(anonymous) 0xa45fd8…90d6cb
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$557
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved (7d)
151
Trades (7d)
372
7,440 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$44.3K
$638.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$31.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-31 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
65% 53% -$4,275
Politics
24% 56% -$384
Sports
4% 49% -$1,046
Crypto
4% 62% +$218
Tech
3% 39% -$324
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$159
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 82¢ $3.3K -$76 10-23 01:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,390 $2,236 94¢ $2.3K +$22 10-25 22:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 82¢ $2.0K +$51 10-23 09:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,019 $1,712 100¢ $2.0K +$297 10-23 01:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 84¢ $1.9K -$113 10-23 05:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-26 23:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 90¢ $1.3K +$11 10-23 03:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,190 $1,035 88¢ $1.1K +$18 10-26 22:39
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,139 $1,031 91¢ $1.0K +$5 10-23 18:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 58¢ $1.0K -$363 10-29 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,066 $959 88¢ $943 -$16 10-30 22:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,603 $1,185 55¢ $873 -$311 10-26 15:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,235 $803 70¢ $871 +$67 10-30 02:47
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +862 $757 100¢ $858 +$101 10-19 14:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $754 70¢ $809 +$54 10-23 01:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,169 $735 68¢ $801 +$66 10-23 01:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 95¢ $764 +$291 10-23 07:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,011 $849 74¢ $753 -$96 10-23 01:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +811 $735 88¢ $710 -$25 10-22 19:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,022 $681 68¢ $700 +$19 10-23 02:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2,611 $763 26¢ $692 -$71 10-24 18:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +1,222 $751 56¢ $690 -$60 10-23 02:18
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +994 $657 69¢ $686 +$29 10-23 03:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,451 $442 46¢ $660 +$218 10-15 15:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +753 $663 86¢ $644 -$19 10-23 01:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $497 48¢ $618 +$121 10-24 15:49
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +612 $311 99¢ $609 +$298 10-23 14:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +657 $552 91¢ $598 +$46 10-27 09:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +816 $617 72¢ $592 -$26 10-23 03:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +794 $572 72¢ $576 +$4 10-23 02:18