Excitable-Sweatshirt 0x3ca9fb…4bfc73
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
965
Trades
1,863
lifetime
Volume
$186.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$109
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-25 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
49% 80% +$146
Crypto
48% 82% -$1,953
Sports
3% 60% -$91
Politics
0% 86% +$4
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +239 $50 12¢ $27 -$23 05-30 12:23
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -15 -$14 94¢ $-14 +$0 10-17 19:59
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -15 -$13 87¢ $-13 +$0 09-25 01:25
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 09-24 06:47
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -211 -$8 4¢ $-8 -$1 10-04 09:13
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -8 -$5 75¢ $-6 -$1 10-10 06:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 10-25 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 10-25 16:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-17 19:41
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-08 04:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-17 19:41
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -26 -$1 5¢ $-1 $0 10-04 09:13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 19:56
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-17 19:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-31 06:08
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 10-14 10:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:44
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-14 03:47
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-10 06:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:21
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-25 01:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:21
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-17 20:20
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-26 10:47
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 10-17 20:17
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-10 06:17