Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,708
Trades
121
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$175
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-10-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-02 07:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $17 | $213 | $196 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $27 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $60 | $72 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $17 | $14 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $46 | $44 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| Below median | 5 | $3 | $29 | $26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $21 | $119 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $170 | $169 |
| unranked | 18 | $60 | $960 | $900 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Informed-Mainstream 0x331b…3169 | No | +509 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 08-02 07:42 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +460 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 08-02 07:42 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +177 | $170 | $170 | 2 | 08-01 09:13 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | +156 | $23 | $23 | 17 | 05-28 18:19 |
| dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | +143 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-31 15:35 |
| Our-Mistake 0x966c…de7a | Yes | +130 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 05-31 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2575…e7e6 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 07:59 |
| Remarkable-Everything 0x3d64…fd76 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 08-01 09:13 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +94 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-02 07:42 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +72 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-02 07:42 |
| All-Milestone 0x5a60…2a67 | No | +71 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 07-08 05:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-21 11:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 07:42 |
| Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | +36 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 23:04 |
| Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | +35 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-29 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb4d…52e9 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-19 12:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-19 12:24 |
| Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | +23 | $15 | $81 | 5 | 07-17 13:17 |
| Original-Bullet 0x40ec…41a5 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-26 16:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-08 21:55 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 08:53 |
| Live-Rib 0xf02c…a853 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-18 08:53 |
| Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 13:01 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $2 | $33 | 6 | 07-08 18:34 |
| Lustrous-Unique 0x89e5…6f7a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-17 13:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:42:45 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ab0ee… |
| 08-02 07:42:45 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ab0ee… |
| 08-02 07:42:44 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33eece… |
| 08-02 07:42:44 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33eece… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Well-Informed-Mainstream 0x331b…3169 | No | BUY | 509 | 98¢ | $500 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-02 07:42:42 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6fb62f… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Remarkable-Everything 0x3d64…fd76 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 09:13:02 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 230 | 5¢ | $12 | 0xae0a2b… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x2575…e7e6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x714fac… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 77 | 98¢ | $75 | 0x714fac… |
| 08-01 07:59:48 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x714fac… |
| 07-30 16:16:53 | Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eaf71… |
| 07-30 16:16:53 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0eaf71… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-26 16:06:21 | Original-Bullet 0x40ec…41a5 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x0f779c… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-19 12:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xeb4d…52e9 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xbec617… |
| 07-18 08:53:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbe8616… |
| 07-18 08:53:22 | Live-Rib 0xf02c…a853 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xbe8616… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 13:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xec72cb… |
| 07-17 09:57:10 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb9e80c… |
| 07-17 09:57:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb9e80c… |
| 07-17 09:45:51 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x947ad6… |
| 07-17 09:45:51 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x947ad6… |
| 07-17 09:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x549be0… |
| 07-17 09:44:01 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x549be0… |
| 07-16 13:01:49 | Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0f384f… |
| 07-16 13:01:49 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x0f384f… |
| 07-08 18:34:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x10a33a… |
| 07-08 18:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10a33a… |
| 07-08 13:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x495e0a… |
| 07-08 13:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x495e0a… |
| 07-08 12:47:59 | (anonymous) 0x07c4…42f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5a6186… |
| 07-08 12:47:59 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x5a6186… |
| 07-08 05:10:56 | All-Milestone 0x5a60…2a67 | No | BUY | 71 | 87¢ | $62 | 0xb40873… |
| 07-08 05:10:56 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | SELL | 71 | 87¢ | $62 | 0xb40873… |
| 07-06 21:27:35 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x21d0dc… |
| 07-06 21:27:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x21d0dc… |
| 06-21 11:32:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x205bb4… |
| 06-21 11:32:58 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $13 | 0x205bb4… |
| 06-12 09:19:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x11266e… |
| 06-12 09:19:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x11266e… |
| 06-12 09:19:52 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x11266e… |
| 06-08 21:55:34 | Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc7ddb7… |
| 06-08 21:55:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xc7ddb7… |
| 06-02 09:14:17 | Lustrous-Unique 0x89e5…6f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xd9b49b… |
| 06-02 09:14:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xd9b49b… |
| 05-31 15:35:55 | Our-Mistake 0x966c…de7a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x359442… |
| 05-31 15:35:55 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | BUY | 23 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x359442… |
| 05-31 15:35:55 | dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | BUY | 143 | 77¢ | $110 | 0x359442… |
| 05-31 15:35:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x359442… |
| 05-29 14:31:31 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | SELL | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xfe1c4c… |
| 05-29 14:31:31 | Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0xfe1c4c… |
| 05-29 14:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xfe1c4c… |
| 05-29 14:31:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x197c12… |
| 05-29 14:31:19 | Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x197c12… |
| 05-29 03:53:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x2f3abf… |
| 05-29 03:53:40 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x2f3abf… |
| 05-29 00:24:01 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xe23589… |
| 05-29 00:24:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xe23589… |
| 05-29 00:23:51 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x9910fd… |
| 05-29 00:23:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x9910fd… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 13 | 62¢ | $8 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | SELL | 95 | 63¢ | $60 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | BUY | 14 | 63¢ | $9 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 23:04:15 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 36 | 60¢ | $22 | 0xcec11b… |
| 05-28 18:19:32 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x703464… |
| 05-28 18:19:32 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x703464… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x8ea834… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc2a1ac… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4653bd… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x4653bd… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x8ea834… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xc2a1ac… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xef4d67… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xef4d67… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x781bf4… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x8cd700… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x781bf4… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xeed411… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xcbea72… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xfb04df… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xfb04df… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x8cd700… |