Original-Mama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$244

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

888

lifetime

Volume

$122.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 08-11 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% — —

Other

28% 50% +$244

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	23	$24.8K	12,835	12,825	+10	open	—	04-02 19:57
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	29	$6.6K	4,101	4,101	+0	open	—	04-30 17:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	33	$4.4K	11,233	3,402	+7,831	open	—	04-21 14:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$4.1K	2,174	2,174	+0	open	—	04-21 20:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$4.1K	7,432	2,939	+4,493	open	—	04-21 15:19
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	19	$3.7K	3,390	2,804	+586	open	—	03-31 10:27
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	16	$3.3K	2,531	2,531	+0	open	—	04-11 19:59
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	14	$2.7K	3,607	53	+3,554	open	—	08-08 20:11
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	12	$2.4K	1,871	935	+936	open	—	04-29 16:46
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$2.4K	1,408	1,408	+0	open	—	03-27 14:56
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	20	$2.3K	1,742	1,723	+19	open	—	04-08 18:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.3K	2,715	2,715	+0	open	—	04-24 16:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	17	$2.3K	1,321	1,321	+0	No	+$300	04-28 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$2.2K	1,246	1,246	+0	open	—	04-25 18:03
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	15	$2.2K	1,229	1,229	+0	open	—	04-30 15:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	20	$2.2K	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	04-29 14:03
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	4	$2.1K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	03-31 21:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$2.1K	2,678	2,678	+0	open	—	04-30 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$2.0K	1,492	1,492	+0	open	—	04-25 18:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$1.9K	2,053	0	+2,053	open	—	04-14 09:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	9	$1.9K	1,277	1,277	+0	open	—	04-13 06:48
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	1	$1.8K	2,142	0	+2,142	open	—	05-30 15:11
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	3	$1.7K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	04-09 14:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$1.6K	1,656	1,641	+15	open	—	05-24 15:35
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	40	$1.6K	7,648	926	+6,722	open	—	05-01 10:23
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$1.5K	1,741	0	+1,741	open	—	03-30 13:08
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	16	$1.4K	872	872	+0	open	—	03-31 08:31
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.2K	757	757	+0	open	—	04-21 18:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$1.2K	714	714	+0	open	—	05-20 19:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$1.1K	5,405	0	+5,405	open	—	04-21 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 07:58:01	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xef87ef…
08-10 22:05:27	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x2bd570…
08-10 06:01:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x7503e3…
08-10 05:57:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xec83c4…
08-10 05:54:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x9d4cc1…
08-10 05:26:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	122	69¢	$84	0x889da0…
08-08 20:11:21	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x52b8a3…
08-05 10:54:17	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	185	90¢	$167	0x9d1917…
08-05 10:19:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x7390ba…
08-01 11:58:36	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	274	66¢	$181	0x8fb7a9…
07-31 15:43:54	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	14¢	$39	0x920219…
07-31 13:01:38	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0x62b77c…
07-31 09:43:45	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x1785c2…
07-31 06:03:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x40ab5e…
07-30 13:13:30	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	14¢	$19	0xe45add…
07-29 23:09:47	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4ac95c…
07-27 22:37:58	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	14¢	$19	0xf4504e…
07-26 05:50:37	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	507	69¢	$350	0xc10b5b…
07-25 16:57:06	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	292	65¢	$190	0x4d37d5…
07-25 16:56:28	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x4aa136…
07-25 16:54:34	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa8ac5a…
07-23 06:06:34	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x2a3442…
07-20 13:00:18	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x1ce4b1…
07-20 07:37:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xac6b03…
07-18 14:56:33	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	132	18¢	$24	0xd95941…
07-18 13:42:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x61cdc6…
07-18 13:08:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x103387…
07-18 13:08:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x9f1117…
07-18 13:02:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x18e112…
07-18 12:55:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	556	18¢	$100	0x7c4575…
07-17 17:44:16	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	154	57¢	$88	0x53a44d…
07-17 09:22:06	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1d1036…
07-17 09:22:03	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x895eab…
07-15 07:09:07	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	459	65¢	$298	0xc3fff6…
07-15 00:42:55	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb79d97…
07-14 20:11:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x0acfc7…
07-14 19:24:17	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	55¢	$87	0xd31657…
07-14 15:30:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	277	25¢	$69	0x5767a4…
07-13 23:14:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	227	76¢	$173	0x1e2ccf…
07-13 03:09:38	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	260	18¢	$47	0x035abe…
07-13 03:07:44	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf1d904…
07-12 19:10:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7d930f…
07-12 19:09:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x63ad61…
07-12 19:09:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x89668a…
07-12 19:09:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x07f044…
07-12 19:09:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x414da7…
07-12 19:09:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x14b2a3…
07-12 19:05:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x20bbcc…
07-12 19:05:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x77787f…
07-12 19:05:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x1b55c4…
07-12 19:04:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	21	54¢	$12	0x2811e5…
07-12 19:04:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa1db79…
07-12 19:03:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x77a776…
07-12 19:03:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb5fe3a…
07-12 19:03:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9d068d…
07-12 19:03:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x660cfc…
07-12 19:03:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x01eeb2…
07-12 19:02:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa9f1e1…
07-12 19:02:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7e6a58…
07-12 19:02:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd3e1a…
07-12 19:02:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xaeb807…
07-12 19:02:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xc20f36…
07-12 19:01:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x536d2f…
07-12 19:01:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x362271…
07-12 19:01:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x31d9dd…
07-12 19:00:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xce88d8…
07-12 10:39:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xc9048c…
07-11 17:22:28	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0x34eb1a…
07-11 16:34:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x925291…
07-11 16:34:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x21ff8d…
07-11 16:34:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4266c8…
07-11 16:34:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x1501eb…
07-11 16:34:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x081e64…
07-11 10:31:10	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	198	47¢	$93	0x2b439a…
07-10 19:51:16	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x9e07b8…
07-08 04:59:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x690042…
07-07 20:45:04	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	290	57¢	$165	0x2e8f67…
07-07 08:44:43	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3d4a59…
07-06 23:09:35	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x5e5ac0…
07-06 23:09:05	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x963f6c…
07-06 23:04:28	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xb963e9…
07-06 15:05:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbdd997…
07-06 15:05:20	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x537c4c…
07-06 10:06:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x2eeafd…
07-03 14:58:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x819cc2…
07-02 21:08:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	294	97¢	$284	0x036bc5…
07-02 06:53:37	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	23¢	$138	0x376525…
07-02 06:36:14	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xee7cc5…
06-30 21:19:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x29180d…
06-30 21:14:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	178	67¢	$119	0x68293d…
06-30 21:13:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x950fc0…
06-30 21:10:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xefb6fd…
06-30 21:10:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0x0bc0dc…
06-30 19:35:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xdee84c…
06-29 21:32:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x188e80…
06-27 21:35:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	118	53¢	$62	0xee2fc7…
06-27 21:24:32	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x76c7c7…
06-26 18:55:47	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa6b869…
06-26 02:23:14	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x9ba636…
06-25 19:30:55	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xfe575d…