Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,181
lifetime
Volume
$535.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$4.11K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% $-1,108
Other
25% 100% +$32
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,332 $1,097 80¢ $1.1K $-25 06-19 09:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $624 82¢ $656 +$32 06-21 01:15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +798 $611 74¢ $595 $-16 06-12 09:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +783 $580 74¢ $575 $-4 07-20 07:56
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +550 $497 92¢ $509 +$12 07-17 10:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -699 $-507 42¢ $-290 +$217 06-15 06:23
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +180 $170 97¢ $174 +$4 06-13 23:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +153 $107 78¢ $120 +$13 06-10 23:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $208 30¢ $118 $-90 06-26 04:26