Plastic-Bakery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-24 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 93% -$6

Other

23% 73% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No		+111	$105	99¢	$110	+$5	07-13 09:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$1	05-11 15:09
will solana dip to 30 february 9 15	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	02-13 13:25
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	1	$121	122	0	+122	No	+$0	03-06 15:02
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-30 09:45
will ethereum reach 2800 march 23 29	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-26 14:44
will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	1	$119	119	0	+119	No	+$0	02-20 13:21
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$119	119	0	+119	No	+$0	02-25 14:25
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	1	$105	111	0	+111	open	—	07-13 09:56
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	2	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	02-04 08:17
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 12 18	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	01-16 12:11
will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	01-23 12:17
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	01-27 15:19
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	04-02 20:57
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	04-20 12:33
will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	04-09 14:40
will bitcoin dip to 58k april 13 19	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	04-16 09:12
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$0	01-09 21:17
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?	1	$46	48	0	+48	No	+$1	04-02 14:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-26 18:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-24 14:16
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-27 12:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	7	$8	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$8	01-07 10:58
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-02 16:11
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	-$3	04-02 17:45
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-09 12:50
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-09 14:34
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	04-20 14:13
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	01-09 15:48
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	04-02 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 14:16:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1bc0b0…
08-26 18:16:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7f1059…
07-27 12:58:12	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b800d…
07-13 09:56:41	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	94¢	$105	0xdb55af…
05-11 15:09:27	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x4fc5c7…
04-20 14:13:12	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x04e844…
04-20 12:33:26	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0xba566f…
04-16 09:12:56	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 13 19	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x3a3281…
04-09 14:40:37	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xd9b5c3…
04-09 12:50:07	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x8c4f79…
04-02 20:57:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xb8f661…
04-02 17:45:11	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xc533d2…
04-02 16:11:39	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x3712f4…
04-02 16:02:03	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4026cd…
04-02 15:04:55	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3521ac…
04-02 14:01:35	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xd0ec6c…
03-30 09:45:56	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb01bb1…
03-26 14:44:35	will ethereum reach 2800 march 23 29	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x221df4…
03-09 14:34:23	will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x084885…
03-06 15:02:03	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xbf505f…
02-25 14:25:06	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x999333…
02-20 13:21:36	will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc241e2…
02-13 13:25:41	will solana dip to 30 february 9 15	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd32d3e…
02-04 08:17:38	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb092fe…
01-27 15:19:35	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x95cd31…
01-23 12:17:16	will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x8f3bd6…
01-16 12:11:00	will bitcoin dip to 80k january 12 18	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xcd08c2…
01-09 21:17:18	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0x74b03c…
01-09 17:42:36	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xc81a8a…
01-09 15:48:14	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6e48e4…
01-07 10:58:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xfd4543…
01-07 10:58:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x3e936f…
01-07 10:57:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x020e1f…
01-07 10:57:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xd66143…
01-07 10:57:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	5,335	0¢	$5	0x3bfd3b…
01-07 10:57:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xfec0e0…
01-07 10:57:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0xe95e02…