Excitable-Sweatshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,011

lifetime

Volume

$174.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1

Crypto

48% 100% +$5

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+239	$50	14¢	$32	$-18	05-30 12:23
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+5	$5	92¢	$5	$-0	05-30 12:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	25	$7.6K	3,943	3,943	+0	open	—	02-09 17:27
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	5	$3.5K	1,777	1,777	+0	open	—	02-13 16:25
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 215 239	5	$3.4K	1,736	1,736	+0	open	—	02-11 15:07
bitcoin up or down january 6 1pm et	10	$3.2K	1,625	1,625	+0	open	—	01-06 18:55
bitcoin up or down january 12 2pm et	2	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	01-12 20:06
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	5	$2.8K	1,454	1,454	+0	open	—	02-03 14:30
btc updown 15m 1767721500	6	$2.8K	1,558	1,558	+0	open	—	01-06 17:52
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	10	$2.8K	1,404	1,404	+0	open	—	02-04 13:08
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	2	$2.8K	1,451	1,451	+0	open	—	02-09 12:29
bitcoin up or down january 9 12pm et	3	$2.7K	1,376	1,376	+0	open	—	01-09 18:09
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	11	$2.7K	1,441	1,441	+0	open	—	02-06 00:40
btc updown 5m 1771770300	1	$2.7K	2,706	0	+2,706	open	—	02-22 14:29
btc updown 5m 1771765800	1	$2.6K	2,649	0	+2,649	open	—	02-22 13:14
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	4	$2.6K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	02-07 09:27
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 165 189	5	$2.5K	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	02-01 16:21
btc updown 5m 1771758600	1	$2.5K	2,588	0	+2,588	open	—	02-22 11:14
btc updown 5m 1771757700	1	$2.4K	2,502	0	+2,502	open	—	02-22 10:59
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	2	$2.4K	1,242	1,242	+0	open	—	01-31 16:09
btc updown 5m 1771757100	1	$2.4K	2,447	0	+2,447	open	—	02-22 10:49
btc updown 5m 1771740300	1	$2.4K	2,388	0	+2,388	open	—	02-22 06:10
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	2	$2.3K	1,183	1,183	+0	open	—	01-31 12:04
btc updown 5m 1771723800	1	$2.3K	2,364	0	+2,364	open	—	02-22 01:34
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 65 89	3	$2.3K	1,160	1,160	-0	open	—	01-31 02:01
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	7	$2.2K	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	01-30 03:52
btc updown 5m 1771655100	1	$2.2K	2,205	0	+2,205	open	—	02-21 06:29
btc updown 5m 1771654500	1	$2.2K	2,183	0	+2,183	open	—	02-21 06:20
btc updown 5m 1771610700	1	$2.1K	2,155	0	+2,155	open	—	02-20 18:09
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	5	$2.1K	867	1,270	-403	open	—	02-13 15:15
btc updown 5m 1771393500	31	$2.1K	2,096	0	+2,096	open	—	02-18 05:50
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 300 319	5	$2.1K	1,052	1,112	-60	open	—	01-29 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 11:49:54	wta krueger tjen 2026 06 04	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x7679d9…
06-04 11:47:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xb30576…
06-04 11:37:48	btc updown 5m 1780572900	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3cd215…
06-04 11:37:15	btc updown 5m 1780572900	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc94ef0…
06-02 05:21:55	ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi	JiaYi Wang	SELL	224	99¢	$222	0x42fb70…
06-02 05:16:19	ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi	JiaYi Wang	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2c391c…
06-02 05:12:50	ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi	JiaYi Wang	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x22ca56…
06-02 05:11:39	ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi	JiaYi Wang	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb1c605…
06-02 05:10:25	ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	Varvara Panshina	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb68452…
06-02 04:59:01	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Laurin Aerne	Nicholas Ionel	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xb42bea…
06-02 04:57:40	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Kempen/Klepac	Siniakova/Townsend	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa51f70…
06-02 04:57:12	Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc21d2…
06-02 04:56:43	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcb88ea…
06-02 04:56:06	ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	Varvara Panshina	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd59b89…
06-02 04:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7dc1d7…
06-02 04:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa9330e…
06-02 04:52:45	ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	Varvara Panshina	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeaab4c…
06-02 04:50:53	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x964ce9…
06-02 04:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe3bdb6…
05-31 06:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb9bb5f…
05-31 06:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9c5f8f…
05-31 06:13:42	Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x164610…
05-31 06:12:34	Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in June?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8858f5…
05-31 06:11:49	will trump say big league or bigly in june	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9f744e…
05-31 06:10:54	Will Trump say "Coward" this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x09e578…
05-31 06:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x1ae2d0…
05-31 06:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x833129…
05-31 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x87bba1…
05-31 05:58:24	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos	NC Dinos	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdb9878…
05-31 05:57:33	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x85b65d…
05-30 12:27:33	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x782c01…
05-30 12:23:10	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x8fe88a…
05-30 12:21:13	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa78e76…
05-30 12:08:51	ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Martha Matoula	Lola Radivojevic	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8333ba…
05-30 12:08:34	Paris Basketball vs. Strasbourg	Paris Basketball	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x76ee0f…
05-30 12:07:15	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5ebe5a…
05-30 12:05:09	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xac594a…
05-30 12:02:17	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc1b194…
05-30 12:00:38	Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7f344f…
05-30 12:00:17	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbddb44…
05-25 16:13:31	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1e6bc3…
05-25 16:12:18	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0296ee…
05-25 16:08:20	Will Trump say "Panther" in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0e184…
05-25 16:07:33	Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x01b637…
05-25 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd23bbc…
05-25 16:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8db82…
05-25 16:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x78d4eb…
05-25 16:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4bc0f6…
05-25 15:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x6ed13b…
05-18 08:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0xb9e354…
05-18 08:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x66f4e4…
05-18 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x57dbb6…
05-18 08:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x5afa97…
05-18 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x095be1…
05-18 06:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7096db…
05-18 06:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x719efd…
05-14 04:27:57	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc03bc0…
05-14 04:26:24	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x03c7ab…
05-14 04:24:42	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0486b6…
05-14 04:23:53	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa35d8e…
05-14 04:22:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x834f77…
05-14 04:21:49	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x64209f…
05-14 04:21:18	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x16f63f…
05-14 04:17:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x543553…
05-14 04:17:13	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8ad366…
05-14 04:15:45	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdd72e7…
05-14 04:13:48	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3a1d9d…
05-14 04:12:24	Will Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6edf11…
05-14 03:44:05	ITF Andong: Hee Rae Im vs Dayeon Back	Dayeon Back	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1bf7c2…
05-14 03:41:57	ITF Nakhon Pathom: Anton Shepp vs Arjun Mehrotra	Anton Shepp	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x964fc1…
05-14 03:38:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae1078…
05-14 03:38:18	Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Indiana Fever	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb0410a…
05-14 03:32:42	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xca0b69…
05-14 03:31:41	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5eabd3…
05-14 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c7857…
05-14 03:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc081d1…
05-12 22:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x170a1d…
05-12 22:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1889c6…
05-12 22:01:25	Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00e003…
05-12 22:00:36	Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x974223…
05-12 22:00:01	Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x090cac…
05-12 21:59:20	Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa77932…
05-12 21:58:44	Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x40e46a…
05-12 21:56:45	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc60803…
05-12 21:56:03	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1c6e73…
05-12 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8e74cc…
05-12 21:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdf33d8…
05-12 21:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x4a6782…
05-12 21:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf252c0…
05-05 09:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x356021…
05-05 09:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4a6651…
05-05 09:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xebbc28…
05-05 09:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x95d192…
05-01 10:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc2fbdc…
05-01 10:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xca1549…
05-01 10:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c6560…
05-01 10:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x4b2588…
05-01 10:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1e3ec3…
04-07 10:33:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x786def…
04-07 10:32:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5453cb…