Realized P&L
+$244
Unrealized P&L
-$281
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
758
lifetime
Volume
$116.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$1.45K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-09 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
29% 50% +$244
Crypto
7%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -417 $-121 67¢ $-279 $-158 05-28 18:31
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -462 $-342 60¢ $-277 +$65 05-30 16:33
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -256 $-225 92¢ $-234 $-9 06-02 08:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +238 $100 72¢ $170 +$70 05-31 10:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +678 $200 20¢ $139 $-61 06-05 21:56
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes -194 $-123 64¢ $-125 $-2 05-30 15:38
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +300 $108 27¢ $81 $-27 05-30 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $100 26¢ $51 $-49 05-31 18:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $0 $36 +$36 06-02 03:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +303 $100 10¢ $29 $-71 05-28 18:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +455 $100 $25 $-75 05-28 19:35