Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef3a…8ef04e
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
8.1%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
226
56,560 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$112
$44.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$90
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
52% 49% +$657
Politics
20% 46% -$4
Crypto
14% 55% +$13
Sports
12% 21% -$239
Tech
1% 40% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 35% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 97¢ $9 +$5 06-25 08:43
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 -$6 11¢ $-6 +$0 10-05 21:40
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 91¢ $5 +$2 08-27 11:53
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 05-12 01:33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 -$6 89¢ $-4 +$2 08-28 08:38
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 76¢ $-4 -$1 08-20 16:15
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +813 $7 0¢ $4 -$3 10-29 12:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -430 -$10 1¢ $-4 +$6 10-19 19:57
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +41 $3 8¢ $3 +$0 10-31 14:17
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +994 $1 0¢ $3 +$3 09-18 11:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +34 $5 10¢ $3 -$1 10-31 15:56
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -4 $2 71¢ $-3 -$5 05-03 18:14
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +667 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 10-17 02:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 05-21 17:44
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 05-13 15:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 -$1 66¢ $-2 -$2 06-24 13:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -7 -$2 34¢ $-2 -$1 09-29 22:39
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 05-03 11:48
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -59 -$8 4¢ $-2 +$6 10-01 10:46
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -142 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 10-01 18:17
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +1,006 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 08-22 15:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +1,320 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-30 20:30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -2 -$3 82¢ $-2 +$1 08-21 18:19
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +32 $3 5¢ $2 -$2 10-28 19:52
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -12 -$19 14¢ $-2 +$18 09-29 09:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -2 $0 91¢ $-1 -$1 05-10 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-20 16:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes -288 $1 0¢ $-1 -$3 10-01 07:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +20 -$1 6¢ $1 +$2 10-31 16:22
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-09 13:58