Realized P&L
-$441
Unrealized P&L
+$1.76K
Hit rate
15.9%
Resolved
65
Trades
4,405
lifetime
Volume
$153.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$104.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-29 05:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
40% 29% -$25
Other
39% 11% -$405
Sports
16% 67% +$17
Crypto
5% 50% -$5
Tech
1% 0% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +24,889 $23,927 98¢ $24.4K +$452 09-14 00:33
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +12,459 $10,993 85¢ $10.6K -$434 10-29 06:53
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,433 $8,836 90¢ $8.5K -$360 09-14 20:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,578 $7,284 96¢ $7.3K -$28 09-13 23:24
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6,519 $6,239 96¢ $6.2K +$9 10-29 02:12
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +5,784 $5,512 97¢ $5.6K +$104 08-19 16:27
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,623 $4,501 99¢ $4.6K +$92 09-11 17:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,269 $4,502 83¢ $4.4K -$120 09-10 22:24
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,436 $4,235 96¢ $4.3K +$34 10-28 15:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,795 $3,301 94¢ $3.5K +$247 08-18 07:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,799 $2,587 96¢ $2.7K +$99 09-13 20:51
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,143 $2,037 97¢ $2.1K +$34 10-28 23:28
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +2,009 $1,768 97¢ $2.0K +$189 07-18 00:48
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,122 $1,466 15¢ $1.8K +$382 10-29 03:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,150 $1,734 82¢ $1.8K +$26 10-29 05:40
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,683 $1,639 99¢ $1.7K +$25 09-15 06:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,787 $1,036 90¢ $1.6K +$581 06-27 21:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +1,521 $1,428 96¢ $1.5K +$38 09-04 14:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,472 $1,327 98¢ $1.4K +$121 08-18 04:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,627 $1,274 86¢ $1.4K +$134 07-13 21:39
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,334 $1,304 97¢ $1.3K -$6 10-27 03:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,440 $1,046 75¢ $1.1K +$34 06-14 08:22
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9,433 $611 10¢ $957 +$346 09-13 17:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,269 $774 17¢ $888 +$114 09-10 05:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +777 $755 96¢ $750 -$5 08-11 02:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +824 $638 82¢ $672 +$34 06-23 15:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +24,889 $964 2¢ $510 -$454 09-14 08:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,269 $444 18¢ $412 -$32 10-29 06:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +461 $238 84¢ $389 +$151 06-14 22:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,440 $403 25¢ $360 -$43 06-14 07:37