07-25 07:26:09	pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt41	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x191614…
07-24 12:52:07	cat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x62b30d…
07-23 19:13:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x16f138…
07-23 19:13:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2931a3…
07-23 18:38:45	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x428493…
07-23 17:07:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x54d596…
07-23 16:33:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0x1bbb91…
07-23 16:33:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5acf36…
07-23 00:03:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0xcb5d5f…
07-22 17:19:31	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x570e43…
07-22 17:19:12	tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 2pt58	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdc4cd6…
07-21 18:01:40	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1cbb0a…
07-21 17:25:12	imax quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb0f992…
07-21 17:24:54	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xd048e6…
07-21 17:24:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x7b4bbd…
07-21 17:23:09	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe344df…
07-20 16:21:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd91a24…
07-20 11:49:46	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x70aa9b…
07-19 18:23:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x90596e…
07-18 18:54:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xd3649f…
07-18 12:45:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x788b28…
07-18 12:45:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xe39fa9…
07-18 11:02:33	msci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 4pt90	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x705fb8…
07-18 05:59:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa3dc5a…
07-17 20:01:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x08a99b…
07-17 17:30:06	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x739279…
07-17 17:29:37	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xd30b57…
07-17 16:02:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x85c528…
07-16 18:04:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbb3da8…
07-15 19:45:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x238bff…
07-15 17:10:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x46da9a…
07-13 18:44:05	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0xf88f0a…
07-12 14:09:02	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0xe48e3a…
07-12 14:08:58	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0xb26178…
07-12 12:10:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	106	44¢	$47	0xd82da5…
07-12 11:58:20	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x0bcb59…
07-12 11:51:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3f06d0…
07-12 11:41:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0x889864…
07-12 11:33:58	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xabc33f…
07-12 11:17:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xc4a1ff…
07-12 11:14:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xe5b8c9…
07-12 11:14:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	178	44¢	$78	0x30608a…
07-12 11:08:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xc4b3a9…