(anonymous) 0xa45fd8…90d6cb
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$224
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved (7d)
180
Trades (7d)
361
7,443 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$41.8K
$638.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$31.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-01 06:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
65% 53% -$4,709
Politics
24% 57% -$268
Sports
4% 49% -$1,046
Crypto
4% 67% +$242
Tech
3% 42% -$279
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$188
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 84¢ $3.3K -$36 10-23 01:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,390 $2,236 94¢ $2.3K +$22 10-25 22:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,019 $1,712 100¢ $2.0K +$307 10-23 01:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 82¢ $2.0K +$51 10-23 09:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 84¢ $1.9K -$113 10-23 05:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-26 23:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 90¢ $1.3K +$4 10-23 03:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 62¢ $1.1K -$294 10-29 00:07
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,139 $1,031 95¢ $1.1K +$47 10-23 18:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,190 $1,035 88¢ $1.1K +$18 10-26 22:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,066 $959 88¢ $943 -$16 10-30 22:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,235 $803 70¢ $871 +$67 10-30 02:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,603 $1,185 54¢ $857 -$327 10-26 15:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $754 70¢ $809 +$54 10-23 01:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,169 $735 68¢ $789 +$54 10-23 01:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 96¢ $765 +$293 10-23 07:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,011 $849 74¢ $753 -$96 10-23 01:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +1,222 $751 59¢ $719 -$32 10-23 02:18
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +994 $657 72¢ $716 +$59 10-23 03:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +811 $735 88¢ $710 -$25 10-22 19:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,022 $681 68¢ $690 +$9 10-23 02:18
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2,611 $763 26¢ $666 -$97 10-24 18:35
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,451 $442 45¢ $653 +$211 10-15 15:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +753 $663 86¢ $651 -$11 10-23 01:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +657 $552 91¢ $598 +$46 10-27 09:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +816 $617 72¢ $592 -$26 10-23 03:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +794 $572 72¢ $576 +$4 10-23 02:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +647 $569 88¢ $572 +$3 10-31 03:25
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +666 $592 86¢ $569 -$23 10-23 05:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,300 $497 42¢ $552 +$56 10-24 15:49