Realized P&L
+$385
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
68
Trades
380
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$7.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-11 13:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
60% 69% +$317
Crypto
34% 42% -$9
Politics
7% 80% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,136 $871 96¢ $1.1K +$222 07-02 11:21
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +779 $428 88¢ $681 +$253 08-15 15:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -631 -$411 98¢ $-618 -$207 05-23 08:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $450 93¢ $466 +$16 10-17 16:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $342 79¢ $395 +$53 10-12 16:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +361 $239 94¢ $341 +$102 07-07 05:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +538 $267 60¢ $325 +$58 09-24 15:49
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +357 $312 89¢ $319 +$7 11-06 02:05
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +325 $251 94¢ $307 +$56 06-26 11:41
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $258 95¢ $284 +$26 07-05 11:54
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +314 $204 90¢ $281 +$77 06-01 11:45
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +276 $104 98¢ $271 +$167 07-04 13:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +266 $285 95¢ $252 -$33 07-01 17:50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +265 $171 95¢ $251 +$80 07-06 15:20
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +280 $101 88¢ $245 +$144 08-19 13:56
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? No +229 $165 90¢ $206 +$41 10-12 18:38
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +203 $144 96¢ $194 +$50 06-28 11:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +270 $201 72¢ $193 -$8 11-11 02:14
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +200 $158 92¢ $184 +$26 10-17 01:38
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +250 $195 70¢ $176 -$19 10-12 16:57
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +211 $154 76¢ $162 +$8 08-04 15:49
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +160 $115 77¢ $123 +$8 09-01 10:04
Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +385 $121 27¢ $104 -$17 11-11 13:16
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +80 $70 95¢ $76 +$7 11-02 00:55
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 05-09 17:54
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +51 $22 92¢ $47 +$25 07-02 07:51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +25 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 06-26 11:49
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +16 $11 96¢ $15 +$3 06-26 11:58
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$1 08-06 15:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $5 98¢ $7 +$2 06-27 04:58