Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
212
Trades
498
lifetime
Volume
$1.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$72
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-09 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 63% +$33
Other
17% 50% -$18
Sports
9% 57% +$38
Politics
3% 60% -$9
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $52 77¢ $62 +$10 07-14 22:21
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +4 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 05-21 12:12
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 05-21 12:12
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 05-21 12:11
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 10-09 15:17
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-21 12:11
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-21 12:11
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 05-21 12:11
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 07-15 21:23