Realized P&L
-$25.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
161
Trades
7,514
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$85.2K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 12:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
78% 50% +$19,174
Other
18% 35% -$32,416
Sports
3% 44% -$11,214
Crypto
0% 50% -$898
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30,000 $18,600 66¢ $19.9K +$1,350 10-16 21:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +25,000 $21,000 78¢ $19.4K -$1,625 10-19 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +51,250 $16,155 32¢ $16.5K +$322 10-26 07:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20,000 $13,300 74¢ $14.7K +$1,400 10-18 15:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +12,337 $3,683 32¢ $3.9K +$203 10-26 07:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -4,310 -$2,715 66¢ $-2823 -$108 10-16 21:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,043 $2,284 46¢ $2.3K +$20 10-15 16:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +20,614 $3,807 8¢ $1.8K -$2,055 10-19 01:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,388 $1,273 32¢ $1.4K +$110 10-22 07:08
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,377 -$1,201 6¢ $-774 +$427 09-20 17:56
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -169,850 -$1,189 0¢ $-510 +$679 05-02 22:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,131 $328 32¢ $356 +$28 10-22 07:08
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,673 $900 20¢ $326 -$573 08-04 20:07
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +7,876 $473 3¢ $272 -$201 10-22 07:07
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,670 $337 3¢ $167 -$169 10-22 07:08
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,406 -$116 4¢ $-93 +$23 09-20 14:39
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +50 $34 68¢ $34 $0 10-24 13:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +43 $7 54¢ $23 +$16 05-28 15:20
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -8,309 -$2,037 0¢ $-12 +$2,024 10-15 17:24