Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$310

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$5.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-20 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

81% 44% +$368

Crypto

11% 28% +$30

Politics

7% 0% -$56

Sports

1% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$40	14¢	$14	-$26	08-01 05:17
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$3	3¢	$3	+$0	08-20 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	3	$690	1,000	600	+400	Yes	-$510	04-18 10:29
spx up or down on january 12 2026	12	$498	1,070	470	+600	Up	+$562	01-12 14:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	12	$344	0	400	-400	No	-$56	01-17 07:50
nflx up or down on february 10 2026	7	$160	400	0	+400	Up	-$160	02-10 14:35
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	2	$150	100	100	+0	Yes	+$50	02-18 05:04
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	4	$129	100	100	+0	Yes	+$39	01-12 03:44
spx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$107	225	0	+225	Down	+$93	02-11 00:55
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$100	0	100	-100	Yes	$0	01-01 23:10
will hyperliquid hit 30 in january	1	$95	0	100	-100	Yes	+$95	01-20 08:04
nflx up or down on february 2 2026	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	+$120	02-02 14:31
spx up or down on january 21 2026	2	$80	100	100	+0	Up	+$20	01-21 12:41
spx up or down on february 5 2026	3	$76	200	0	+200	Down	+$24	02-05 12:37
spx up or down on january 27 2026	2	$74	200	0	+200	Up	-$74	01-27 02:26
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$71	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	01-28 23:15
nflx up or down on february 5 2026	1	$68	200	0	+200	Up	-$68	02-05 09:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$67	100	0	+100	Yes	+$33	01-12 03:29
gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	8	$63	190	0	+190	No	-$63	01-04 16:07
bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	7	$62	200	0	+200	Down	+$38	07-31 07:52
bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	2	$60	200	0	+200	Up	-$60	08-02 03:19
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	2	$53	200	0	+200	No	-$53	08-05 02:30
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	-$50	08-02 21:42
aapl up or down on january 23 2026	1	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$51	01-23 04:20
spx up or down on january 13 2026	2	$49	100	0	+100	Down	-$49	01-13 00:57
ndx up or down on january 28 2026	5	$48	173	0	+173	Up	-$48	01-28 06:43
spx up or down on january 26 2026	2	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$53	01-25 03:47
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	1	$42	100	0	+100	Up	-$42	02-10 22:26
aapl up or down on january 26 2026	2	$41	105	0	+105	Up	+$59	01-25 10:42
nflx up or down on january 28 2026	2	$41	100	0	+100	Down	+$59	01-28 14:57
spx up or down on february 19 2026	1	$40	100	0	+100	Down	-$40	02-19 13:15
spx up or down on january 29 2026	1	$40	100	0	+100	Down	+$60	01-29 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 14:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0215f1…
08-05 02:30:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc35b68…
08-03 13:52:26	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x670ba6…
08-02 21:42:29	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8b0542…
08-02 03:19:30	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x16166a…
08-02 02:06:50	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x0677d6…
08-01 08:05:39	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x65aac1…
08-01 08:05:02	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0xba93c5…
08-01 08:03:26	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	58	13¢	$7	0xb1bbba…
08-01 07:59:48	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x714fac…
08-01 05:17:33	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x3517d7…
08-01 00:47:21	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8b3bb8…
07-31 07:52:48	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6be8b3…
07-31 01:00:36	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0x577c18…
07-31 00:45:23	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x004322…
07-31 00:45:14	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8dfebe…
07-31 00:39:56	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x93a6f4…
07-31 00:39:26	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x0fff6a…
07-31 00:38:54	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x6136c2…
04-18 10:29:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	586	15¢	$88	0x2e04ce…
04-17 23:03:00	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x480096…
04-17 23:01:52	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x470bd6…
02-19 13:15:48	spx up or down on february 19 2026	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x1d56ff…
02-18 15:06:14	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0xc8daba…
02-18 13:06:12	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xb631be…
02-18 12:50:50	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x705c03…
02-18 12:50:18	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9ed8d3…
02-18 12:14:32	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2e2a78…
02-18 09:11:16	nflx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x121831…
02-18 05:04:36	will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x841235…
02-18 04:53:34	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0x9bdc76…
02-18 04:25:26	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x7a4f29…
02-16 01:48:33	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc0a65f…
02-13 08:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e3b02…
02-12 02:57:05	spx up or down on february 12 2026	Down	BUY	86	40¢	$34	0xcc5322…
02-12 01:34:45	spx up or down on february 12 2026	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x7fb92e…
02-11 13:33:45	msft up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x43ed09…
02-11 13:33:33	msft up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x3bd823…
02-11 00:55:03	spx up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6e25d9…
02-10 23:49:49	spx up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x7a6e6b…
02-10 23:29:21	spx up or down on february 11 2026	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xd907df…
02-10 22:26:23	spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x166b68…
02-10 14:35:43	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	208	40¢	$83	0xef0b48…
02-10 14:33:13	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0dbab6…
02-10 14:31:25	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf3d774…
02-10 14:31:03	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2e86ff…
02-10 14:30:37	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd615ae…
02-10 14:26:19	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdfb8d4…
02-10 14:23:11	msft up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	31	24¢	$7	0x170131…
02-10 14:22:47	msft up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	69	24¢	$17	0xfe1a62…
02-10 11:24:25	nflx up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x784e54…
02-10 09:18:15	spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa59f0c…
02-09 14:40:33	msft up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	95	17¢	$16	0xbe8c5f…
02-09 13:56:21	msft up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe4376b…
02-09 13:37:35	msft up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x80d665…
02-09 12:38:07	nvda up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x15b636…
02-09 12:38:05	nvda up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc2078d…
02-09 10:33:03	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	93	40¢	$37	0x8265ea…
02-09 10:08:13	spx up or down on february 9 2026	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xf8069e…
02-09 08:36:57	nflx up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x0377aa…
02-08 15:13:03	pltr up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa752b4…
02-08 14:37:15	pltr up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92fc2c…
02-08 14:25:33	pltr up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x45de71…
02-08 13:30:01	pltr up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x12649e…
02-08 13:20:41	pltr up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x3e5b1e…
02-07 23:00:51	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x507f63…
02-07 17:41:29	nik up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	86	10¢	$9	0xc58840…
02-07 15:32:57	nik up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x44e46c…
02-07 15:26:17	nik up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x38f2fc…
02-07 12:27:51	nik up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x727c25…
02-06 09:29:39	nvda up or down on february 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x05d03c…
02-06 04:37:13	spx up or down on february 6 2026	Up	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x31dd94…
02-05 14:46:27	pltr up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x2657e3…
02-05 12:44:09	meta up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	67	32¢	$22	0x456456…
02-05 12:43:47	meta up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe2c53b…
02-05 12:43:41	meta up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x5fd29c…
02-05 12:37:17	tsla up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x499fc2…
02-05 12:37:17	spx up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x0e3b37…
02-05 12:33:17	amzn up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x382d26…
02-05 12:31:53	amzn up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0x57e5c7…
02-05 10:03:39	aapl up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0x8c44e6…
02-05 09:58:53	nflx up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x81e709…
02-05 09:22:35	ukx up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x48eff7…
02-05 09:00:17	aapl up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xaf0c4b…
02-05 07:39:49	coin up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe48b88…
02-05 04:29:41	googl up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x6dd4f3…
02-05 04:26:25	msft up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x826410…
02-05 01:40:49	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xccf7cd…
02-05 01:37:25	spx up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x3358d8…
02-05 01:23:09	nvda up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x5574f1…
02-05 00:14:25	spx up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x694828…
02-04 22:47:17	Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xf3c2f2…
02-04 14:30:38	aapl up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x951afd…
02-04 14:30:06	aapl up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	99	24¢	$24	0xf3c464…
02-04 14:04:36	nflx up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	94	36¢	$34	0xe2dd14…
02-04 13:27:44	nflx up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe756fc…
02-04 13:20:02	will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc9e5ce…
02-04 09:13:04	nflx up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda2572…
02-04 06:36:52	spx up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x36f046…
02-04 06:36:12	spx up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xe15765…