Violet-Barometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

227

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-28 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 99% -$2

Other

38% 78% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	229	$266	2,122	2,122	+0	open	—	06-08 04:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	4	$100	50,001	50,001	+0	No	+$0	03-01 04:57
will solana reach 100 april 6 12	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	04-12 02:01
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	10	$65	10,005	10,000	+5	No	+$0	03-20 12:50
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 01:36
solana above 130 on april 13	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-11 16:27
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	2	$39	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-22 02:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	4	$39	30	30	+0	No	$0	09-07 03:01
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-07 01:30
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-07 01:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	4	$36	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-07 01:40
will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-11 14:16
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-11 14:16
ethereum above 2200 on july 15 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-12 09:45
will meta reach 690 by june 1 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-05 10:26
meta above 690 on june 5 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-05 10:24
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-05 10:27
bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-09 10:56
bitcoin above 78k on april 4	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-02 04:51
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-02 04:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	10-28 02:43
will wti reach 120 by june 1 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-05 10:23
will aapl dip to 264 by june 15 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 16:43
will ethereum reach 2700 march 30 april 5	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-02 04:51
will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:40
will tsla dip to 330 by june 29 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:41
will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-10 09:14
ethereum above 2000 on june 12 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-10 09:08
ethereum above 2100 on july 13 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-12 09:45
ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-12 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:43:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe07901…
10-28 02:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3be5c0…
09-13 03:02:31	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e8a9b…
09-13 03:02:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ffd11…
09-13 03:01:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x624661…
09-07 04:28:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x7c7460…
09-07 04:25:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x24c2ad…
09-07 04:23:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x284f23…
09-07 04:21:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x321861…
09-07 03:01:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xdae704…
09-07 03:00:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x831acd…
09-07 02:47:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xec8d4a…
09-07 02:47:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6c5cd1…
09-07 02:46:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4fa46e…
09-07 02:46:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x591dbd…
09-07 02:36:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xcced54…
09-07 02:34:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x450965…
09-07 02:26:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd080c7…
09-07 02:25:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x99ab00…
09-07 01:57:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x0dff0f…
09-07 01:57:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x35983c…
09-07 01:55:36	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of September 7 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa261b1…
09-07 01:53:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4889fe…
09-07 01:45:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xfcaae9…
09-07 01:44:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb76353…
09-07 01:40:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x876a95…
09-07 01:38:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xa56c60…
09-07 01:30:37	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of September 7 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x1301b4…
09-07 01:30:09	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $54 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7bdd91…
09-07 01:22:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd0b1fd…
09-07 01:21:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa84402…
09-07 01:13:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6cb920…
09-07 01:13:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x2b3ee5…
09-02 08:01:10	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe6c355…
09-01 11:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfdf6e3…
09-01 11:42:52	Will the price of Solana be above $150 on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc73dee…
09-01 11:42:43	Will the price of Solana be above $160 on September 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1c1a…
09-01 11:42:33	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd47c18…
08-17 12:53:21	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1102b2…
08-17 12:52:46	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3855b1…
08-09 10:58:13	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0eb05a…
08-09 10:56:58	bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3b95ad…
08-09 10:55:12	bitcoin above 58k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4db7e…
08-09 10:54:46	bitcoin above 68k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd338e1…
08-02 02:02:06	bitcoin above 56k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85e606…
08-02 02:01:53	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa37e2e…
08-02 02:01:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7384ea…
07-22 01:13:18	ethereum above 2300 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x874684…
07-22 01:13:03	ethereum above 2300 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43eae3…
07-22 01:12:51	ethereum above 2300 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf35f51…
07-22 01:12:42	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2e74f…
07-22 01:12:25	bitcoin above 74k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5aa3a…
07-22 01:12:13	bitcoin above 72k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8637a5…
07-22 01:12:01	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x202132…
07-22 01:11:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x159171…
07-12 09:45:49	ethereum above 2200 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2cc2e1…
07-12 09:45:34	ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84037b…
07-12 09:45:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82039e…
07-10 04:49:28	bitcoin above 56k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb6d2c…
07-10 04:49:14	bitcoin above 70k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00b8be…
07-10 04:49:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3edae8…
07-10 04:48:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98939a…
07-02 07:42:31	will nvda dip to 168 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x534438…
07-02 07:42:13	will aapl dip to 256 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcea91c…
07-02 07:41:59	will xauusd reach 4400 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x189476…
07-02 07:41:34	will tsla dip to 330 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63f589…
07-02 07:40:59	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x605d69…
07-02 07:40:29	will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x418938…
06-25 12:13:25	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x93bffa…
06-25 12:12:47	tsla above 430 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb6d78…
06-25 12:12:28	nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9ca0e1…
06-25 12:11:59	will googl reach 400 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71cf11…
06-25 12:11:40	will xauusd reach 4500 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc513e…
06-25 12:11:19	will aapl reach 324 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x432d8b…
06-25 12:11:02	will meta reach 640 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf15c28…
06-25 12:10:32	will nvda reach 236 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35f1c4…
06-25 12:10:10	will spy reach 780 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d712e…
06-22 02:59:32	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0x9da53d…
06-22 02:55:49	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb33b6d…
06-17 16:44:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x01d010…
06-17 16:43:43	will rklb dip to 90 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63f629…
06-17 16:43:22	will aapl dip to 264 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc0369…
06-17 16:42:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xd52943…
06-10 09:14:01	will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb53c86…
06-10 09:13:39	will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23c481…
06-10 09:13:13	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcebcdb…
06-10 09:13:03	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffcb22…
06-10 09:12:46	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9ae8c…
06-10 09:11:49	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5bede…
06-10 09:11:39	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b4b2d…
06-10 09:11:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x550291…
06-10 09:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5dceb…
06-10 09:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d7a35…
06-10 09:10:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d8deb…
06-10 09:09:54	solana above 110 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x68c389…
06-10 09:09:40	solana above 100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8c00dc…
06-10 09:09:25	solana above 110 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5e2be…
06-10 09:09:12	solana above 70 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2807e9…
06-10 09:08:46	ethereum above 2100 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x912d7c…
06-10 09:08:24	ethereum above 2000 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x987a51…