Realized P&L
+$82
Unrealized P&L
+$625
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
58
Trades
354
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$6.51K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-18 09:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
60% 65% +$64
Crypto
34% 44% -$21
Politics
6% 67% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,136 $871 96¢ $1.1K +$214 07-02 11:21
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +779 $428 81¢ $631 +$203 08-15 15:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -631 -$411 96¢ $-603 -$192 05-23 08:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $450 98¢ $489 +$39 10-17 16:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $342 74¢ $370 +$29 10-12 16:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +361 $239 92¢ $332 +$93 07-07 05:07
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $258 96¢ $289 +$31 07-05 11:54
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +314 $204 88¢ $278 +$74 06-01 11:45
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +276 $104 94¢ $258 +$154 07-04 13:57
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +265 $171 93¢ $247 +$76 07-06 15:20
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +266 $285 91¢ $243 -$42 07-01 17:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +300 $243 78¢ $232 -$11 10-17 01:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +538 $267 40¢ $218 -$49 09-24 15:49
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +203 $144 94¢ $191 +$47 06-28 11:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +250 $195 72¢ $179 -$16 10-12 16:57
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +211 $154 80¢ $168 +$14 08-04 15:49
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +339 $258 45¢ $153 -$105 07-22 23:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +184 $111 81¢ $149 +$39 09-15 13:06
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +160 $115 66¢ $106 -$9 09-01 10:04
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $101 81¢ $102 +$1 05-31 15:36
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 92¢ $46 +$8 05-09 17:54
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +51 $22 80¢ $41 +$20 07-02 07:51
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +55 $35 62¢ $34 -$1 05-20 01:08
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +25 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 06-26 11:49
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $16 95¢ $19 +$3 07-02 07:56
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +16 $11 95¢ $15 +$3 06-26 11:58
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $9 85¢ $9 +$1 08-06 15:15