Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.27K
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,055
lifetime
Volume
$527.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$7.93K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% $-1,108
Other
25% 100% +$32
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,044 $1,513 84¢ $1.7K +$194 06-11 20:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,332 $1,097 82¢ $1.1K +$2 06-19 09:11
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1,000 $920 100¢ $998 +$78 05-31 21:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +908 $-124 100¢ $905 +$1,029 06-16 06:09
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +812 $743 91¢ $739 $-4 06-29 16:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +798 $611 75¢ $599 $-12 06-12 09:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $624 74¢ $592 $-32 06-21 01:15
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +500 $406 100¢ $498 +$92 05-31 22:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -699 $-507 48¢ $-332 +$175 06-15 06:23
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +180 $170 95¢ $171 +$1 06-13 23:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $208 42¢ $170 $-38 06-26 04:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +153 $107 72¢ $110 +$3 06-10 23:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,500 $222 $5 $-217 06-18 23:07