Realized P&L
-$3.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$359
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
212
Trades
1,275
lifetime
Volume
$87.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$8.34K
29 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-26 17:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
39% 70% -$2,826
Crypto
35% 68% -$309
Politics
26% 57% -$187
Sports
1% 100% +$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +2,165 $1,407 62¢ $1.3K -$65 10-22 09:48
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +780 $670 94¢ $729 +$59 10-16 08:40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -733 -$584 92¢ $-671 -$86 10-20 07:15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +567 $516 90¢ $513 -$3 10-25 12:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +499 $430 97¢ $484 +$54 10-26 17:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +492 $410 90¢ $445 +$35 10-26 17:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +593 $417 66¢ $389 -$28 10-26 17:22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +411 $386 94¢ $388 +$2 10-18 18:57
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +677 $60 55¢ $369 +$309 10-18 18:36
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +500 $61 64¢ $323 +$262 10-22 13:31
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +312 $300 96¢ $302 +$2 10-16 08:38
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +271 $214 94¢ $255 +$40 10-16 08:20
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +453 $58 55¢ $249 +$192 10-22 19:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +271 $250 92¢ $249 -$1 10-26 17:17
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1,255 $357 19¢ $238 -$118 10-26 17:12
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +243 $205 84¢ $204 -$1 10-26 17:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -201 -$183 97¢ $-196 -$13 06-25 10:40
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +179 $124 96¢ $171 +$47 10-17 16:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +471 $163 34¢ $163 $0 10-26 17:18
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +148 $141 95¢ $141 +$1 10-26 17:41
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -184 -$235 61¢ $-112 +$123 10-22 09:47
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +120 $100 92¢ $111 +$11 09-04 18:59
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +147 $100 74¢ $109 +$9 08-22 19:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +83 -$3 82¢ $69 +$71 10-21 16:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -64 $372 57¢ $-37 -$409 10-22 19:10
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +715 $274 4¢ $26 -$248 10-26 17:11
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +28 $20 83¢ $23 +$3 10-15 16:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -273 -$125 8¢ $-20 +$105 07-10 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -60 -$17 18¢ $-11 +$6 05-04 06:28