Worthy-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.44K

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

161

Trades

7,595

lifetime

Volume

$1.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$81.4K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

79% 50% +$19,174

Other

18% 35% -$32,416

Sports

3% 44% -$11,214

Crypto

0% 50% -$898

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+66,622	$20,920	35¢	$23.0K	+$2,098	10-27 12:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+30,000	$18,600	68¢	$20.2K	+$1,650	10-16 21:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+25,000	$21,000	80¢	$19.9K	-$1,125	10-19 13:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+12,337	$3,683	34¢	$4.1K	+$449	10-26 07:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	-4,310	-$2,715	66¢	$-2823	-$108	10-16 21:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5,861	$3,261	48¢	$2.8K	-$477	10-27 20:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+5,043	$2,284	44¢	$2.2K	-$43	10-15 16:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+20,614	$3,807	11¢	$2.2K	-$1,642	10-19 01:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,388	$1,273	30¢	$1.3K	+$44	10-22 07:08
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-12,377	-$1,201	6¢	$-724	+$476	09-20 17:56
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-169,850	-$1,189	0¢	$-425	+$764	05-02 22:39
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	+7,876	$473	4¢	$350	-$122	10-22 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+1,673	$900	20¢	$343	-$557	08-04 20:07
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,131	$328	30¢	$334	+$6	10-22 07:08
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5,670	$337	4¢	$230	-$107	10-22 07:08
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+15,924	$121	1¢	$199	+$78	10-28 01:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-2,406	-$116	4¢	$-97	+$18	09-20 14:39
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+50	$34	70¢	$35	+$0	10-24 13:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+43	$7	56¢	$24	+$16	05-28 15:20
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	-8,309	-$2,037	0¢	$-12	+$2,024	10-15 17:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	140	$103.6K	107,035	0	+107,035	No	+$3,442	02-10 02:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	124	$63.5K	68,132	11,046	+57,086	Yes	+$11,977	03-04 18:43
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	107	$45.7K	52,968	0	+52,968	No	+$7,218	05-19 23:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	58	$41.3K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$2,650	01-15 13:40
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	20	$40.2K	42,363	0	+42,363	No	+$2,188	01-16 12:30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	71	$39.7K	51,493	9,000	+42,493	No	+$18,835	10-25 23:39
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	91	$37.7K	30,008	31,877	-1,869	Yes	-$5,028	06-09 01:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	48	$36.5K	30,000	30,000	+0	Yes	-$8,326	02-28 07:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$30.2K	18,003	18,003	+0	Yes	-$1,064	02-28 18:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$29.5K	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	+$6,255	04-07 05:49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	61	$26.0K	35,245	1,067	+34,177	No	+$7,649	06-09 01:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	104	$23.3K	20,000	14,139	+5,861	open	—	10-27 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	92	$23.1K	55,794	55,794	+0	Yes	-$18,839	04-07 23:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$21.6K	47,941	0	+47,941	Yes	+$26,368	02-02 16:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	59	$21.3K	50,555	50,555	+0	No	-$1,889	03-25 01:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	5	$21.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	10-19 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	14	$20.9K	66,622	0	+66,622	open	—	10-27 12:48
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	47	$20.7K	20,668	8,248	+12,420	No	+$594	03-22 20:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	40	$20.4K	20,000	3,927	+16,073	No	+$2,886	04-12 18:20
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	90	$19.6K	16,650	10,000	+6,650	Yes	+$3,816	03-04 01:17
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	27	$19.0K	11,309	11,309	+0	Yes	+$3,107	02-08 15:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	83	$18.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	10-16 21:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	49	$17.3K	23,538	10,000	+13,538	No	+$5,676	01-17 09:08
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	11	$15.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$4,800	05-30 16:21
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	26	$14.6K	15,600	5,000	+10,600	No	+$4,304	03-03 01:23
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$13.7K	15,000	10,000	+5,000	No	-$1,994	03-30 23:45
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	27	$13.7K	23,103	0	+23,103	No	+$1,810	02-18 22:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	53	$12.7K	26,299	7,545	+18,754	Yes	+$2,256	03-07 21:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	64	$12.1K	50,863	0	+50,863	No	-$12,101	02-13 19:15
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$11.3K	0	11,281	-11,281	open	—	06-03 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:29:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7,899	1¢	$95	0xc7f9f2…
10-28 01:25:57	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	15,924	1¢	$121	0x44aed7…
10-28 01:19:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	35,476	1¢	$362	0xf69928…
10-28 01:07:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9c64d4…
10-28 01:06:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xacf0c3…
10-28 01:05:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x1546d0…
10-28 01:04:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd21d4a…
10-28 01:03:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x394d82…
10-28 01:01:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xc6bd94…
10-28 00:59:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	577	1¢	$7	0x990aa8…
10-28 00:58:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x820ebc…
10-28 00:57:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	367	1¢	$5	0x097ab6…
10-28 00:52:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xeb68e5…
10-28 00:51:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xdc7b77…
10-28 00:50:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc423f7…
10-28 00:49:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	852	1¢	$11	0x00d204…
10-28 00:47:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10,000	1¢	$120	0x4a982a…
10-28 00:42:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x99aa11…
10-27 23:36:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,028	5¢	$251	0x4e618b…
10-27 23:36:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xff36ca…
10-27 23:36:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x66678d…
10-27 23:36:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe2606d…
10-27 23:36:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x7655c9…
10-27 23:36:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x435ea4…
10-27 23:36:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x340e0d…
10-27 23:36:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0277cb…
10-27 23:36:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4,000	5¢	$200	0x221ed9…
10-27 23:35:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xfc653c…
10-27 23:34:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x2e8766…
10-27 23:34:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	667	5¢	$33	0x4563ba…
10-27 23:34:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x48d02f…
10-27 23:33:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x0c55ec…
10-27 23:31:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20,472	6¢	$1,228	0x750ac2…
10-27 20:48:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,080	71¢	$2,186	0x3e493e…
10-27 20:46:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x0f7a35…
10-27 20:45:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0xd2559b…
10-27 20:45:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	307	71¢	$218	0x7470bf…
10-27 20:43:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	71¢	$213	0xeabc25…
10-27 20:43:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x293920…
10-27 20:42:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xdd7c69…
10-27 20:42:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	97	71¢	$69	0x548894…
10-27 20:42:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	332	71¢	$236	0x5c097f…
10-27 20:42:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xda7e92…
10-27 20:42:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x57b3d5…
10-27 20:42:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,442	71¢	$1,734	0x3dbb5a…
10-27 20:39:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7,388	71¢	$5,245	0x7351c2…
10-27 20:26:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	963	19¢	$183	0x969323…
10-27 20:26:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x772885…
10-27 20:26:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	321	19¢	$61	0x0e1fd8…
10-27 20:25:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc404ad…
10-27 20:25:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	119	19¢	$23	0x4f69df…
10-27 20:25:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,589	19¢	$682	0xdb188b…
10-27 20:19:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,000	22¢	$1,100	0x83a056…
10-27 20:16:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	166	19¢	$32	0xc4c327…
10-27 20:16:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x7d3770…
10-27 20:14:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,358	19¢	$258	0xef49d5…
10-27 20:14:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xde2d00…
10-27 20:14:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,627	19¢	$499	0x93c6ab…
10-27 20:14:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xed4439…
10-27 20:14:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xd894cd…
10-27 20:13:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	136	19¢	$26	0xd2e82b…
10-27 20:13:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x3e51ed…
10-27 20:13:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xfbaa1f…
10-27 20:13:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xa6cda0…
10-27 20:13:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	154	19¢	$29	0x163f81…
10-27 20:12:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4,137	19¢	$786	0x6b2902…
10-27 20:12:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	863	19¢	$164	0xc3c006…
10-27 20:08:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xc085d0…
10-27 20:08:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xe7f888…
10-27 20:08:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,960	16¢	$478	0x28163d…
10-27 20:08:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,984	15¢	$298	0x3c051d…
10-27 12:48:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xf2fdca…
10-27 12:05:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x81d707…
10-27 12:05:23	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x68099e…
10-27 08:35:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xc90294…
10-27 07:28:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x9aff56…
10-27 07:28:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x002a6d…
10-27 06:46:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x792b78…
10-27 05:54:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,246	31¢	$2,246	0xbcd6cc…
10-27 05:53:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,190	31¢	$2,229	0xd4d7c7…
10-27 05:37:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	492	31¢	$152	0x2fcb80…
10-26 12:17:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	691	60¢	$414	0x88cd26…
10-26 09:37:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd7ad98…
10-26 09:36:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,921	60¢	$1,153	0x65e23a…
10-26 07:17:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,349	32¢	$2,017	0x1b2345…
10-26 07:17:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	988	32¢	$316	0x44a647…
10-26 07:16:56	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	46,250	32¢	$14,805	0x18753e…
10-25 23:50:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	369	12¢	$46	0x1a5389…
10-25 23:45:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	1,884	15¢	$273	0xd6127a…
10-25 23:44:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	96	14¢	$14	0x792260…
10-25 23:43:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa80fb7…
10-25 23:43:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xbd603b…
10-25 23:43:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	1,130	14¢	$164	0x59a9da…
10-25 23:43:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	698	15¢	$101	0x4de979…
10-25 23:43:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$7	0x6d4889…
10-25 23:43:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0x4f57ab…
10-25 23:43:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$11	0x15b110…
10-25 23:43:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x73f473…
10-25 23:43:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x7c5193…
10-25 23:43:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	450	14¢	$65	0xf6f6ef…