Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
25.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,883
lifetime
Volume
$109.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$699
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
39% 67% $-1
Politics
36% 75% $-56
Sports
17%
Crypto
7% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -460 $-416 94¢ $-435 $-19 06-11 22:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +100 $88 89¢ $89 +$1 07-19 18:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +140 $71 56¢ $78 +$7 07-20 16:21
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +102 $64 48¢ $49 $-15 07-13 18:44
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +18 $15 85¢ $16 +$1 07-20 11:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $-0 07-21 17:23
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 06-08 20:59
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-15 11:05
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +7 $6 89¢ $6 $-0 06-20 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $-8 70¢ $4 +$12 07-18 18:54