Celebrated-Guitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$949

Unrealized P&L

+$62

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$58.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$239

Open exposure

$1.02K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 08-05 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$868

Crypto

16% 92% +$60

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$18

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+500	$475	97¢	$484	+$9	06-03 17:27
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+460	$423	96¢	$441	+$19	06-04 04:06
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-358	-$127	26¢	$-92	+$34	08-05 18:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	24	$8.7K	8,682	272	+8,410	No	+$278	06-11 19:36
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$7.6K	5,134	2,500	+2,634	No	+$35	05-26 01:36
Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$3.9K	3,934	0	+3,934	No	+$53	05-22 14:39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	25	$2.5K	2,555	0	+2,555	No	+$38	04-28 16:04
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,305	0	+2,305	Yes	+$5	04-27 03:54
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	8	$2.2K	1,654	585	+1,068	Yes	+$24	05-14 20:01
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$4	05-28 12:53
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	10	$1.7K	1,752	0	+1,752	Yes	+$98	06-03 03:32
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	1,560	0	+1,560	No	+$2	04-22 03:53
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.4K	1,248	192	+1,055	No	+$56	07-01 08:19
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$1.4K	711	711	+0	No	+$3	06-09 16:04
Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,354	0	+1,354	No	+$18	06-26 18:05
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,302	0	+1,302	No	+$11	07-01 08:09
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$1.2K	1,167	0	+1,167	Yes	+$3	04-28 16:16
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	No	+$56	06-04 00:53
Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?	2	$1.0K	1,023	0	+1,023	Yes	+$2	04-20 02:26
Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?	13	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$3	04-16 12:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	3	$907	508	508	+0	No	+$23	03-03 14:44
Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$843	851	0	+851	No	+$8	05-11 15:50
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	4	$778	796	0	+796	Yes	+$18	06-09 15:21
will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	5	$754	858	0	+858	Yes	+$103	06-12 11:35
will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	7	$754	791	0	+791	Yes	+$36	06-19 12:34
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$725	740	0	+740	Yes	+$15	04-19 07:10
will surf launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$661	665	0	+665	No	+$4	06-26 18:13
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31?	1	$612	614	0	+614	Yes	+$2	05-22 05:55
Over $250k committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$585	587	0	+587	Yes	+$1	04-28 06:42
Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by June 30?	1	$585	586	0	+586	Yes	+$1	05-26 14:51
Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	2	$507	509	0	+509	Yes	+$2	06-09 13:10
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$505	507	0	+507	No	+$2	06-26 18:05
Will MrBeast hit 128 billion views by June 30?	1	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	06-03 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 18:17:35	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x1f79e9…
08-05 18:15:29	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	458	28¢	$129	0x38164e…
07-01 08:19:11	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f0b7c…
07-01 08:10:43	Will Hylo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xf62764…
07-01 08:09:07	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	650	100¢	$649	0x7f3395…
06-28 08:05:34	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9736aa…
06-28 08:04:58	Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0abb08…
06-28 08:03:31	Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd460c…
06-26 18:15:16	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x96dfa2…
06-26 18:14:49	Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b3eea…
06-26 18:14:17	Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x9362e8…
06-26 18:13:14	will surf launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x601078…
06-26 18:12:44	Will Hylo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xd3362c…
06-26 18:11:56	will surf launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	498	99¢	$495	0x12acc3…
06-26 18:11:17	Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x44cfd0…
06-26 18:10:07	Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xbb5d5f…
06-26 18:08:10	Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0xb51287…
06-26 18:06:43	Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4154f5…
06-26 18:06:17	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$214	0xaaf4de…
06-26 18:05:50	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x04abe8…
06-26 18:05:22	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	538	100¢	$535	0x950296…
06-26 18:01:17	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	297	99¢	$296	0xea6210…
06-26 18:00:13	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xdd1388…
06-26 17:58:53	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0x04df34…
06-26 17:56:56	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0xece87f…
06-26 17:52:55	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x57c710…
06-26 17:52:25	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc46969…
06-19 12:34:01	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0x5774a9…
06-19 12:33:04	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x576d9e…
06-12 11:35:45	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	417	91¢	$379	0xb8dc84…
06-12 10:34:52	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x48e985…
06-12 10:34:31	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	74	91¢	$67	0xc20f48…
06-11 19:36:04	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	936	99¢	$926	0x5d3887…
06-11 15:33:40	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x283162…
06-11 15:19:52	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x6eb8fc…
06-11 11:28:34	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xe4927e…
06-09 16:04:24	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	484	96¢	$464	0x5b9d37…
06-09 15:21:46	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0xb46f06…
06-09 15:20:48	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xf8aa03…
06-09 15:19:25	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	275	97¢	$268	0x8478db…
06-09 15:18:45	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	272	99¢	$269	0x206028…
06-09 13:10:42	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa64ca1…
06-09 13:08:43	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0xefebcf…
06-09 12:06:45	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	227	96¢	$218	0x1c4f43…
06-09 09:35:36	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xba1f61…
06-09 09:31:15	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	319	98¢	$313	0xa2c285…
06-09 09:03:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x2c6100…
06-09 08:37:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	689	96¢	$658	0x8ed73d…
06-08 11:45:13	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xbae472…
06-07 08:32:00	Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x76ebf3…
06-07 08:29:57	Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x86aeef…
06-04 09:19:21	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x5dd969…
06-04 09:18:06	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0x55ece2…
06-04 08:23:15	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	2,434	98¢	$2,388	0x04b22c…
06-04 06:09:01	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x9c1171…
06-04 04:06:09	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	260	92¢	$239	0x00f973…
06-04 04:03:18	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xd7f078…
06-04 04:02:33	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xf17ece…
06-04 01:02:57	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xcdda3d…
06-04 00:53:10	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb6870a…
06-03 17:27:51	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x27bcc5…
06-03 16:13:37	Will MrBeast hit 128 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x018a4e…
06-03 15:09:42	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x9f12fb…
06-03 09:05:05	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xde9d90…
06-03 05:31:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x5fa130…
06-03 03:33:36	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	297	94¢	$279	0x6d3a3a…
06-03 03:32:14	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x5f8980…
06-03 03:28:58	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	284	97¢	$274	0x6fbd81…
06-03 03:27:06	Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x695b86…
06-03 03:24:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xe47f03…
06-03 03:22:22	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$125	0x18a0ed…
06-03 03:15:29	Will MrBeast hit 127 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x187889…
06-03 03:10:58	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x77efc9…
06-03 03:01:54	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xa37340…
06-02 17:28:15	Will Ethena reach $0.20 in June?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x0e4232…
06-02 17:19:51	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	700	98¢	$682	0x1c561b…
06-02 17:15:46	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xc04cc5…
06-02 15:02:56	Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x0c6b12…
06-02 14:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,174	1¢	$20	0x7d4fda…
06-02 10:27:29	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0x4a678b…
06-02 09:21:38	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	113	98¢	$110	0xe4667d…
06-02 06:32:12	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4a4d33…
06-02 06:31:46	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xe6d88b…
06-02 05:02:12	Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	87¢	$36	0x54a44f…
06-02 05:01:42	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	121	94¢	$114	0xf306ee…
06-02 05:01:42	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd3fdda…
06-02 05:01:14	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	429	96¢	$412	0x010753…
06-02 04:23:47	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xccfb45…
06-02 04:20:24	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	242	95¢	$230	0x9890da…
06-02 04:01:02	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0x536f3c…
06-02 04:00:11	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	339	95¢	$322	0x2592b6…
06-02 03:16:31	Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	83¢	$253	0x4aca34…
06-02 03:15:14	will cap launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	39	91¢	$35	0x7423d3…
06-02 03:14:45	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	196	90¢	$177	0x1218e3…
06-01 20:18:48	Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x185b84…
06-01 18:28:28	Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x819756…
06-01 17:28:38	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x6007bf…
06-01 17:23:39	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	109	85¢	$93	0x3b672a…
06-01 12:35:47	Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	292	95¢	$277	0x4c6d7e…
06-01 12:29:44	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	642	96¢	$620	0xe911ac…