Realized P&L
+$656
Unrealized P&L
+$1.22K
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
69
Trades
380
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$7.49K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-11 13:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
60% 69% +$317
Crypto
34% 46% +$261
Politics
7% 80% +$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,136 $871 96¢ $1.1K +$220 07-02 11:21
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +779 $428 90¢ $701 +$273 08-15 15:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -631 -$411 98¢ $-619 -$208 05-23 08:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $450 99¢ $496 +$46 10-17 16:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $342 80¢ $397 +$56 10-12 16:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +361 $239 94¢ $339 +$100 07-07 05:07
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +357 $312 89¢ $318 +$6 11-06 02:05
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +325 $251 94¢ $307 +$56 06-26 11:41
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $258 96¢ $288 +$30 07-05 11:54
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +276 $104 98¢ $270 +$166 07-04 13:57
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +314 $204 86¢ $268 +$64 06-01 11:45
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +280 $101 91¢ $255 +$154 08-19 13:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +266 $285 95¢ $252 -$32 07-01 17:50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +265 $171 94¢ $249 +$78 07-06 15:20
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? No +229 $165 90¢ $206 +$41 10-12 18:38
Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +385 $121 53¢ $204 +$83 11-11 13:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +203 $144 96¢ $194 +$50 06-28 11:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +270 $201 70¢ $190 -$11 11-11 02:14
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +250 $195 72¢ $179 -$16 10-12 16:57
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +200 $158 86¢ $171 +$13 10-17 01:38
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +211 $154 66¢ $140 -$13 08-04 15:49
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +160 $115 80¢ $127 +$12 09-01 10:04
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +80 $70 95¢ $76 +$6 11-02 00:55
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 05-09 17:54
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +51 $22 90¢ $46 +$25 07-02 07:51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +25 $20 98¢ $25 +$4 06-26 11:49
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +16 $11 96¢ $15 +$3 06-26 11:58
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$1 08-06 15:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 06-27 04:58