Realized P&L
+$244
Unrealized P&L
+$244
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
866
lifetime
Volume
$120.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$1.45K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-20 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
29% 50% +$244
Crypto
9%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +986 $599 70¢ $695 +$96 07-17 17:44
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +875 $398 48¢ $420 +$22 07-14 20:11
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -462 $-342 30¢ $-139 +$203 05-30 16:33
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $87 48¢ $76 $-11 07-14 19:24
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes -194 $-123 38¢ $-75 +$48 05-30 15:38
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -300 $-30 16¢ $-48 $-18 07-02 06:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $100 $2 $-98 05-31 18:08