Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$49

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-04 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

13% 100% +$2

Sports

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$17	75¢	$15	$-2	06-04 16:42
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$14	74¢	$15	+$1	06-03 15:11
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$15	50¢	$10	$-5	06-03 18:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+10	$8	90¢	$9	+$1	06-02 21:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 5	7	$549	380	200	+180	open	—	01-05 14:17
will tim walz drop out by march 31	4	$409	211	211	+0	open	—	01-05 13:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$380	210	210	+0	open	—	01-07 15:05
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	12	$335	190	190	+0	open	—	01-11 11:29
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	1	$201	203	0	+203	open	—	03-18 16:41
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-17 05:50
bitcoin up or down on january 6	2	$199	510	0	+510	open	—	01-06 07:38
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 14:39
cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 02 18 game2	8	$195	400	0	+400	open	—	02-18 11:33
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	6	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 12:11
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	01-08 08:55
us strike on colombia by january 31	4	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 10:52
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	02-16 10:35
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 01:22
spx up or down on january 5 2026	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 15:20
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	2	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	01-07 02:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 18:19
lol ig1 wb 2026 02 06 game1	21	$173	360	0	+360	open	—	02-06 07:48
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	3	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	01-12 19:19
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	4	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 14:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	4	$165	93	100	-7	open	—	01-09 07:04
nvda above 200 on january 30 2026	4	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 19:13
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 17:25
will maru reach 600m in q1	2	$143	145	0	+145	open	—	02-10 16:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 15:13
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-31 13:08
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	1	$134	200	0	+200	open	—	03-15 19:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 5	5	$131	100	100	+0	open	—	01-05 15:19
bitcoin up or down on january 7	4	$127	240	0	+240	open	—	01-06 20:06
will maru reach 700m in q1	2	$115	62	62	+0	open	—	02-11 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 16:42:16	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x854d04…
06-03 18:10:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x44f123…
06-03 15:11:51	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x1cb7c3…
06-02 21:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x934dc9…
06-02 21:21:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1a6091…
06-02 19:20:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x4b590e…
05-28 06:43:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x39e856…
05-25 11:15:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb81e97…
05-25 10:55:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0d900c…
05-25 05:47:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4798cd…
05-22 19:17:10	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xc01014…
05-22 17:58:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0ffc30…
05-18 09:49:55	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xbaba13…
05-18 06:33:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3b0970…
05-18 05:39:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xeaf3de…
05-13 20:36:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa5a5f1…
05-11 20:38:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6badaa…
05-03 15:22:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xee64a0…
05-02 18:11:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbe41b8…
05-01 20:44:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd7c14b…
05-01 10:38:02	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x05cb36…
05-01 09:41:56	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbdc74d…
05-01 09:13:28	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xca235a…
05-01 07:43:02	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x96025a…
04-27 08:53:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x638b92…
04-26 22:21:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1cb52f…
04-26 21:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0996ab…
04-26 21:40:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa20a5…
04-25 10:33:22	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x930e36…
04-24 13:36:28	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe928b5…
04-24 13:36:22	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x47098c…
04-24 13:34:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1e46e6…
04-17 19:12:22	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xfed90f…
04-17 04:08:44	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x843556…
04-16 15:09:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x909d6c…
04-16 15:09:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x2f0ad8…
04-15 15:07:36	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x07c396…
04-14 22:32:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xda5d58…
04-14 18:44:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x4d0e6c…
04-14 18:21:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xe5af56…
04-11 01:03:33	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x83430e…
04-10 22:30:35	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa098ec…
04-10 18:53:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xf3e920…
04-10 18:51:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfc26be…
04-10 15:48:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xcc18ae…
04-10 15:31:25	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x896600…
04-03 21:26:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2ae2de…
04-03 18:48:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d42c3…
04-03 18:25:17	will trump say gay this week april 5	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x27bc27…
04-01 18:13:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcf2d95…
04-01 17:38:15	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x51a036…
04-01 17:20:09	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x243791…
04-01 17:04:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x757f2c…
04-01 16:57:09	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5a6680…
04-01 16:24:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc6d5ab…
04-01 16:22:41	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x537e7e…
04-01 16:14:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x833224…
04-01 16:07:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x16ac14…
04-01 16:07:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x696333…
04-01 15:58:15	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x6f20f4…
04-01 15:56:43	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x6715d5…
03-31 13:14:21	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x7be14e…
03-31 13:14:17	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xa7b242…
03-31 13:12:35	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	T1 Academy	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x4f4c14…
03-31 13:11:53	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xab08ca…
03-31 13:11:51	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x5da34e…
03-31 13:10:15	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	T1 Academy	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x79389a…
03-31 13:10:05	lol drxc t1a 2026 03 31	T1 Academy	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4883b2…
03-31 13:08:21	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xa9468a…
03-31 07:00:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4008c4…
03-30 18:10:55	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x8cdede…
03-29 16:29:52	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game2	Team Heretics	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4aaadc…
03-29 16:29:40	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game2	Team Heretics	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6ce05c…
03-28 09:27:27	lol omg up 2026 03 28 game1	Oh My God	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2b019b…
03-25 12:19:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3eb0ff…
03-25 12:07:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9c738f…
03-25 12:07:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x70df92…
03-25 06:02:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x795edd…
03-24 08:52:35	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x7e0aa3…
03-24 08:39:29	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x25553f…
03-23 10:47:49	no token launch by march 31 273	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x627878…
03-23 10:36:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xb71292…
03-23 10:36:17	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa7975c…
03-21 17:31:31	lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x86c5fc…
03-20 11:54:27	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xd4636a…
03-20 09:07:07	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3b7b7a…
03-20 08:03:11	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x230efc…
03-20 08:02:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x80aff9…
03-18 16:41:19	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x616c28…
03-17 06:28:03	will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ee4bc…
03-17 05:50:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfbddec…
03-17 05:23:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x46976f…
03-15 19:31:25	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x677dee…
03-12 14:30:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 12	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x14170f…
03-12 14:23:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd611e…
03-09 12:56:27	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8aece5…
03-09 09:15:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xd74823…
03-08 14:08:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa1d4cc…
03-08 04:54:07	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xeb72a0…
03-08 04:29:05	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0ac219…