Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef3a…8ef04e
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$432
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
922
Trades
56,735
lifetime
Volume
$44.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$116
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 02:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
52% 49% +$663
Politics
20% 46% -$4
Crypto
14% 55% +$13
Sports
12% 21% -$239
Tech
1% 40% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 35% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 97¢ $9 +$5 06-25 08:43
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +869 $3 1¢ $7 +$4 11-01 14:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +45 $5 14¢ $6 +$1 11-01 22:43
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 -$6 11¢ $-6 +$0 10-05 21:40
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 91¢ $5 +$2 08-27 11:53
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +471 $8 1¢ $5 -$3 11-01 19:46
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 05-12 01:33
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +140 $5 3¢ $5 +$0 11-01 21:17
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $1 9¢ $5 +$4 11-02 02:28
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 -$6 88¢ $-4 +$2 08-28 08:38
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 79¢ $-4 -$1 08-20 16:15
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +813 $7 0¢ $4 -$3 10-29 12:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +34 $5 10¢ $3 -$1 10-31 15:56
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +41 $3 8¢ $3 +$0 10-31 14:17
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +994 $1 0¢ $3 +$3 09-18 11:14
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-01 22:03
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +292 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 11-02 00:21
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -4 $2 72¢ $-3 -$5 05-03 18:14
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $4 7¢ $3 -$1 11-02 02:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -7 -$2 44¢ $-3 -$1 09-29 22:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 05-21 17:44
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +83 $1 3¢ $3 +$2 11-01 10:14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +133 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-01 20:12
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 94¢ $3 +$1 05-13 15:44
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 05-03 11:48
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -59 -$8 4¢ $-2 +$6 10-01 10:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -297 -$9 1¢ $-2 +$7 11-01 17:57
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -142 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 10-01 18:17
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 -$1 56¢ $-2 -$1 06-24 13:31
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -2 -$3 86¢ $-2 +$1 08-21 18:19