Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.93K
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved (90d)
1,272
Trades (90d)
8,070
8,127 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$769.0K
$770.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$64.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-07 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
64% 54% -$1,299
Politics
25% 58% +$24
Sports
4% 51% -$716
Tech
3% 42% -$279
Crypto
3% 67% +$242
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$188
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +7,812 $4,895 76¢ $6.0K +$1,082 11-05 21:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +6,250 $4,958 80¢ $5.0K +$11 11-07 06:33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? No +11,363 $5,000 44¢ $4.9K -$57 11-06 23:15
Cincinnati vs. Houston Houston +6,250 $4,950 78¢ $4.9K -$44 11-06 23:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 90¢ $3.6K +$204 10-23 01:05
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? Yes +3,896 $3,000 80¢ $3.1K +$117 11-04 05:54
Iowa vs. Northwestern Northwestern +6,757 $3,041 44¢ $3.0K -$34 11-07 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,850 $2,530 90¢ $2.6K +$21 11-07 05:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 92¢ $2.0K +$64 10-23 05:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +3,030 $1,846 64¢ $2.0K +$108 11-07 06:11
Spread: Fresno State (-1.5) Fresno State +4,119 $1,977 46¢ $1.9K -$62 11-07 04:14
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +2,495 $1,650 76¢ $1.9K +$234 11-05 21:33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? No +12,393 $1,983 15¢ $1.8K -$186 11-07 02:34
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,967 $1,751 91¢ $1.8K +$39 11-05 21:39
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +1,698 $1,087 97¢ $1.6K +$556 11-07 06:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,708 $1,380 88¢ $1.5K +$131 11-05 09:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 90¢ $1.5K -$16 10-26 23:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 79¢ $1.4K -$2 10-29 00:07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 91¢ $1.4K +$26 10-23 03:16
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +1,600 $1,199 80¢ $1.3K +$73 11-04 05:54
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,444 $1,220 88¢ $1.3K +$51 11-06 05:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,856 $1,258 68¢ $1.3K +$4 11-05 22:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,571 $1,066 48¢ $1.2K +$168 11-06 05:31
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? Yes +1,476 $1,172 80¢ $1.2K +$1 11-06 06:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,617 $1,100 72¢ $1.2K +$57 11-04 07:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in November? No +1,277 $983 88¢ $1.1K +$134 11-05 20:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,176 $1,811 51¢ $1.1K -$701 11-06 22:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +1,300 $1,125 83¢ $1.1K -$46 11-05 11:50
Spread: Jacksonville State (-16.5) Sam Houston +2,178 $1,067 49¢ $1.1K +$0 11-07 04:14
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +1,212 $1,040 86¢ $1.0K -$4 11-05 23:55