Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
open
Total volume
$212
Trades
37
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$857
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-20 10:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $38 | $69 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $15 | $16 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 6 | $48 | $58 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +64 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-26 11:54 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +46 | $11 | $11 | 10 | 07-26 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +39 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-14 08:42 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 07-04 09:55 |
| Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 08-19 18:21 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-19 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 08-05 08:47 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 22:14 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-04 10:51 |
| Excitable-Sweatshirt 0x3ca9…fc73 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 10:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 10:30:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0x93efb5… |
| 08-20 10:30:19 | Virtual-Cell 0x8e2c…621e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x93efb5… |
| 08-20 10:30:19 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x93efb5… |
| 08-19 18:21:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x81c26d… |
| 08-19 18:21:49 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x81c26d… |
| 08-19 18:21:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x81c26d… |
| 08-14 08:42:48 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x65ec78… |
| 08-14 08:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x65ec78… |
| 08-13 10:03:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0xf5604d… |
| 08-13 10:03:30 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xf5604d… |
| 08-05 08:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x74723b… |
| 08-05 08:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x74723b… |
| 08-05 08:47:38 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x74723b… |
| 07-26 12:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xc1b228… |
| 07-26 12:16:46 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc1b228… |
| 07-26 10:55:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xec8661… |
| 07-26 10:55:58 | Excitable-Sweatshirt 0x3ca9…fc73 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xec8661… |
| 07-15 15:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x2ebe42… |
| 07-15 15:07:41 | Posh-Lake 0xc689…5f35 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x2ebe42… |
| 07-04 10:51:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x55011d… |
| 07-04 10:51:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x55011d… |
| 07-04 09:55:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x07a00c… |
| 07-04 09:55:11 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x07a00c… |
| 07-04 09:55:05 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x73bab8… |
| 07-04 09:55:05 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x73bab8… |
| 06-30 22:14:14 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x5c58ec… |
| 06-30 22:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5c58ec… |
| 06-26 11:54:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x1b6c76… |
| 06-26 11:54:46 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | No | BUY | 19 | 80¢ | $15 | 0x1b6c76… |
| 06-23 06:35:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x8fccf9… |
| 06-23 06:35:55 | Blaring-Image 0x600d…96c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x8fccf9… |
| 06-04 16:13:13 | Blaring-Image 0x600d…96c1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe53efa… |
| 06-04 16:13:13 | Posh-Lake 0xc689…5f35 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe53efa… |
| 05-31 10:25:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x33d627… |
| 05-31 10:25:32 | Posh-Lake 0xc689…5f35 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x33d627… |
| 05-29 17:54:59 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 7 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xb27f01… |
| 05-29 17:54:59 | Posh-Lake 0xc689…5f35 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xb27f01… |