Realized P&L (30d)
+$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.88K
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
520
7,795 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$152.3K
$1.22M lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$89.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
79% 49% +$13,304
Other
18% 35% -$32,416
Sports
3% 44% -$11,214
Crypto
0% 50% -$898
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +66,672 $20,936 34¢ $22.8K +$1,900 10-31 16:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30,000 $18,600 70¢ $21.1K +$2,550 10-16 21:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +25,000 $21,000 74¢ $18.6K -$2,375 10-19 13:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +32,337 $10,683 34¢ $11.2K +$473 10-31 12:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,861 $3,261 58¢ $3.4K +$167 10-27 20:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -4,310 -$2,715 72¢ $-3082 -$366 10-16 21:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +20,614 $3,807 8¢ $1.8K -$2,055 10-19 01:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,729 -$1,702 98¢ $-1701 +$1 10-31 16:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,388 $1,273 26¢ $1.2K -$110 10-22 07:08
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,060 -$1,057 100¢ $-1057 $0 10-29 17:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23,176 -$1,009 4¢ $-939 +$70 10-29 23:54
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,377 -$1,201 6¢ $-724 +$476 09-20 17:56
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -169,850 -$1,189 0¢ $-679 +$510 05-02 22:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,131 $328 26¢ $300 -$28 10-22 07:08
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +7,876 $473 4¢ $280 -$193 10-28 19:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,673 $900 15¢ $251 -$649 08-04 20:07
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,924 $121 1¢ $143 +$22 10-28 01:25
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,401 $275 3¢ $139 -$136 10-29 05:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +50 $34 80¢ $40 +$5 10-24 13:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +43 -$556 58¢ $25 +$580 10-29 02:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +43 $7 42¢ $18 +$11 05-28 15:20
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -8,309 -$2,037 0¢ $-12 +$2,024 10-15 17:24