Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,071
Trades
181
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$175
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-10-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-21 16:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $19 | $490 | $470 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $10 | $174 | $164 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $57 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $39 | $136 | $97 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $20 | $234 | $214 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $102 | $99 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $67 | $65 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $186 | $181 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $26 | $119 | $93 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $170 | $169 |
| unranked | 28 | $65 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | +670 | $657 | $657 | 1 | 08-20 06:22 |
| Well-Informed-Mainstream 0x331b…3169 | No | +509 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 08-02 07:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +290 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 08-21 16:43 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +255 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 08-20 06:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +177 | $170 | $170 | 2 | 08-01 09:13 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | +156 | $23 | $23 | 17 | 05-28 18:19 |
| dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | +143 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-31 15:35 |
| Our-Mistake 0x966c…de7a | Yes | +130 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 05-31 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2575…e7e6 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-20 06:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +72 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-02 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac2…be66 | No | +62 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 08-06 08:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-21 11:32 |
| Known-Perp 0x1935…ab47 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-20 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x21d7…f6e2 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 08:53 |
| Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | +36 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb4d…52e9 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-19 12:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $-0 | $6 | 7 | 08-20 06:22 |
| Original-Bullet 0x40ec…41a5 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-26 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x729b…90f3 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-04 21:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-08 21:55 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 08:53 |
| Live-Rib 0xf02c…a853 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-18 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-20 06:27 |
| Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 13:01 |
| Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-06 08:53 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 16:06 |
| Violet-Barometer 0x8c75…fc8b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-17 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $2 | $33 | 6 | 07-08 18:34 |
| Lustrous-Unique 0x89e5…6f7a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-17 13:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 16:43:46 | Remarkable-Everything 0x3d64…fd76 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x12fd9e… |
| 08-21 16:43:46 | Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | SELL | 234 | 100¢ | $233 | 0x12fd9e… |
| 08-21 16:43:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 186 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12fd9e… |
| 08-21 16:43:46 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 460 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x12fd9e… |
| 08-21 04:45:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a755b… |
| 08-21 04:45:03 | Remarkable-Everything 0x3d64…fd76 | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x4a755b… |
| 08-20 06:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe53eff… |
| 08-20 06:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x385b…a432 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe53eff… |
| 08-20 06:37:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc12bcb… |
| 08-20 06:37:06 | (anonymous) 0x385b…a432 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc12bcb… |
| 08-20 06:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc1951… |
| 08-20 06:27:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc1951… |
| 08-20 06:27:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99b6ec… |
| 08-20 06:27:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99b6ec… |
| 08-20 06:27:16 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99b6ec… |
| 08-20 06:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99b6ec… |
| 08-20 06:27:13 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa82f16… |
| 08-20 06:27:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa82f16… |
| 08-20 06:27:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a8708… |
| 08-20 06:27:09 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a8708… |
| 08-20 06:22:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x26e8c0… |
| 08-20 06:22:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x26e8c0… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Known-Perp 0x1935…ab47 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | BUY | 670 | 98¢ | $657 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-20 06:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba385c… |
| 08-17 12:52:46 | Known-Perp 0x1935…ab47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3855b1… |
| 08-17 12:52:46 | Violet-Barometer 0x8c75…fc8b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3855b1… |
| 08-09 00:28:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x0f2635… |
| 08-09 00:28:21 | Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0f2635… |
| 08-06 08:53:59 | Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xd98a58… |
| 08-06 08:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x21d7…f6e2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd98a58… |
| 08-06 08:53:59 | (anonymous) 0xfac2…be66 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xd98a58… |
| 08-04 21:34:38 | (anonymous) 0x729b…90f3 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xe47f85… |
| 08-04 21:34:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xe47f85… |
| 08-04 21:34:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe47f85… |
| 08-04 21:34:38 | All-Milestone 0x5a60…2a67 | No | SELL | 71 | 94¢ | $67 | 0xe47f85… |
| 08-03 07:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x35e132… |
| 08-03 07:46:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x35e132… |
| 08-03 07:46:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35e132… |
| 08-02 21:27:00 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 305 | 94¢ | $287 | 0x8b73bb… |
| 08-02 21:27:00 | Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | BUY | 234 | 94¢ | $220 | 0x8b73bb… |
| 08-02 21:27:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 71 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x8b73bb… |
| 08-02 21:24:00 | Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | SELL | 55 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x51f725… |
| 08-02 21:24:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x51f725… |
| 08-02 21:24:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x51f725… |
| 08-02 20:16:24 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x1a7049… |
| 08-02 20:16:24 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 134 | 94¢ | $126 | 0x1a7049… |
| 08-02 20:16:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3e5f92… |
| 08-02 20:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x3e5f92… |
| 08-02 20:15:45 | (anonymous) 0xfac2…be66 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x870c35… |
| 08-02 20:15:45 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 164 | 96¢ | $157 | 0x870c35… |
| 08-02 20:15:45 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 195 | 96¢ | $187 | 0x870c35… |
| 08-02 07:42:45 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ab0ee… |
| 08-02 07:42:45 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ab0ee… |
| 08-02 07:42:44 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33eece… |
| 08-02 07:42:44 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33eece… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Well-Informed-Mainstream 0x331b…3169 | No | BUY | 509 | 98¢ | $500 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Remarkable-Everything 0x3d64…fd76 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 5¢ | $12 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x2575…e7e6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x714fac… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 77 | 98¢ | $75 | 0x714fac… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x714fac… |
| 07-30 16:16:53 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eaf71… |
| 07-30 16:16:53 | Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eaf71… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Original-Bullet 0x40ec…41a5 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xeb4d…52e9 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-18 08:53:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbe8616… |
| 07-18 08:53:22 | Live-Rib 0xf02c…a853 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xbe8616… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 09:57:10 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb9e80c… |
| 07-17 09:57:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb9e80c… |
| 07-17 09:45:51 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x947ad6… |
| 07-17 09:45:51 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x947ad6… |
| 07-17 09:44:01 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x549be0… |
| 07-17 09:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x549be0… |
| 07-16 13:01:49 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x0f384f… |