Realized P&L
-$162
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
29.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
41
lifetime
Volume
$2.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$956
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-26 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50% 0% -$154
Politics
39% 50% -$12
Sports
11% 25% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,458 $178 8¢ $184 +$6 10-26 22:54
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +146 $120 84¢ $122 +$2 10-25 22:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +767 $115 12¢ $96 -$19 10-25 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +121 $76 66¢ $80 +$4 10-24 21:58
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +2,582 $100 3¢ $76 -$24 10-25 21:54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +79 $75 96¢ $75 +$0 10-25 21:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +64 $60 96¢ $61 +$1 10-25 21:51
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +1,000 $80 6¢ $60 -$20 10-25 21:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $50 68¢ $51 +$1 10-25 11:17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +65 $50 78¢ $51 +$1 10-25 21:53
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +219 $46 22¢ $48 +$2 10-25 11:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +500 $50 8¢ $42 -$8 10-25 22:54
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +138 $10 6¢ $8 -$2 10-25 22:04