(anonymous) 0xa45fd8…90d6cb Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.25K
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
1,259
Trades
7,960
lifetime
Volume
$733.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$48.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-06 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
64% 54% -$2,239
Politics
25% 58% +$115
Sports
4% 51% -$716
Tech
4% 42% -$279
Crypto
3% 67% +$242
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$188
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +7,812 $4,895 78¢ $6.1K +$1,238 11-05 21:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 88¢ $3.5K +$164 10-23 01:05
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? Yes +3,896 $3,000 80¢ $3.1K +$97 11-04 05:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +2,763 $2,573 95¢ $2.6K +$43 11-06 06:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 92¢ $2.0K +$64 10-23 05:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +3,141 $1,917 64¢ $2.0K +$78 11-06 06:21
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? Yes +3,225 $1,943 58¢ $1.9K -$57 11-05 09:55
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +2,495 $1,650 76¢ $1.9K +$234 11-05 21:33
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,967 $1,751 92¢ $1.8K +$68 11-05 21:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-26 23:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,708 $1,380 88¢ $1.5K +$131 11-05 09:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 92¢ $1.4K +$49 10-23 03:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 56¢ $1.4K -$587 10-23 09:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 78¢ $1.4K -$22 10-29 00:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,856 $1,258 68¢ $1.3K +$13 11-05 22:51
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,444 $1,220 88¢ $1.3K +$51 11-06 05:31
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +1,600 $1,199 79¢ $1.3K +$65 11-04 05:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,571 $1,066 48¢ $1.2K +$155 11-06 05:31
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? Yes +1,476 $1,172 82¢ $1.2K +$38 11-06 06:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,617 $1,100 72¢ $1.2K +$57 11-04 07:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in November? No +1,277 $983 86¢ $1.1K +$109 11-05 20:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +1,300 $1,125 81¢ $1.1K -$72 11-05 11:50
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +1,212 $1,040 86¢ $1.0K -$4 11-05 23:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,037 $944 94¢ $976 +$32 11-03 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,066 $959 90¢ $959 +$0 10-30 22:55
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +961 $837 88¢ $845 +$9 11-05 02:40
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +4,951 $1,089 16¢ $817 -$272 11-01 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +911 $787 88¢ $806 +$20 11-04 23:21
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 99¢ $797 +$324 10-23 07:34
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +794 $572 98¢ $777 +$204 10-23 02:18