Realized P&L
+$41.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.63K
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
456
Trades
4,911
lifetime
Volume
$634.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$20.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Politics
72% 83% +$33,907
Other
26% 74% +$6,611
Tech
1% 100% +$505
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nawrocki out by December 31? No +2,211 $2,018 98¢ $2.2K +$141 10-31 06:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,000 $1,530 92¢ $1.8K +$320 08-04 12:31
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,332 $1,097 94¢ $1.3K +$161 06-19 09:11
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +1,255 $567 98¢ $1.2K +$666 07-17 10:22
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,237 $930 94¢ $1.2K +$238 08-29 20:23
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +1,400 $1,066 78¢ $1.1K +$33 11-08 13:08
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? No +1,215 $971 88¢ $1.1K +$98 11-06 22:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +1,500 $625 66¢ $990 +$365 11-07 04:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 -$842 92¢ $-925 -$83 07-23 23:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $868 92¢ $915 +$47 11-04 04:38
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +1,000 $860 86¢ $865 +$5 11-09 01:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1,144 -$752 66¢ $-749 +$2 11-04 04:17
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +800 $680 88¢ $708 +$28 11-07 03:55
Tusk out by December 31? No +625 $544 96¢ $603 +$59 10-31 01:05
Święczkowski charged by December 31? Yes +1,018 $318 54¢ $545 +$226 11-09 12:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +600 $378 82¢ $489 +$111 11-04 04:34
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027? No +584 $364 81¢ $473 +$108 11-06 20:19
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? No +600 $474 78¢ $471 -$3 11-09 20:52
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +500 $464 93¢ $464 +$1 11-09 12:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +600 $300 74¢ $441 +$141 11-05 21:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +500 $310 84¢ $418 +$108 11-05 18:05
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? No +400 $344 84¢ $338 -$6 11-06 17:26
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +300 $249 88¢ $266 +$16 11-06 17:40
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $255 53¢ $265 +$10 11-06 22:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $206 99¢ $247 +$41 11-04 04:22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2027? Yes +412 $208 52¢ $212 +$4 10-31 15:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +2,000 $480 11¢ $210 -$270 08-09 11:43
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +180 $170 99¢ $178 +$8 06-13 23:07
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +132 $97 98¢ $130 +$33 11-09 20:50
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? Yes +100 $56 82¢ $81 +$25 11-02 22:54