Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

903

Trades

1,079

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-10

last 10-26 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 64% +$2

Other

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+10	$1	8¢	$1	$0	10-25 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-19 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:40 UTC	4	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	10-17 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	10-19 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$9	11	11	+0	Down	-$7	10-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	10-19 04:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	10-17 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$8	6	5	+1	Down	+$2	10-19 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$8	6	4	+2	Down	$0	10-19 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	7	$8	18	18	+0	Down	$0	10-24 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	10-19 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-19 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-19 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:10 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-18 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	10-10 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-17 22:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$6	97	97	+0	open	—	09-10 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	Down	-$4	10-19 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	10-19 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	10-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	10-19 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	10-23 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-23 15:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$4	33	33	+0	open	—	10-17 04:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:05 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	-$2	10-18 00:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x955db4…
10-26 09:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf7e0e6…
10-26 09:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1fe380…
10-26 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa953eb…
10-25 22:57:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf68ff3…
10-24 22:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe934a1…
10-24 21:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x103b8d…
10-24 21:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2c1dfc…
10-24 20:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf206bb…
10-24 19:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbe154b…
10-24 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8417cf…
10-24 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x348ad7…
10-24 18:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaf3c4b…
10-24 17:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x026100…
10-24 17:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xea91ea…
10-24 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd964f5…
10-24 17:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa866ee…
10-24 17:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x34958b…
10-24 17:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd72bca…
10-24 16:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x64dfbd…
10-24 16:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xac7739…
10-24 16:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x62cd5b…
10-24 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x176f60…
10-24 16:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf8b76c…
10-24 16:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x186d9b…
10-24 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf0e353…
10-24 16:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9ced58…
10-24 16:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd6e024…
10-24 16:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x006393…
10-24 16:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfa7409…
10-24 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x411471…
10-24 16:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x34da6f…
10-24 16:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c446b…
10-24 16:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfa9361…
10-24 16:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc542ae…
10-24 16:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd1863d…
10-24 15:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x100b55…
10-24 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb4353d…
10-24 15:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5fc897…
10-24 15:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa54888…
10-24 15:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5edbd4…
10-24 15:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x46e7ec…
10-24 15:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x1a3d31…
10-24 15:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcea1e7…
10-24 15:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x82b391…
10-24 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x973f70…
10-24 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb028ab…
10-24 15:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfe2dae…
10-24 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa1fcb…
10-24 15:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfa1a33…
10-24 15:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xba612b…
10-24 15:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd81223…
10-24 14:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6b7b13…
10-24 14:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf1b92e…
10-24 14:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x63024b…
10-24 14:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa344a6…
10-24 14:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc65d25…
10-24 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x29ff83…
10-24 14:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58b2c3…
10-24 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xde72a5…
10-24 14:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x416ba0…
10-24 13:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xad3dbb…
10-24 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xaa5e47…
10-24 11:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf559f7…
10-24 11:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x38af45…
10-24 10:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x733ba0…
10-24 10:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbd06dd…
10-24 09:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x3ff024…
10-24 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf8bd81…
10-24 09:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x28c58c…
10-24 09:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb8f780…
10-24 08:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3e3e2b…
10-24 08:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x407d00…
10-24 07:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1d1972…
10-24 07:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe12a5…
10-24 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xb9b1eb…
10-24 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa37c16…
10-24 04:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xce4c87…
10-24 04:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf719b3…
10-24 04:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3fe719…
10-24 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf86ed…
10-24 03:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6a908e…
10-24 03:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6a04e0…
10-24 03:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xb8f0f4…
10-24 03:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5e7e54…
10-24 03:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcfa382…
10-24 03:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xae360a…
10-24 03:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x595b07…
10-24 03:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe4d271…
10-24 03:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0b8305…
10-24 03:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x850705…
10-24 03:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1891d4…
10-24 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x65eeca…
10-24 03:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfd4876…
10-24 03:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb0cbbe…
10-24 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2527ae…
10-24 02:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2f59cc…
10-24 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x217628…
10-24 02:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3518e0…
10-24 02:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8c97b3…