(anonymous) 0xa45fd8…90d6cb Create alert
whale hot
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$5.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$435
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved (30d)
597
Trades (30d)
2,432
7,548 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$234.3K
$655.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$31.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-02 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
64% 54% -$4,195
Politics
24% 57% -$57
Sports
4% 49% -$875
Crypto
3% 67% +$242
Tech
3% 42% -$279
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$188
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 82¢ $3.3K -$76 10-23 01:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,390 $2,236 94¢ $2.3K +$22 10-25 22:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 82¢ $2.0K +$51 10-23 09:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 86¢ $1.9K -$47 10-23 05:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 92¢ $1.5K +$34 10-26 23:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 92¢ $1.4K +$49 10-23 03:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 68¢ $1.2K -$189 10-29 00:07
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,139 $1,031 96¢ $1.1K +$65 10-23 18:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,190 $1,035 90¢ $1.1K +$42 10-26 22:39
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +4,951 $1,089 20¢ $1.0K -$74 11-01 10:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,066 $959 88¢ $933 -$27 10-30 22:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,235 $803 76¢ $932 +$129 10-30 02:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,603 $1,185 57¢ $913 -$271 10-26 15:38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,169 $735 74¢ $871 +$136 10-23 01:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $754 74¢ $855 +$100 10-23 01:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 97¢ $774 +$302 10-23 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,022 $681 74¢ $751 +$70 10-23 02:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2,611 $763 29¢ $744 -$19 10-24 18:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,066 $778 70¢ $741 -$37 11-01 10:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +811 $735 88¢ $718 -$17 10-22 19:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +1,222 $751 57¢ $692 -$59 10-23 02:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +724 $652 92¢ $662 +$11 11-01 19:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +994 $657 66¢ $661 +$4 10-23 03:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +753 $663 88¢ $659 -$4 10-23 01:05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,451 $442 45¢ $653 +$211 10-15 15:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $497 48¢ $630 +$134 10-24 15:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +657 $552 95¢ $625 +$72 10-27 09:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +885 $760 68¢ $606 -$153 11-02 02:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +816 $617 72¢ $592 -$26 10-23 03:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +794 $572 72¢ $576 +$4 10-23 02:18