Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2ff8…2b61ee Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$316
Unrealized P&L
+$838
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved (30d)
13
Trades (30d)
45
376 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.67K
$17.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$6.83K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-06 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
59% 69% +$317
Crypto
34% 42% -$9
Politics
7% 80% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,136 $871 95¢ $1.1K +$204 07-02 11:21
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +779 $428 87¢ $677 +$249 08-15 15:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -631 -$411 97¢ $-614 -$203 05-23 08:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $450 94¢ $472 +$22 10-17 16:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $342 74¢ $372 +$30 10-12 16:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +361 $239 94¢ $338 +$98 07-07 05:07
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +357 $312 86¢ $307 -$4 11-06 02:05
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $258 94¢ $283 +$25 07-05 11:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +538 $267 52¢ $277 +$10 09-24 15:49
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +314 $204 86¢ $270 +$66 06-01 11:45
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +276 $104 97¢ $268 +$164 07-04 13:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +266 $285 95¢ $251 -$34 07-01 17:50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +265 $171 95¢ $250 +$79 07-06 15:20
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +280 $101 87¢ $244 +$143 08-19 13:56
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +203 $144 94¢ $190 +$46 06-28 11:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +250 $195 71¢ $178 -$18 10-12 16:57
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +339 $258 52¢ $175 -$83 07-22 23:49
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +211 $154 70¢ $149 -$5 08-04 15:49
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +160 $115 72¢ $115 $0 09-01 10:04
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $101 81¢ $101 +$0 05-31 15:36
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +80 $70 95¢ $76 +$6 11-02 00:55
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 92¢ $47 +$9 05-09 17:54
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +51 $22 88¢ $45 +$24 07-02 07:51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +25 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 06-26 11:49
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +16 $11 95¢ $15 +$3 06-26 11:58
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $9 88¢ $10 +$1 08-06 15:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 06-27 04:58