Impish-Revenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.72K

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

736

Trades

7,442

lifetime

Volume

$4.88M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$656

Open exposure

$92.1K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Politics

38% 66% -$29,889

Other

34% 78% +$29,424

Crypto

24% 63% -$70,393

Sports

4% 32% -$677

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-39,781	-$34,994	92¢	$-36400	-$1,406	08-21 10:07
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-27,071	-$24,363	94¢	$-25582	-$1,218	07-01 03:22
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	+15,928	$6,659	64¢	$10.2K	+$3,535	10-26 00:14
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-9,189	-$8,224	96¢	$-8867	-$643	06-04 03:58
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-4,102	-$3,214	89¢	$-3634	-$420	07-24 12:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+3,686	-$3,552	90¢	$3.3K	+$6,887	10-26 18:50
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	-3,438	-$2,441	92¢	$-3146	-$705	05-02 07:39
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,959	$1,392	19¢	$957	-$435	08-03 14:24
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	+0	-$127	98¢	$0	+$127	10-06 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	313	$321.6K	197,691	196,616	+1,075	No	+$2,201	05-31 05:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	175	$278.7K	170,504	170,504	+0	Yes	-$7,859	06-14 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	583	$249.2K	154,616	154,616	+0	No	-$359	05-19 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	146	$169.1K	101,816	101,816	+0	No	-$2,080	06-12 08:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	52	$165.0K	87,091	87,091	+0	No	$0	05-04 03:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	192	$158.4K	86,897	86,897	+0	No	+$771	05-14 02:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	41	$115.8K	92,626	33,956	+58,671	No	+$4,053	04-30 19:24
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	145	$96.2K	54,934	54,934	+0	No	+$249	06-10 01:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	104	$94.3K	54,949	54,949	+0	No	+$863	05-08 23:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	51	$91.0K	49,200	49,200	+0	No	+$792	05-06 09:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	57	$73.2K	50,500	40,894	+9,606	No	+$807	07-29 10:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	50	$73.1K	45,530	36,572	+8,958	No	+$1,310	03-27 23:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	66	$71.4K	38,500	38,500	+0	No	+$424	06-04 10:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	15	$71.0K	40,229	40,229	+0	open	—	07-05 23:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	17	$68.7K	44,595	44,595	+0	Yes	+$4,229	04-12 20:31
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	15	$59.0K	31,251	31,251	+0	No	+$3,076	03-18 10:40
will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	45	$53.4K	81,197	81,197	+0	Yes	-$9,756	09-14 18:53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	56	$50.1K	97,370	97,370	+0	No	+$1,354	07-15 20:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$47.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:36
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	22	$44.8K	25,382	25,382	+0	Yes	+$853	06-08 22:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$44.0K	35,700	35,700	+0	No	-$153	04-02 17:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$43.8K	38,513	38,513	+0	Yes	-$22,585	04-08 00:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	53	$42.7K	26,025	21,180	+4,845	No	+$18	05-31 10:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	39	$42.4K	27,000	27,000	+0	Yes	-$155	07-27 16:50
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	54	$41.9K	54,642	42,642	+12,000	Yes	-$8,550	07-28 18:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	7	$41.7K	21,660	21,660	+0	No	-$404	04-13 23:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$41.5K	27,000	27,000	+0	Yes	+$260	06-08 01:19
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	48	$40.6K	41,805	41,805	+0	No	+$17,290	09-29 15:54
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	86	$39.9K	50,809	27,573	+23,236	No	+$23,700	06-24 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	41	$38.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$19	05-04 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:20:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	700	53¢	$371	0xd93546…
10-27 10:18:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$64	0xe85ac6…
10-27 10:08:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	800	52¢	$416	0xf466b2…
10-27 10:00:35	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x30e18f…
10-26 23:03:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	650	47¢	$306	0x1547c9…
10-26 20:24:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0xa5c09a…
10-26 20:24:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	208	77¢	$160	0x6df19d…
10-26 20:23:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4883c1…
10-26 20:23:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	107	77¢	$82	0x0abd35…
10-26 20:10:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	181	75¢	$136	0xf5f402…
10-26 20:10:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	319	75¢	$239	0xd30dc5…
10-26 19:27:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0xc808db…
10-26 19:27:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	951	78¢	$742	0x853950…
10-26 18:50:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	3,404	81¢	$2,757	0x0975fc…
10-26 17:54:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x862852…
10-26 17:34:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x2a9e0c…
10-26 14:58:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	450	35¢	$158	0xc6cef6…
10-26 14:48:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	700	40¢	$280	0xa789b4…
10-26 00:14:35	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	600	48¢	$288	0xa585f2…
10-26 00:13:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	409	47¢	$192	0xeb9f55…
10-25 21:59:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	2,300	47¢	$1,081	0x4738f5…
10-25 21:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	800	68¢	$545	0xebf6dc…
10-25 21:58:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	202	67¢	$135	0x7fff11…
10-25 21:58:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x482f53…
10-25 21:58:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	497	67¢	$333	0x1c1f62…
10-25 21:57:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	289	69¢	$199	0x9b633e…
10-25 21:57:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xcf83d6…
10-25 21:57:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	836	70¢	$587	0x037cae…
10-25 21:57:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0x02699a…
10-25 21:57:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x7ef219…
10-25 21:57:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x868fef…
10-25 21:57:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	67	72¢	$48	0x5a804b…
10-25 21:57:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x2d0060…
10-25 21:57:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	2,660	80¢	$2,128	0xe7df6e…
10-25 21:56:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	163	83¢	$135	0x39f15b…
10-25 21:54:57	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	504	44¢	$222	0x7efd0e…
10-25 21:41:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xb96be6…
10-25 21:38:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	137	91¢	$125	0xee1331…
10-25 19:57:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,672	91¢	$1,522	0x31e31a…
10-25 19:53:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x37c7a4…
10-25 19:53:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,319	91¢	$1,200	0x012a24…
10-25 19:53:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0x23f334…
10-25 19:24:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	700	41¢	$287	0x23f4cb…
10-25 19:24:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	446	3¢	$14	0xfe7362…
10-25 18:08:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x452611…
10-25 18:01:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	157	4¢	$7	0x565c1f…
10-25 17:46:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0x6c2f73…
10-25 17:46:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	236	5¢	$12	0x0d3b8c…
10-25 10:28:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,532	0xdd346f…
10-25 10:27:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,500	43¢	$645	0x9c7d65…
10-25 10:24:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	3,500	43¢	$1,505	0x9663ca…
10-25 10:23:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	782	42¢	$328	0xb7ded5…
10-25 10:20:05	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	3,000	42¢	$1,260	0x9e931e…
10-24 23:50:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$674	0xcc10da…
10-24 23:50:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0x0f92fa…
10-24 23:50:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0x447b3f…
10-24 23:50:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$673	0xc1dfce…
10-24 23:50:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0x3e77fb…
10-24 23:50:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0xbecc03…
10-24 23:48:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	119	68¢	$81	0x267054…
10-24 23:48:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	2,680	68¢	$1,822	0xe86cad…
10-24 23:38:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,634	31¢	$816	0x14c62d…
10-24 23:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	128	68¢	$87	0xf3571b…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xe5090f…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xce815a…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xa7507f…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x889f97…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x6cc24f…
10-24 23:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	2,080	68¢	$1,414	0x2b0896…
10-24 23:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	72	69¢	$50	0xe63f02…
10-24 23:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xdb85fa…
10-24 23:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	337	69¢	$232	0xcfa9bc…
10-24 23:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x19f0db…
10-24 23:36:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	SELL	685	32¢	$219	0x3842d4…
10-24 23:32:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,180	90¢	$1,962	0xaa3fd7…
10-24 22:32:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	1,086	89¢	$967	0x34743e…
10-24 22:01:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	722	88¢	$636	0xd79a17…
10-24 22:01:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	364	88¢	$320	0x5d685e…
10-24 20:47:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	750	81¢	$608	0xbc8775…
10-24 20:38:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,250	80¢	$1,800	0xa3eb38…
10-24 20:32:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	80¢	$2,400	0xb4b407…
10-24 18:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x05a253…
10-24 18:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	180	43¢	$77	0x007ba7…
10-24 17:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0xa96b47…
10-24 16:55:17	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x827c7c…
10-24 16:53:15	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xef937b…
10-24 16:49:11	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0x57d776…
10-24 16:46:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe93772…
10-24 16:44:44	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb882bc…
10-24 16:43:47	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	91	9¢	$8	0xd10735…
10-24 16:43:36	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x7e46b9…
10-24 16:40:38	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	98	9¢	$9	0x8aff6f…
10-24 16:40:32	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0x7b8a44…
10-24 16:32:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x90fee9…
10-24 16:32:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in october 2026	No	BUY	86	9¢	$8	0x698491…
10-24 15:56:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x330172…
10-24 15:20:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	735	58¢	$426	0x6ebc74…
10-24 15:20:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	65	58¢	$38	0x5398ec…
10-24 09:52:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	800	41¢	$328	0x6fb487…
10-24 00:44:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa3eb09…